Impartial-Checking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-18 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Other

40% — —

Sports

20% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$287	149	149	+0	open	—	06-07 11:41
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$226	157	157	+0	No	$-0	04-26 05:40
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	9	$154	157	157	+0	open	—	04-15 19:38
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$142	75	75	+0	open	—	04-20 21:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	10	$137	106	106	+0	open	—	05-20 00:46
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$119	198	198	+0	open	—	06-02 01:53
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	9	$108	130	130	+0	open	—	04-27 09:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	6	$103	166	166	+0	open	—	05-30 07:09
Iran leadership change by June 30?	5	$103	201	201	+0	open	—	06-08 11:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$102	58	58	+0	open	—	06-15 19:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	06-08 20:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$99	62	62	+0	open	—	06-09 10:18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$94	49	49	+0	open	—	04-27 01:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	5	$90	183	183	+0	open	—	06-18 12:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$87	160	160	+0	open	—	05-26 08:47
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	2	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	03-30 22:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	05-23 18:29
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	04-16 19:27
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$74	201	201	+0	open	—	06-06 03:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$73	76	76	+0	open	—	06-13 05:31
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	03-27 16:23
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	04-11 00:09
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	03-30 10:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	05-22 01:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	05-19 04:05
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$65	37	37	+0	open	—	04-26 20:56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	04-21 08:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 19:49
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	$-0	04-26 00:17
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	3	$39	102	102	+0	open	—	06-18 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 10:18:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0xa599fb…
06-19 10:18:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0x39bd47…
06-19 10:18:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x25cd24…
06-19 10:18:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x03155b…
06-19 07:14:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	11¢	$16	0x69a59b…
06-18 21:56:07	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	46	20¢	$9	0xa6921e…
06-18 21:56:07	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0x20a161…
06-18 18:52:07	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	102	18¢	$18	0x47aeee…
06-18 12:36:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xaf9b6a…
06-18 08:52:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x7ac6e4…
06-18 04:19:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$1	0xda7156…
06-18 04:19:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x5d24cd…
06-18 01:01:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$5	0xbbd1f5…
06-15 19:35:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb3cc35…
06-15 19:35:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0x299a5a…
06-15 15:17:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0xb08556…
06-15 12:03:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$11	0x3ba0a0…
06-15 07:47:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x0c657d…
06-14 22:55:57	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xfb01ae…
06-14 22:55:55	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xf4c7d5…
06-14 22:55:55	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xf2590a…
06-14 22:55:55	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xc4c55f…
06-14 22:55:55	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x786624…
06-14 22:55:55	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x15efe9…
06-14 19:28:22	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xf2dfc0…
06-13 05:31:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x91ad49…
06-13 05:31:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0x6539ef…
06-13 04:08:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xa70106…
06-13 04:08:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x0a1a0c…
06-13 00:40:16	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0x1eaef9…
06-12 22:29:21	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$4	0x1b564c…
06-12 17:09:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	57	18¢	$10	0x93a516…
06-12 14:54:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0x7e7707…
06-11 06:08:48	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x82f51a…
06-11 06:07:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x6a0c64…
06-11 05:47:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x0cf9ff…
06-11 00:29:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0xcc98ce…
06-10 15:11:51	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	112	5¢	$6	0xc043ad…
06-10 13:06:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0xdca851…
06-09 10:18:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	62	80¢	$50	0x872d12…
06-09 10:17:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x73c480…
06-08 20:18:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x472911…
06-08 18:09:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe5f144…
06-08 11:50:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x372779…
06-07 16:41:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xa60a76…
06-07 16:41:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x746f33…
06-07 16:41:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x5bf2fc…
06-07 13:48:15	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$2	0xd51baa…
06-07 11:41:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x59ebc9…
06-07 09:22:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xf449a8…
06-06 17:42:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xcb5cd4…
06-06 17:42:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x4fd8bd…
06-06 13:51:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc2eab6…
06-06 13:50:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xf29bdf…
06-06 10:40:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x61c754…
06-06 07:25:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x44824a…
06-06 03:04:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0x928ce3…
06-05 23:03:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0xfc47be…
06-05 20:40:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x9c52ae…
06-05 18:09:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd8e112…
06-04 22:52:37	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x53e9de…
06-04 18:24:58	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xdccecc…
06-04 18:04:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	111	17¢	$19	0xe4aa46…
06-04 18:04:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0x9f5e2b…
06-04 18:04:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x0e147a…
06-04 14:44:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	162	19¢	$31	0x2b6b6f…
06-02 03:52:17	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	92	1¢	$1	0xf200a0…
06-02 02:44:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xdf4833…
06-02 02:44:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xaaee66…
06-02 01:53:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xdcfe66…
06-02 01:53:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xb20123…
06-02 01:53:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x3bcfcb…
06-02 01:53:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x2ffcb0…
06-01 22:21:48	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$6	0xc84eb8…
05-31 02:45:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x0e80ab…
05-30 23:00:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x16ec96…
05-30 21:15:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x5e6731…
05-30 21:15:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x10261c…
05-30 19:19:14	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x106e94…
05-30 19:18:27	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xb4bf41…
05-30 07:09:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	31¢	$30	0xe13089…
05-30 07:09:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xb41862…
05-30 07:09:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	31¢	$18	0x645f57…
05-30 04:58:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x90348c…
05-30 04:58:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x792423…
05-30 04:58:05	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	31¢	$44	0xb6ddbf…
05-29 04:16:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x60bd6e…
05-29 02:05:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x7a8003…
05-26 08:47:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	58	28¢	$16	0xb367eb…
05-26 03:30:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	102	28¢	$29	0xbd4838…
05-26 03:29:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	160	26¢	$41	0xe17063…
05-25 14:48:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x50b07b…
05-25 09:48:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xfca779…
05-23 18:29:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x3a8183…
05-23 18:29:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x29b7a3…
05-23 16:40:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xf77eb1…
05-22 01:34:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xdbbdfc…
05-22 01:34:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x0f8ae0…
05-21 23:51:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x97d490…
05-20 00:46:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0xfc7e17…