Detailed-Wildebeest-Treaty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

509

Trades

1,031

lifetime

Volume

$74.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 08-01 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 60% -$1,181

Sports

18% 41% -$120

Other

1% 12% -$51

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$2.6K	1,938	1,938	+0	Down	+$1,020	06-02 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	6	$2.2K	2,946	2,946	+0	Down	+$850	05-24 05:28
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$2.0K	1,837	1,837	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$404	05-26 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	Up	+$323	06-02 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$1.4K	3,186	366	+2,820	Up	-$687	06-02 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$1.3K	919	919	+0	Down	+$500	05-21 08:18
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	8	$1.2K	889	889	+0	New York Mets	+$0	05-30 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$1.1K	860	860	+0	Up	+$416	05-21 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$938	829	829	+0	Up	+$338	06-01 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$934	613	613	+0	Up	+$0	05-24 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET	3	$860	856	843	+13	Down	-$42	06-02 13:52
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	4	$857	606	606	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$95	05-25 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$857	611	611	+0	Up	+$234	05-28 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$853	630	630	+0	Up	+$253	05-21 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$810	1,017	563	+455	Up	-$190	05-26 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$700	473	473	+0	Down	+$208	05-21 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$683	554	554	+0	Up	+$257	05-28 07:09
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	5	$678	475	475	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$108	05-24 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$662	519	519	+0	Up	+$62	05-22 08:54
Spurs vs. Thunder	5	$651	461	461	+0	Spurs	+$51	05-31 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$642	884	884	+0	Down	+$241	05-29 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$626	506	428	+78	Up	+$108	05-29 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$604	785	385	+400	Down	-$196	05-29 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	1	$580	1,163	0	+1,163	Down	-$580	06-02 15:04
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	3	$579	439	439	+0	Team Liquid	-$39	05-29 08:29
mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	5	$577	1,777	1,110	+667	Miami Marlins	-$483	06-03 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$561	445	412	+33	Down	+$148	05-26 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$536	391	376	+14	Up	+$130	05-30 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$500	1,042	0	+1,042	Down	-$500	05-24 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$500	1,138	0	+1,138	Up	-$500	05-24 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 23:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xc9bee5…
08-01 23:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x14a418…
08-01 23:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x179d62…
08-01 23:10:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x3456f0…
08-01 23:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa77590…
08-01 23:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7140cf…
08-01 23:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x999860…
08-01 23:07:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x76ecd3…
08-01 23:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x36bcb6…
08-01 23:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x37c4eb…
08-01 23:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0xcfdabe…
06-04 10:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x304443…
06-04 10:24:34	will robert lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	170	0¢	$0	0x57bd85…
06-04 10:24:22	will khvicha kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	234	0¢	$0	0x51e419…
06-04 09:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	244	17¢	$41	0xf60fb4…
06-04 09:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x0cdb9f…
06-04 09:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x581057…
06-04 08:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	118	92¢	$108	0x5571b2…
06-04 08:58:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x790c5c…
06-04 08:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	141	50¢	$71	0x058cd5…
06-04 07:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x5d06d5…
06-04 07:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x4d9d93…
06-03 20:59:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,020	0¢	$6	0xd64895…
06-03 20:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xfefc6f…
06-03 20:13:40	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Washington Nationals	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xb00307…
06-03 20:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	370	9¢	$33	0x223eec…
06-03 20:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x466e98…
06-03 20:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	108	97¢	$104	0xfa8c36…
06-03 20:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb8d38d…
06-03 19:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x80febc…
06-03 19:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc03bcc…
06-03 19:52:21	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Washington Nationals	SELL	429	2¢	$7	0x521e42…
06-03 19:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x98f813…
06-03 19:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	170	58¢	$98	0x1da600…
06-03 19:48:12	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Washington Nationals	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x99ba09…
06-03 19:44:39	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Washington Nationals	SELL	682	6¢	$41	0x395cc8…
06-03 18:55:13	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf8e084…
06-03 18:41:33	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	682	59¢	$400	0x7ec762…
06-03 18:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	204	66¢	$135	0xec9b0b…
06-03 18:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x87ef5b…
06-03 10:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	99	54¢	$54	0xb53497…
06-03 10:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xe305fe…
06-03 10:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	124	44¢	$54	0xb2ff9a…
06-03 10:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	124	49¢	$61	0x5bac2a…
06-03 09:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0x475ef8…
06-03 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x7debf2…
06-03 05:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	159	74¢	$118	0xea5797…
06-03 05:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	159	33¢	$53	0xf60a2f…
06-03 05:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x610998…
06-03 05:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	124	51¢	$63	0x6b4502…
06-03 05:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	230	79¢	$182	0xdf5853…
06-03 05:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	230	43¢	$100	0x5a2ee6…
06-03 05:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xbf7058…
06-03 05:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb16479…
06-03 04:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe43992…
06-03 04:37:53	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x197e40…
06-03 04:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x28cdb2…
06-03 04:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x0bc19a…
06-03 04:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x81bb2c…
06-03 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	102	76¢	$78	0x66ed17…
06-03 03:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x7b2942…
06-03 03:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	110	80¢	$88	0xb5c469…
06-03 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	110	58¢	$63	0x72dc79…
06-03 03:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	79	83¢	$66	0x5156ca…
06-03 03:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	79	35¢	$28	0x8b7af5…
06-03 03:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x1f744a…
06-03 03:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x0559e6…
06-03 03:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xfa6640…
06-03 03:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x53fb5f…
06-03 03:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8a82d0…
06-03 03:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x50ec75…
06-03 03:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x7c8e57…
06-03 03:26:48	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0xde1bfa…
06-03 03:06:43	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0x834db5…
06-03 03:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	77¢	$27	0xd11123…
06-03 03:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe41d2b…
06-03 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x242c05…
06-03 02:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	89	70¢	$62	0x801174…
06-03 02:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x9a673e…
06-03 02:15:33	San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x10b917…
06-03 02:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x777ce2…
06-03 02:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xee74f5…
06-03 02:03:22	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xf24a56…
06-03 01:34:54	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xe6c23d…
06-03 01:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0xc23524…
06-03 01:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x423a77…
06-03 01:25:55	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf1b9a2…
06-03 01:24:57	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x915a1b…
06-03 01:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0525b2…
06-03 01:17:24	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Diego Padres	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf23673…
06-03 00:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x77aa97…
06-03 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0d7b0c…
06-03 00:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc1ce74…
06-03 00:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x76b993…
06-03 00:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x1d6f6e…
06-03 00:22:04	Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7b9f02…
06-03 00:21:53	Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x581c6f…
06-03 00:21:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x6e5f41…
06-03 00:21:34	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x40401f…
06-03 00:21:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x8d5561…