Some-Nonconformist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

216

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 11-06 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 67% -$1,471

Other

2% 38% -$191

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No		+28	$15	88¢	$24	+$9	11-06 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	16	$2.2K	1,915	1,915	+0	Yes	-$86	04-30 12:08
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	3	$2.0K	1,116	1,105	+11	No	+$70	04-26 14:40
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 3am et	8	$591	337	336	+1	Down	+$77	03-25 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	3	$577	497	120	+377	Up	+$6	05-14 14:47
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 9am et	3	$486	511	0	+511	Down	+$24	03-24 13:43
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	5	$433	250	250	+0	Yes	-$30	05-14 10:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	2	$414	220	220	+0	No	+$18	05-10 09:12
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 5	4	$382	730	693	+37	No	-$37	04-05 22:07
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	4	$373	850	804	+46	Yes	-$61	04-05 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	7	$371	565	430	+135	No	+$5	05-11 02:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC	2	$365	408	0	+408	Up	+$43	03-23 03:44
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	7	$353	646	616	+31	Yes	-$50	04-07 11:13
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	4	$329	255	255	+0	Yes	-$76	05-10 22:30
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	6	$317	897	852	+45	No	-$71	04-07 11:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	3	$304	210	210	+0	No	-$6	05-05 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	3	$297	211	111	+100	No	+$3	05-21 15:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 14?	3	$292	220	120	+100	No	+$5	05-14 14:46
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	14	$290	423	421	+2	Yes	+$45	04-02 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	4	$280	350	150	+200	Down	+$40	05-11 02:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	4	$270	144	144	-0	No	-$7	05-20 14:54
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 1am et	1	$263	268	0	+268	Down	+$5	03-26 05:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-25 04:00 UTC	1	$261	280	0	+280	Up	+$20	03-25 06:45
bitcoin above 70600 on march 24 2026 7am et	2	$243	245	0	+245	Yes	+$3	03-24 10:41
bitcoin above 69200 on march 23 2026 11pm et	3	$242	245	0	+245	Yes	+$3	03-24 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$236	200	200	+0	Down	+$28	05-12 20:32
will bitcoin reach 67k on april 2	2	$235	300	285	+15	Yes	+$49	04-02 13:32
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 2	2	$233	300	285	+15	No	+$41	04-02 13:33
bitcoin above 70800 on march 25 2026 7am et	1	$233	235	0	+235	Yes	+$2	03-25 10:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	2	$232	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 13:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	3	$221	236	111	+125	No	-$49	05-23 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 08:47:46	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x72d787…
11-05 07:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0xb6f439…
11-04 23:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf7bdf6…
11-04 07:04:34	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	214	49¢	$105	0x280fa3…
10-28 08:15:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x25208e…
10-28 08:14:23	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa90264…
10-15 12:06:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0xc4530b…
10-15 12:04:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x7c6362…
08-19 06:48:34	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x4d46c6…
08-19 06:31:09	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x53db2b…
08-19 06:30:46	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9308bb…
08-19 04:40:42	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	49	67¢	$33	0x65de55…
08-19 04:01:42	bitcoin up or down august 19 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb1dc5a…
08-19 03:54:30	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	68	38¢	$26	0xe954d0…
08-19 03:54:28	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x757b01…
08-19 03:45:55	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x979c4f…
08-18 14:28:21	bitcoin above 64k on august 20 2026	No	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x08e573…
08-18 14:27:49	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	No	SELL	160	5¢	$8	0x15470d…
08-18 08:27:25	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x726abb…
08-18 07:13:09	bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbc7af8…
08-17 10:42:40	bitcoin above 64k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	80	64¢	$51	0x56ec6c…
08-17 10:41:48	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	No	BUY	160	34¢	$54	0x6ce28d…
08-17 10:26:42	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	54	67¢	$36	0x12ce4e…
08-17 10:26:10	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x615f87…
08-17 10:19:34	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x41f5c5…
08-17 09:33:22	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	56	72¢	$40	0xc4d403…
08-17 09:04:46	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x867995…
08-04 11:47:08	bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x83c8a6…
07-29 12:29:26	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	72	62¢	$45	0x52fe72…
07-29 12:26:17	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	72	59¢	$42	0xc3c6f2…
