Ornate-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$293

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

174

Trades

457

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-30 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

50% 55% -$112

Crypto

26% 35% -$153

Politics

23% 50% -$40

Sports

1% 67% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+500	$13	1¢	$4	-$9	05-20 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$156	135	65	+70	No	-$24	06-01 21:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	18	$104	157	11	+146	Yes	-$32	04-17 15:53
bkcba jia fuj 2026 04 16	33	$97	987	0	+987	Fujian Sturgeons	-$97	04-16 13:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	16	$82	167	21	+146	Yes	-$50	04-14 17:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	8	$69	493	69	+424	No	-$29	04-17 15:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$53	44	15	+29	No	-$2	04-24 00:14
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23 game1	6	$40	64	0	+64	Aurora	+$24	04-23 10:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$40	113	9	+104	No	-$30	04-20 21:07
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	8	$33	53	21	+32	Yes	+$18	06-01 20:12
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	5	$31	90	0	+90	No	-$31	04-10 21:35
Monaco vs. Nanterre	3	$30	21	16	+6	Monaco	+$7	06-01 20:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	3	$29	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	04-21 01:00
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$28	138	123	+15	No	-$3	04-15 17:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$27	56	0	+56	Yes	+$29	04-14 17:36
cs2 furia mouz 2026 04 15	4	$27	43	9	+34	FURIA	+$24	04-16 01:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$26	61	33	+28	No	+$4	04-23 11:54
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India	6	$26	55	0	+55	South Africa	+$29	04-27 12:46
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$26	38	10	+28	No	-$4	04-21 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	7	$25	37	0	+37	Down	-$25	04-28 06:36
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	4	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	+$1	06-01 21:02
dota2 z10 cb3 2026 04 22 game1	5	$24	47	0	+47	Zero Tenacity	+$23	04-22 15:30
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22 game1	4	$24	49	0	+49	South America Rejects	+$25	04-22 10:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	26	0	+26	No	+$3	04-23 20:23
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs Italy	6	$23	46	0	+46	Rwanda	+$23	04-27 08:33
cs2 m8 g2 2026 04 13 game2	7	$20	51	0	+51	G2	-$20	04-13 14:09
dota2 cb3 l1ga 2026 04 22	2	$20	42	0	+42	Cheeki_Breeki	+$22	04-22 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$20	36	0	+36	Down	-$20	04-26 01:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$20	12	10	+2	No	+$2	04-20 20:29
dota2 lynx nemiga 2026 04 22	4	$19	27	0	+27	Nemiga Gaming	-$19	04-22 16:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	3	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-01 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:58:06	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x12caf9…
10-22 06:44:14	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2814af…
06-02 23:04:57	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f6193…
06-02 23:02:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x4a955f…
06-02 07:49:40	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf4d74a…
06-02 07:49:38	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8c332b…
06-02 01:03:21	Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe38cb…
06-02 01:03:19	Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5f051d…
06-01 21:57:21	AA Ponte Preta leading at halftime?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcdfe19…
06-01 21:57:21	AA Ponte Preta leading at halftime?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2ee1df…
06-01 21:32:18	Botafogo FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xf3554e…
06-01 21:32:18	Botafogo FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xd642ef…
06-01 21:19:16	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7aff78…
06-01 21:17:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb421af…
06-01 21:07:11	Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x22dc84…
06-01 21:02:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8529f6…
06-01 21:02:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x71712e…
06-01 21:02:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5dc286…
06-01 21:02:10	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4d600c…
06-01 20:26:35	Monaco vs. Nanterre	Monaco	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xd75a32…
06-01 20:21:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ba0d3…
06-01 20:16:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x39771f…
06-01 20:16:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x6efc3e…
06-01 20:14:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf0cb5b…
06-01 20:13:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd57142…
06-01 20:12:44	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xede0de…
06-01 20:11:58	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xf3496a…
06-01 20:11:58	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8a94aa…
06-01 20:02:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf01520…
06-01 19:58:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd44c7…
06-01 19:56:52	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe5f74e…
06-01 19:53:17	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x7ecb6e…
06-01 19:52:14	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2ac478…
06-01 19:51:42	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xe63c91…
06-01 19:48:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8de270…
06-01 19:47:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x3c6596…
06-01 19:31:33	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x95c31a…
06-01 19:28:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2ac2ac…
06-01 19:20:51	Monaco vs. Nanterre	Monaco	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x70a6a7…
06-01 19:20:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe73bbd…
06-01 14:32:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xe29e12…
06-01 14:30:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x6a307e…
06-01 14:29:12	Monaco vs. Nanterre	Monaco	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xdc14de…
06-01 14:23:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xedc52d…
06-01 14:17:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0x53be68…
06-01 12:51:44	Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x174654…
06-01 12:47:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1e5243…
06-01 06:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x198d88…
05-31 15:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x8fc78f…
05-31 15:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcc129d…
05-31 15:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x8ad9cc…
05-31 15:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xc8e77f…
05-31 15:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x155794…
05-31 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd80dff…
05-31 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6a5c4d…
05-31 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x489eb1…
05-31 15:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x741463…
05-31 15:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x23e671…
05-31 15:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x7c0db4…
05-31 15:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xab915d…
05-31 15:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf4a637…
05-31 15:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x956cf0…
05-31 15:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x1ff1e4…
05-31 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xd9a5fc…
05-31 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x188987…
05-31 12:11:35	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xe899c1…
05-31 12:11:35	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x2cea37…
05-31 10:51:26	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x757f3e…
05-31 06:59:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63e155…
05-31 00:26:36	Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xc565be…
05-30 18:30:35	CR Flamengo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x1baa9e…
05-30 13:59:50	Paris Basketball vs. Strasbourg	Paris Basketball	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb5bc7b…
05-30 13:44:42	GAIS leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x224983…
05-30 12:39:36	Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3a7df4…
05-30 11:44:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8dcd31…
05-30 11:29:27	AEK vs. Olympiacos B.C.	AEK	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7daf7a…
05-30 11:14:20	Henan FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x16d342…
05-30 09:35:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xc63567…
05-30 04:13:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd260cf…
05-30 04:13:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x079790…
05-30 04:08:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x75f4ec…
05-30 04:08:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb1e74f…
05-30 01:56:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	76¢	$48	0xb6b53e…
05-21 05:25:00	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	3DMAX	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x76a9b2…
05-21 02:08:39	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x4eb760…
05-21 01:26:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9ded58…
05-21 01:21:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xe06c87…
05-21 01:21:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa30124…
05-21 01:21:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd727c4…
05-21 01:21:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x017042…
05-21 00:22:15	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf3675b…
05-21 00:22:15	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xac1707…
05-20 21:42:30	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x7dcef7…
05-20 21:42:28	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa1fe01…
05-20 21:42:21	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xe06ce0…
05-20 20:24:46	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$13	0x82a69b…
04-28 06:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc76790…
04-28 06:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x72cb67…
04-28 06:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x6bc603…
04-28 06:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb0afa8…