Shocked-Overshoot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$518

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

1,461

Trades

47,840

lifetime

Volume

$248.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 07-09 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 46% $-526

Other

1% 50% $-6

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 855 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772109900	23	$372	336	312	+24	open	—	02-26 12:49
btc updown 5m 1772110200	17	$276	335	307	+28	open	—	02-26 12:52
btc updown 5m 1772089800	13	$275	238	219	+19	open	—	02-26 07:12
btc updown 5m 1771997400	18	$242	237	235	+3	open	—	02-25 05:32
sol updown 15m 1781090100	28	$238	170	100	+70	open	—	06-10 11:28
btc updown 5m 1772112000	13	$235	183	166	+17	open	—	02-26 13:24
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	33	$226	476	253	+223	open	—	04-03 15:12
fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 first corner	26	$177	300	0	+300	open	—	06-26 16:42
eth updown 5m 1772427600	20	$172	160	158	+2	open	—	03-02 05:04
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 9am et	33	$171	244	150	+94	open	—	04-05 13:45
btc updown 5m 1772032200	18	$159	161	149	+12	open	—	02-25 15:12
eth updown 15m 1780694100	20	$144	114	66	+48	open	—	06-05 21:24
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 5am et	18	$141	181	0	+181	open	—	04-09 09:19
xrp updown 15m 1781090100	18	$138	110	50	+60	open	—	06-10 11:27
btc updown 15m 1781116200	17	$133	120	40	+80	open	—	06-10 18:41
btc updown 15m 1780946100	16	$133	130	30	+100	open	—	06-08 19:27
btc updown 5m 1772091300	8	$132	114	97	+17	open	—	02-26 07:36
sol updown 15m 1781385300	20	$125	103	60	+43	open	—	06-13 21:26
btc updown 5m 1772030400	24	$120	391	0	+391	open	—	02-25 14:45
xrp updown 15m 1780565400	31	$118	115	80	+35	open	—	06-04 09:36
btc updown 15m 1781038800	16	$118	110	40	+70	open	—	06-09 21:14
sol updown 15m 1781338500	26	$116	115	50	+65	open	—	06-13 08:28
sol updown 15m 1781372700	18	$110	106	30	+76	open	—	06-13 17:54
btc updown 5m 1772091600	8	$109	154	102	+52	open	—	02-26 07:41
btc updown 15m 1781397000	13	$108	120	10	+110	open	—	06-14 00:39
btc updown 15m 1780626600	17	$106	110	30	+80	open	—	06-05 02:43
eth updown 15m 1781060400	12	$105	80	40	+40	open	—	06-10 03:12
btc updown 5m 1772031000	21	$105	271	0	+271	open	—	02-25 14:52
xrp updown 15m 1780717500	13	$103	90	30	+60	open	—	06-06 03:59
eth updown 15m 1781090100	14	$102	80	40	+40	open	—	06-10 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 08:00:07	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcf2669…
07-09 08:00:07	xrp up or down july 9 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xbcd5eb…
07-09 08:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfad7fe…
07-09 08:00:05	xrp up or down july 9 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5fbc29…
07-09 07:00:07	xrp up or down july 9 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeef179…
07-09 07:00:07	ethereum up or down july 9 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6ef723…
07-09 07:00:05	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xda899c…
07-09 04:28:22	sol updown 15m 1783570500	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0daf28…
07-09 04:28:19	eth updown 15m 1783570500	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe6adb3…
07-09 04:28:16	btc updown 15m 1783570500	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2a20f4…
07-09 04:24:02	xrp updown 15m 1783570500	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xbc58d4…
07-09 04:20:38	btc updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xc13ad5…
07-09 04:20:26	btc updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x07a2ab…
07-09 04:18:02	sol updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x150d6d…
07-09 04:17:55	sol updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc56389…
07-09 04:15:34	eth updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x383b6b…
07-09 04:15:29	eth updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5440ff…
07-09 04:15:14	xrp updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd2227a…
07-09 04:15:07	xrp updown 15m 1783570500	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x63865d…
07-09 04:00:37	sol updown 15m 1783569600	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x65a782…
07-09 04:00:34	sol updown 15m 1783569600	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf9712b…
07-09 04:00:14	sol updown 15m 1783569600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x825391…
07-09 03:59:34	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xd4399f…
07-09 03:59:32	xrp updown 15m 1783568700	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xad563e…
07-09 03:55:19	sol updown 15m 1783568700	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xd2a062…
07-09 03:52:49	sol updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x667e58…
07-09 03:52:19	sol updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf361aa…
07-09 03:52:13	sol updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa4f7c7…
07-09 03:51:19	xrp updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x168530…
07-09 03:50:29	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f56a8…
07-09 03:50:28	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdda87a…
07-09 03:50:26	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x69f1dc…
07-09 03:48:59	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xb0004b…
07-09 03:48:59	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4782b3…
07-09 03:48:08	eth updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xfc89b1…
07-09 03:47:50	eth updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb4aafe…
07-09 03:45:10	xrp updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbe57b7…
07-09 02:54:04	eth updown 15m 1783565100	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xdb43d6…
07-09 02:48:44	eth updown 15m 1783565100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1d8b0c…
07-09 02:48:38	eth updown 15m 1783565100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x355923…
07-09 02:31:04	btc updown 15m 1783564200	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe16f9a…
