Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
186
Trades
2,023
lifetime
Volume
$7.46K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$86
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 06-29 20:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 56% +$29
Politics
27% 67% +$1
Other
24% 0% $-5
Tech
6%
Sports
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +38 $30 73¢ $27 $-3 06-20 15:14
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +17 $17 91¢ $16 $-1 06-29 16:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -20 $-13 48¢ $-9 +$4 06-15 06:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +19 $10 45¢ $8 $-2 06-26 04:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -7 $-6 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-20 09:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -9 $-6 72¢ $-7 $-1 06-20 09:50
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -6 $-7 100¢ $-6 +$1 06-17 20:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -6 $-6 84¢ $-5 +$1 06-20 09:50