Mature-Calcification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$8.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 09-14 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 98% -$13

Other

6% 76% +$29

Sports

3% 69% -$135

Politics

0% 67% -$2

Tech

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$249	250	+250	Yes	+$1	03-07 02:15
bitcoin above 74k on march 1	1	$245	245	+245	No	+$0	03-01 04:41
bitcoin above 62k on march 8	1	$244	245	+245	Yes	+$1	03-08 06:27
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$240	241	+241	Yes	+$1	03-02 03:28
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	1	$240	240	+240	No	+$0	02-25 00:58
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$240	240	+240	Yes	+$0	02-20 02:32
bitcoin above 70k on february 24	1	$240	240	+240	No	+$0	02-24 01:52
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$239	240	+240	Yes	+$1	03-09 03:47
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	1	$239	240	+240	No	+$1	03-17 01:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$239	240	+240	Yes	+$1	03-06 06:04
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$238	238	+238	Yes	+$0	02-28 02:13
bitcoin above 72k on february 21	1	$235	235	+235	No	+$0	02-21 02:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$234	235	+235	Yes	+$1	03-11 02:38
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	1	$230	230	+230	No	+$0	02-27 01:15
bitcoin above 60k on february 22	1	$230	230	+230	Yes	+$0	02-22 01:38
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$230	230	+230	No	+$0	03-13 11:31
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$229	230	+230	Yes	+$1	03-12 02:47
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$219	220	+220	Yes	+$1	03-04 03:48
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	1	$209	210	+210	Yes	+$1	03-14 04:05
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	3	$199	200	+200	No	+$1	03-15 09:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$143	143	+143	Yes	+$0	05-18 08:57
bitcoin above 74k on april 18	1	$142	143	+143	Yes	+$1	04-18 07:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	1	$142	142	+142	No	+$0	04-27 23:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$141	142	+142	Yes	+$1	05-13 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	1	$139	140	+140	Yes	+$1	05-31 04:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	2	$139	140	+140	Yes	+$1	05-06 06:23
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$138	138	+138	Yes	+$0	04-06 06:17
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$138	138	+138	Yes	+$0	04-07 06:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$137	138	+138	Yes	+$1	05-01 02:46
bitcoin above 74k on april 2	1	$136	136	+136	No	+$0	04-02 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 12:46:13	Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x48d627…
08-11 10:28:30	Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x90e69e…
08-08 23:49:04	Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-08?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xe0704e…
08-06 03:55:23	Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x9be5bd…
07-10 04:40:17	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0xa24573…
06-30 22:36:08	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0x579b63…
06-24 09:31:20	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xf040b6…
06-19 10:42:28	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	155	11¢	$17	0x10c55b…
06-19 10:42:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x710205…
06-19 10:41:56	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x89a898…
06-19 10:41:50	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	58	11¢	$6	0x1182d7…
06-15 08:43:58	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0xcf9155…
06-11 14:23:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	80	64¢	$51	0xd54917…
06-02 23:04:38	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	140	63¢	$88	0xce4870…
05-31 04:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0xc71f4b…
05-22 11:25:22	Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb22d11…
05-18 08:57:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x3238e0…
05-13 12:00:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x13b69c…
05-06 06:23:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa60e0b…
05-06 05:44:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x681579…
05-06 05:02:10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x426079…
05-01 02:46:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x8a8434…
05-01 02:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc2bdf…
04-27 23:42:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x840b36…
04-21 04:59:14	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1e48a…
04-18 07:11:28	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x3243c4…
04-17 07:43:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 17	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xaabbd0…
04-16 03:45:40	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd3c183…
04-16 03:45:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x771557…
04-13 13:17:53	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb88c3b…
04-13 01:13:41	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x797f3b…
04-10 08:46:39	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x1d4748…
04-10 07:45:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xecd98e…
04-09 05:13:01	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x617135…
04-09 00:46:49	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 140 159	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x11fc33…
04-07 06:06:49	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x1e501f…
04-06 06:17:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x44f5fe…
04-05 04:51:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x993b06…
04-05 04:18:39	nhl chi sea 2026 04 04	Blackhawks	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd56ebd…
04-02 00:56:49	bitcoin above 74k on april 2	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xa77b6a…
04-02 00:54:35	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0d6c00…
04-01 07:15:37	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x0d45da…
04-01 07:09:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567f5a…
03-30 02:05:10	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xdbf202…
03-29 05:37:46	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe6fe67…
03-29 05:24:56	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 115 139	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe8c1d5…
03-29 05:24:48	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x88de54…
03-27 04:03:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xeaac89…
03-25 02:23:11	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x4253e6…
03-24 07:33:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xef40c9…
03-24 00:03:23	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x133715…
03-23 10:09:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x5b04a8…
03-23 08:32:23	solana up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8ac6d4…
03-23 08:32:11	bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbaada2…
03-21 04:41:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 21	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x8b1ca0…
03-21 03:21:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc5b18b…
03-20 08:43:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 20	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x81d9fe…
03-19 00:38:33	nba okc bkn 2026 03 18	Thunder	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x61525d…
03-19 00:37:43	will solana reach 160 march 16 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe7bec3…
03-17 01:51:39	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xf5c1e0…
03-17 01:34:29	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 100 119	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe9f4b2…
03-17 01:33:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xfea9e6…
03-15 09:07:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xa1c856…
03-15 09:07:19	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6cf796…
03-15 09:07:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x0d8163…
03-15 07:37:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5011de…
03-15 07:37:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x53e0ed…
03-14 04:05:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xb0ea2b…
03-14 03:57:31	military action against iran ends on march 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95e270…
03-14 03:57:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaf2253…
03-13 11:31:21	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xfdf159…
03-12 03:10:09	cbb wake clmsn 2026 03 11	Clemson Tigers	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2863c6…
03-12 02:47:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xd33330…
03-12 02:45:43	nba min lac 2026 03 11	Clippers	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe1a3b8…
03-11 02:38:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x4026c4…
03-11 02:26:49	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 160 179	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd6c09f…
03-10 01:17:51	nhl cal wsh 2026 03 09	Capitals	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5dceb6…
03-09 03:47:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x0364cc…
03-09 03:43:27	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Suns	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x851075…
03-08 06:27:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x6feabb…
03-08 05:02:31	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 180 199	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x42bd0b…
03-07 02:15:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x4f694a…
03-07 01:52:05	nhl van chi 2026 03 06	Blackhawks	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x12cca2…
03-07 01:51:53	nba por hou 2026 03 06	Rockets	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc7d54e…
03-06 06:04:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x9e2b88…
03-06 01:13:25	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Heat	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa9a5f8…
03-04 03:48:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x7dd778…
03-04 02:48:09	cbb kentst nill 2026 03 03	Kent State Golden Flashes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb25a5e…
03-02 03:30:45	nba nop lac 2026 03 01	Clippers	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x685947…
03-02 03:28:01	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x18bde0…
03-01 04:41:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x77525f…
03-01 04:40:41	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 6	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x55a2c6…
03-01 04:40:21	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x12573c…
02-28 02:13:37	bitcoin above 58k on february 28	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x406c06…
02-28 02:12:59	nhl las wsh 2026 02 27	Capitals	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x46175a…
02-28 02:12:39	nhl buf fla 2026 02 27	Panthers	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf7059e…
02-27 01:15:46	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xe5dcfe…
02-27 01:15:00	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa635d…
02-25 00:58:18	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xcb479a…
02-24 01:52:52	bitcoin above 70k on february 24	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x9a08ad…