07-09 02:16:38	btc updown 15m 1783563300	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x12f98e…
07-09 02:16:37	btc updown 15m 1783563300	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x370874…
07-09 01:01:04	btc updown 15m 1783558800	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb7b950…
07-09 00:46:04	btc updown 15m 1783557900	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfb2d4b…
07-09 00:01:08	sol updown 15m 1783555200	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc604de…
07-08 23:16:07	sol updown 15m 1783552500	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x872814…
07-08 23:16:04	sol updown 15m 1783552500	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xed5033…
07-08 22:50:04	eth updown 15m 1783550700	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd9feda…
07-08 22:46:02	btc updown 15m 1783550700	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb40de3…
07-08 22:31:04	sol updown 15m 1783549800	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x179761…
07-08 22:17:34	btc updown 15m 1783548900	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb848cf…
07-08 21:46:04	sol updown 15m 1783547100	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x88b290…
07-08 21:35:04	eth updown 15m 1783546200	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x80b7ad…
07-08 21:31:02	sol updown 15m 1783546200	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x41bc4b…
07-08 21:16:02	btc updown 15m 1783545300	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9a6165…
07-08 21:05:04	eth updown 15m 1783544400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8c8132…
07-08 21:01:02	sol updown 15m 1783544400	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xdba8e8…
07-08 20:50:04	eth updown 15m 1783543500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x967139…
07-08 20:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783541700	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x693a5f…
07-08 19:20:04	eth updown 15m 1783538100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xac40c6…
07-08 19:05:02	eth updown 15m 1783537200	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x798219…
07-08 18:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783534500	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xbe145c…
07-08 16:20:02	eth updown 15m 1783527300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac2b3f…
07-08 15:46:04	btc updown 15m 1783525500	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x5f9a15…
07-08 15:31:04	btc updown 15m 1783524600	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x21084b…
07-08 15:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783523700	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9d8a90…
07-08 15:01:02	btc updown 15m 1783522800	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x121e0a…
07-08 14:31:02	sol updown 15m 1783521000	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x80a300…
07-08 14:06:41	eth updown 15m 1783519200	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x548e5f…
07-08 14:01:05	sol updown 15m 1783519200	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3a6624…
07-08 14:01:04	sol updown 15m 1783519200	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7e4d36…
07-08 12:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783512900	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xecbe2b…
07-08 11:35:02	eth updown 15m 1783510200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x679bf8…
07-08 10:31:43	sol updown 15m 1783506600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe3f260…
07-08 10:31:04	sol updown 15m 1783506600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x92808e…
07-08 09:46:08	sol updown 15m 1783503900	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xedf12e…
07-08 09:46:02	sol updown 15m 1783503900	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb14572…
07-08 09:31:04	sol updown 15m 1783503000	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5c1b18…
07-08 08:46:04	sol updown 15m 1783500300	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc4a546…
07-08 08:16:02	sol updown 15m 1783498500	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf57f9a…
07-08 07:46:04	btc updown 15m 1783496700	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xde16fd…
07-08 07:46:04	sol updown 15m 1783496700	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x243e3f…
07-08 07:46:02	sol updown 15m 1783496700	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe85854…
07-08 07:32:14	btc updown 15m 1783495800	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x8ef493…
07-08 07:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783494900	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4f89eb…
07-08 06:46:02	btc updown 15m 1783493100	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x28540f…
07-08 06:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783491300	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x51f196…
07-08 06:02:58	btc updown 15m 1783490400	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xda2478…
07-08 05:46:02	btc updown 15m 1783489500	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe5bd4b…
07-08 05:05:02	eth updown 15m 1783486800	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x7ddccf…
07-08 04:31:04	btc updown 15m 1783485000	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x6ffd23…
07-08 04:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783484100	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9048da…
07-08 04:01:04	sol updown 15m 1783483200	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9607a4…
07-08 02:46:04	sol updown 15m 1783478700	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x4acd7d…
07-08 02:16:04	btc updown 15m 1783476900	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x77b673…
07-08 01:46:04	btc updown 15m 1783475100	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x710a12…
07-08 01:31:04	sol updown 15m 1783474200	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x5582f6…
07-08 01:31:04	btc updown 15m 1783474200	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x024458…
07-08 01:01:05	btc updown 15m 1783472400	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x07d326…