False-Dolman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$165

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-01 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Sports

31% 64% -$12

Other

30% 97% -$1

Crypto

23% 100% +$0

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 83k on april 18	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	04-18 17:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	04-22 21:18
nhl wsh pit 2026 04 11 total 7pt5	1	$12	17	+17	Over	-$12	04-10 21:12
nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06 total 6pt5	1	$10	18	+18	Under	+$8	04-06 12:29
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	1	$10	12	+12	Under	-$10	04-08 20:58
spx up or down on april 17 2026	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	04-17 14:35
ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	08-23 15:50
nhl van sj 2026 04 11 total 5pt5	1	$4	6	+6	Over	+$2	04-11 23:59
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of August 2026?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	08-17 23:22
nhl lak van 2026 04 14 total 5pt5	1	$3	5	+5	Over	+$2	04-14 23:42
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	04-27 23:58
nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 8pt5	1	$2	4	+4	Trail Blazers	+$2	04-06 22:47
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	06-15 21:20
nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 total 5pt5	1	$2	4	+4	Under	-$2	04-12 15:15
nhl ana nsh 2026 04 16	1	$2	4	+4	Ducks	-$2	04-15 16:54
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 26?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-25 17:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	04-28 15:37
will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-18 20:40
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	04-29 21:22
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	04-13 23:59
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	06-27 23:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	05-21 22:06
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	04-25 22:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	04-16 23:55
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-26 16:06
Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 23:17
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-26 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	04-20 10:44
ethereum above 2300 on july 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	07-26 13:41
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	04-30 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 21:51:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x898c8b…
08-30 23:27:48	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e0efd…
08-29 03:11:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x371987…
08-28 20:29:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac5162…
08-27 15:23:13	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14f826…
08-27 15:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x213df4…
08-26 16:08:55	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45aa57…
08-26 16:08:04	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef7813…
08-26 16:06:39	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3179ee…
08-25 17:28:10	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x68b863…
08-24 22:26:16	will ethereum reach 2750 on august 24 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaccb9a…
08-23 23:51:52	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c5f0c…
08-23 15:50:34	ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x978d61…
08-20 23:28:45	will xrp reach 3 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9b0ed…
08-18 20:40:52	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbaf142…
08-17 23:22:12	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3e3670…
08-15 23:17:06	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc141d1…
08-14 23:50:34	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3655cc…
07-28 23:35:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1bd4a…
07-27 23:27:33	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2f02f…
07-26 13:41:18	ethereum above 2300 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x35e99f…
07-13 23:56:55	will ethereum reach 2500 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x641781…
06-30 20:55:46	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9fe4d…
06-29 18:13:17	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb23360…
06-27 23:53:44	Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09cffb…
06-24 23:43:52	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x428c73…
06-21 14:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7a3d0…
06-20 23:39:08	Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33383c…
06-17 22:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfaf947…
06-15 21:20:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe58182…
06-11 16:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9dc7b0…
05-24 23:27:22	Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x073651…
05-21 22:06:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff8bf5…
05-20 23:28:26	Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef28f5…
05-10 23:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x311b6e…
05-02 23:34:52	Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd0d3a…
04-30 23:37:18	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a458e…
04-30 23:36:54	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdb8080…
04-29 21:22:58	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde8cd8…
04-28 15:37:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xba2a8a…
04-27 23:58:36	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd85800…
04-26 20:47:02	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f55e9…
04-25 22:48:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x32eb33…
04-24 21:42:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x68b297…
04-23 23:37:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0617f…
04-22 21:18:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdb681d…
04-21 19:52:38	will cd win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ffd48…
04-20 10:44:54	Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x35669b…
04-19 22:15:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6c602…
04-18 17:21:44	will bitcoin reach 83k on april 18	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x47da81…
04-17 14:35:56	spx up or down on april 17 2026	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x921771…
04-16 23:55:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa19701…
04-15 16:54:10	nhl ana nsh 2026 04 16	Predators	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc7d1cc…
04-14 23:42:42	nhl lak van 2026 04 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xac2f8f…
04-13 23:59:11	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7f9bf0…
04-12 15:15:37	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0cefd7…
04-11 23:59:19	nhl van sj 2026 04 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xda78d3…
04-10 21:12:23	nhl wsh pit 2026 04 11 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xfe7846…
04-09 19:58:57	nhl wpg stl 2026 04 09 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd227a1…
04-08 20:58:03	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2c84a3…
04-06 22:47:45	nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 8pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x185cdf…
04-06 12:29:25	nhl nsh lak 2026 04 06 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3286b3…