07-27 21:01:31	bitcoin up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	77	68¢	$52	0x4bd78a…
07-27 21:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xc51dd9…
07-27 20:59:36	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	72	70¢	$51	0x6fd4b6…
07-27 20:58:24	bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	No	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0x000ea4…
07-27 20:58:04	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	155	73¢	$113	0x6fb996…
07-27 10:12:45	bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x340d3b…
07-27 10:11:28	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	155	65¢	$101	0x93d30b…
07-22 05:06:13	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0x519036…
07-22 05:04:58	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x50576b…
07-22 05:04:03	will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7398bc…
07-05 21:31:17	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	SELL	150	26¢	$39	0x0fe6a8…
07-05 14:53:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x055162…
07-01 05:07:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	88	29¢	$26	0xbeceb7…
07-01 05:05:08	bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	91	29¢	$26	0x11110e…
05-29 13:59:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x77593b…
05-23 07:47:02	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0xe80cc6…
05-23 06:54:20	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x41ac2e…
05-23 06:51:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x689b7b…
05-23 04:33:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	125	79¢	$99	0x64f2b7…
05-23 04:12:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	111	21¢	$23	0x0aed73…
05-22 15:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0x492c61…
05-22 15:24:42	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x856e0b…
05-22 15:24:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	87	94¢	$82	0x7d18e2…
05-22 13:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xaa55d5…
05-22 13:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	134	39¢	$53	0xfba609…
05-22 13:36:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	165	21¢	$35	0xb43935…
05-22 09:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	81	34¢	$28	0x52efea…
05-22 08:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0x4ed0f6…
05-22 08:17:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0xb36de7…
05-22 08:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x357dcb…
05-22 08:17:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	165	44¢	$72	0xc03090…
05-22 08:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x13619a…
05-22 08:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	87	63¢	$55	0x315b2a…
05-21 15:15:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb46370…
05-21 15:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	115	84¢	$97	0x13691d…
05-21 15:13:52	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x341dc2…
05-21 12:39:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	112	85¢	$95	0x87e092…
05-21 12:38:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x69224b…
05-21 12:38:23	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0x83e3ea…
05-21 12:38:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	95	77¢	$73	0x50fe74…
05-21 12:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xf82b15…
05-21 10:29:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$96	0x020775…
05-21 10:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xdec8dc…
05-21 10:28:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x8f6e01…
05-21 10:27:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x467cc0…
05-21 10:27:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x6da099…
05-21 10:27:20	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xebed99…
05-20 14:55:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0xd33ea6…
05-20 14:54:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x8d48be…
05-20 14:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	60	91¢	$55	0xeb66f8…
05-20 14:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	82	92¢	$75	0x4402e4…
05-20 14:53:59	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	108	90¢	$97	0xa2264e…
05-20 14:53:51	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x2809f2…
05-20 14:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0x0b1fe0…
05-20 14:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	144	96¢	$138	0x5a57bb…
05-20 06:02:20	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcb9ffe…
05-20 05:59:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x3d332f…
05-19 15:00:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x2788e2…
05-19 14:59:01	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xfa71cd…
05-19 02:03:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb7d814…
05-19 02:02:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	85	92¢	$79	0x0bd963…
05-17 23:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x4ecd34…
05-17 23:48:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x6964f9…
05-17 23:48:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	91	78¢	$71	0x34a259…
05-17 23:47:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	111	77¢	$85	0x32305d…
05-17 22:09:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xa08566…
05-17 22:09:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	67	37¢	$25	0x76fa54…
05-17 21:32:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xbf8435…
05-17 15:27:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x94e4de…
05-17 15:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xcd8910…