Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

137

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$552

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-11 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

39% 34% -$67

Other

25% 43% -$32

Crypto

23% 61% -$19

Sports

11% 56% -$11

Tech

3% 67% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+7	$5	66¢	$5	$0	10-11 15:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+88	$9	3¢	$3	-$6	06-28 20:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$3	04-24 22:23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$26	156	156	+0	No	-$10	07-15 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$2	05-11 23:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$23	47	47	+0	Yes	-$14	05-10 20:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$18	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-05 21:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$18	25	25	+0	No	+$1	07-12 21:27
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$16	9	9	+0	No	+$1	05-15 10:29
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	2	$16	788	788	+0	No	-$10	05-12 14:10
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$15	802	0	+802	No	-$15	05-18 21:27
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	2	$14	114	0	+114	No	-$14	07-01 21:51
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$12	355	0	+355	No	-$12	05-16 23:14
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$11	100	12	+88	open	—	06-28 20:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-05 21:30
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	2	$10	42	42	+0	open	—	08-12 17:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$9	12	0	+12	No	-$9	05-15 10:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	-$5	07-27 22:20
another pandemic before gta vi	3	$8	14	2	+12	cancelled	$0	07-27 22:28
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	-$7	05-11 08:44
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	04-27 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 17:30 UTC	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	-$7	06-16 17:44
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$7	20	20	+0	No	+$1	07-03 19:07
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$5	6	0	+6	Paraguay	-$5	06-29 21:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	06-01 11:58
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	2	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	10-11 15:15
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 second half total 2pt5	2	$5	444	444	+0	Over	-$4	07-15 20:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	10-11 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	4	$5	7	4	+3	Up	-$2	06-12 00:29
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	07-27 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:35 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	06-05 10:36
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	04-20 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 15:15:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x117f6a…
10-11 15:15:03	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xbf8a4c…
09-09 21:28:24	Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe3ef8c…
08-12 17:25:04	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0xe256a7…
07-27 22:28:48	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x78232a…
07-27 22:26:54	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x0ce89d…
07-27 22:25:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x8e3625…
07-27 22:20:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x6fb0a2…
07-27 22:19:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x21b455…
07-27 22:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xd57fb9…
07-27 22:18:06	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x532916…
07-23 23:27:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x69719a…
07-23 23:26:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x88d720…
07-23 23:26:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x00b4c7…
07-23 23:25:55	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x614a4e…
07-15 21:00:16	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x347c05…
07-15 20:58:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 second half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	444	0¢	$0	0x7ad176…
07-15 20:56:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 second half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	444	1¢	$4	0xebf0ad…
07-15 20:55:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x8a4e7d…
07-15 20:50:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x7459b5…
07-12 21:33:01	Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf04299…
07-12 21:28:56	will trump say radical left lunatic this week 20260703145736727	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x94c4d0…
07-12 21:27:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x1e722e…
07-05 13:18:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x73d172…
07-03 19:08:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xbcbe5b…
07-03 19:07:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xe5f27b…
07-01 21:51:07	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x65130c…
07-01 21:50:58	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x867128…
07-01 20:20:58	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9def68…
07-01 20:20:50	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x022a07…
07-01 16:10:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xf18d9a…
06-29 21:03:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa55103…
06-28 22:18:44	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfb3dbf…
06-28 22:18:37	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9ae945…
06-28 20:07:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2cd03a…
06-28 20:06:59	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb78dff…
06-28 20:06:19	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6b26f2…
06-28 20:05:41	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9fdf42…
06-28 20:04:55	will trump post soccer on truth social this week 20260622154014255	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4411d8…
06-28 20:04:50	will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260622154014269	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd74217…
06-28 20:04:35	will trump post football on truth social this week 20260622154014254	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5f0b89…
06-27 15:41:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x39b77a…
06-27 15:40:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d9578…
06-27 15:40:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba2297…
06-24 16:58:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaaefbc…
06-24 16:58:35	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xefb50c…
06-23 22:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x8c4e73…
06-23 22:01:59	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	10¢	$8	0xe80c2e…
06-23 22:00:44	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	78	10¢	$8	0x6ffe81…
06-23 21:56:56	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xdeb345…
06-23 21:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe15327…
06-23 19:02:59	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe8225f…
06-23 19:02:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	69	12¢	$9	0x1fa405…
06-20 14:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x765a64…
06-20 14:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8fd73e…
06-18 10:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9396ec…
06-18 10:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x256692…
06-17 13:48:38	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xe81979…
06-16 17:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x993651…
06-16 17:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc778bd…
06-16 17:47:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe71c12…
06-16 17:46:43	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcf90ce…
06-16 17:46:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xbf8870…
06-16 17:46:02	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x118239…
06-16 17:44:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3d33fc…
06-14 19:20:09	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf1ae64…
06-14 19:19:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xabce9d…
06-14 09:16:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xfb3576…
06-14 09:16:33	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0ac789…
06-14 09:15:18	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x09ef2a…
06-14 09:13:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x453951…
06-14 09:11:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7079cb…
06-13 16:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd2225b…
06-13 16:31:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0edb7c…
06-13 16:27:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x3c51e4…
06-13 01:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1f960b…
06-13 01:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd2f77b…
06-13 01:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcf4cff…
06-13 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x0c14b7…
06-12 21:18:42	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5262b5…
06-12 21:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x250c70…
06-12 20:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8028b5…
06-12 20:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x59251c…
06-12 20:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x513231…
06-12 20:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa444f4…
06-12 20:31:22	another pandemic before gta vi	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x95ac15…
06-12 18:41:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x098901…
06-12 00:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x363178…
06-12 00:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xab93b8…
06-12 00:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xccfe6d…
06-12 00:27:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc2b143…
06-12 00:27:04	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x8340c0…
06-12 00:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3af5a4…
06-11 12:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xe49874…
06-11 12:09:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6966c9…
06-11 12:08:01	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf88b82…
06-11 12:07:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd93569…
06-11 07:58:36	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3dbbcf…
06-11 07:58:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x84261f…
06-10 22:18:13	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe37bc3…