Realized P&L
-$189
Unrealized P&L
-$145
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
131
Trades
196
lifetime
Volume
$4.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$698
9 positions
First seen
2026-07-29
last 10-28 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
49% 65% -$119
Politics
48% 72% -$68
Crypto
2% 100% +$2
Sports
0% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +812 $450 44¢ $353 -$97 10-11 16:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +125 $100 92¢ $114 +$14 09-08 18:06
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +80 $50 72¢ $58 +$8 10-06 15:40
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +41 $35 83¢ $34 -$1 09-28 14:59
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +43 $33 74¢ $32 -$1 09-21 14:24
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +37 $25 84¢ $31 +$6 08-30 09:35
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +195 $25 16¢ $30 +$5 10-08 21:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +182 $100 14¢ $25 -$75 08-03 18:16
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +29 $25 74¢ $21 -$4 08-09 13:08