Giant-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

968

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-06 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 67% $-3

Other

4% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	12	$427	516	516	+0	open	—	03-17 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$346	295	164	+131	open	—	05-04 11:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$273	3,684	3,684	+0	open	—	03-15 07:38
btc updown 5m 1773707100	4	$240	368	0	+368	open	—	03-17 00:27
btc updown 5m 1773706500	4	$220	452	0	+452	open	—	03-17 00:17
btc updown 5m 1773734100	2	$200	354	0	+354	open	—	03-17 07:57
btc updown 5m 1773713700	2	$200	417	0	+417	open	—	03-17 02:16
btc updown 5m 1773712800	2	$200	471	0	+471	open	—	03-17 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	10	$184	107	107	+0	open	—	05-04 11:34
btc updown 5m 1773705300	9	$180	770	0	+770	open	—	03-16 23:58
btc updown 5m 1773703800	20	$172	425	0	+425	open	—	03-16 23:32
btc updown 5m 1773762000	4	$165	178	176	+2	open	—	03-17 15:44
btc updown 5m 1773713400	6	$160	335	0	+335	open	—	03-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$160	201	0	+201	open	—	05-04 05:13
btc updown 5m 1773708300	18	$152	536	0	+536	open	—	03-17 00:47
btc updown 5m 1773701100	26	$151	911	0	+911	open	—	03-16 22:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$150	162	0	+162	open	—	03-14 12:21
btc updown 5m 1773712500	6	$150	378	0	+378	open	—	03-17 01:56
btc updown 5m 1773762300	5	$150	183	0	+183	open	—	03-17 15:49
btc updown 5m 1773710700	5	$140	400	0	+400	open	—	03-17 01:26
btc updown 5m 1773833700	1	$136	143	0	+143	open	—	03-18 11:37
btc updown 5m 1773746100	4	$130	264	0	+264	open	—	03-17 11:16
btc updown 5m 1773704700	4	$130	329	0	+329	open	—	03-16 23:46
btc updown 5m 1773763500	4	$130	886	0	+886	open	—	03-17 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$130	193	0	+193	open	—	05-04 05:16
btc updown 5m 1773703200	13	$130	315	0	+315	open	—	03-16 23:22
btc updown 5m 1773748200	4	$130	151	0	+151	open	—	03-17 11:54
btc updown 5m 1773704400	13	$125	369	0	+369	open	—	03-16 23:42
btc updown 5m 1773701700	11	$121	219	0	+219	open	—	03-16 22:59
btc updown 5m 1773699900	12	$121	211	0	+211	open	—	03-16 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x17d7d2…
05-06 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe8f02a…
05-06 13:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xae8678…
05-06 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1de459…
05-06 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfaa4e3…
05-06 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbb24f4…
05-06 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd44367…
05-06 12:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x037500…
05-06 12:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0844b9…
05-06 12:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9a5568…
05-06 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x824ab2…
05-06 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x635e64…
05-06 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x453cf9…
05-06 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a42eb…
05-06 09:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbbf49f…
05-06 08:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf85c8b…
05-06 08:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1673c2…
05-06 08:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2d7f72…
05-06 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa1dfef…
05-06 07:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1939cf…
05-06 06:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce6de4…
05-06 06:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x56c19a…
05-06 06:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x410449…
05-06 06:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf89683…
05-06 05:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb7c5e8…
05-06 05:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe17745…
05-05 22:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6a60ce…
05-05 22:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe98f92…
05-05 22:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5906c6…
05-05 22:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa1cd2b…
05-05 22:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c85ce…
05-05 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31d40c…
05-05 21:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51ee27…
05-05 21:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe5359b…
05-05 21:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd89a2e…
05-05 21:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x41b9c7…
05-05 21:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a42e4…
05-05 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3b58e2…
05-05 15:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x90ec7a…
05-05 14:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8475d0…
05-05 14:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdb6f0b…
05-05 06:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd60e38…
05-05 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0aeddb…
05-05 06:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfb1ac7…
05-05 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x52876c…
05-05 06:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x999715…
05-05 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe3c6e8…
05-05 06:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8547bf…
05-05 06:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6cbac7…
05-05 05:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdf9dc5…
05-05 05:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x292660…
05-05 05:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7d1ba1…
05-05 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9c4e80…
05-05 05:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xfef198…
05-05 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0a4ffb…
05-05 05:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff981f…
05-05 05:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb778f0…
05-05 05:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa3af04…
05-05 05:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1af4f5…
05-05 05:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeffe41…
05-05 05:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc132f0…
05-05 05:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbfefc3…
05-05 05:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa61677…
05-05 05:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x13573d…
05-05 05:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x568292…
05-05 05:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x931fd3…
05-05 05:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb10112…
05-05 05:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4a0177…
05-05 05:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3b9f84…
05-05 05:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf0222b…
05-05 05:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xec55c1…
05-05 05:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x916416…
05-04 21:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1b0138…
05-04 21:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb5f352…
05-04 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa7dc58…
05-04 21:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x92a7d3…
05-04 21:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2c2578…
05-04 21:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2f44fe…
05-04 21:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc1b3d6…
05-04 21:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5c5d1a…
05-04 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9d3f41…
05-04 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45f3b6…
05-04 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc387c6…
05-04 21:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40b938…
05-04 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb36eb8…
05-04 21:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x313e3a…
05-04 21:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb0fde7…
05-04 21:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa534e4…
05-04 21:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x85adec…
05-04 21:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbeff4a…
05-04 21:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa5a851…
05-04 21:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc86ff1…
05-04 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9b611b…
05-04 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x04e6c1…
05-04 21:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x86da39…
05-04 21:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xab7e62…
05-04 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfac906…
05-04 20:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x545f05…
05-04 20:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5c4a06…
05-04 20:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x96add4…