Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$167

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 11-01 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

71% 46% -$8

Politics

26% 68% +$11

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No		+3	$2	82¢	$2	+$0	08-09 18:58
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+6	$2	6¢	$0	-$2	08-14 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$4	10	+10	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:41
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$4	7	+7	No	-$1	08-19 06:38
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 18:20
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 01:06
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 10:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	7	+7	Down	+$4	09-18 15:02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-11 19:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 23:17
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-15 23:46
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	09-11 09:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-08 14:33
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-10 00:27
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-24 01:50
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	08-09 18:58
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 05:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 08:32
will amzn reach 284 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-10 02:59
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-30 12:36
wti up or down on august 7 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	-$2	08-07 07:14
will tsla reach 345 by august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-11 11:05
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-02 05:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-03 20:39
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 18:47
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-04 08:52
spy up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-05 00:58
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-01 11:04
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 09:52
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-07 15:51
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-22 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:11:10	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x123b2e…
10-17 23:30:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x725678…
10-17 14:09:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb363c4…
10-16 13:03:51	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7213c6…
10-16 05:02:15	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf5d768…
10-15 20:59:30	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x996a41…
10-15 10:48:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6987fb…
10-15 02:00:56	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9cc886…
10-14 17:59:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2e2852…
10-14 09:54:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbf39a7…
10-14 01:54:23	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4c3866…
10-11 05:09:50	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb433a5…
10-10 19:34:51	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97d6fd…
10-10 04:54:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb84a0d…
10-07 22:22:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3a491b…
10-06 02:14:02	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeb7b72…
10-05 18:12:55	will xagusd reach 63 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x694d9a…
10-05 10:01:26	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xed4148…
10-05 00:21:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2d4179…
10-02 15:14:26	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6352b6…
10-01 14:24:15	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46bece…
10-01 06:23:47	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x01404e…
10-01 06:21:29	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe32cd4…
09-27 21:47:11	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0f5286…
09-27 13:13:11	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x66a8b4…
09-27 02:13:41	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd52348…
09-26 16:06:59	will hood reach 125 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf11305…
09-26 07:22:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6f0967…
09-25 17:16:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6943de…
09-25 08:52:18	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe348fd…
09-24 23:13:21	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1aaaa8…
09-24 11:09:42	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfc28f6…
09-24 03:08:59	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x76fcbd…
09-23 18:25:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x226491…
09-23 08:12:05	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x667409…
09-19 23:17:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc2d249…
09-19 07:52:21	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x285ece…
09-19 06:41:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc38bec…
09-19 00:51:42	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xee35e2…
09-18 15:02:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xdee6bf…
09-15 23:46:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x06cbe2…
09-13 18:47:42	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf08120…
09-11 19:49:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x18995f…
09-11 09:08:24	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe1a028…
09-10 00:27:16	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x402ab2…
09-08 14:33:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2d8749…
09-08 05:44:46	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3e4f2f…
09-07 15:51:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x68850f…
09-03 20:39:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xabc36c…
09-02 05:38:58	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x84e109…
09-01 11:04:09	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6c1430…
08-30 21:26:31	will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x7ea41f…
08-30 12:36:58	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x073a96…
08-29 14:32:24	will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4f11ca…
08-29 04:11:52	will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x24914a…
08-28 19:40:55	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xe3c82b…
08-24 21:04:13	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb90b12…
08-24 09:52:27	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0de25b…
08-24 01:50:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c75e6…
08-22 01:27:42	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x8e9f0f…
08-19 06:38:36	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x63174c…
08-19 06:32:36	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6bb12b…
08-18 07:47:13	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x4f0804…
08-17 23:35:42	spy closes above 775 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7f2782…
08-17 15:33:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6e3577…
08-17 06:26:30	googl up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc598cb…
08-16 22:25:04	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 0pt49	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc9ec7d…
08-14 16:28:46	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8ddb63…
08-11 19:19:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd202bc…
08-11 11:05:45	will tsla reach 345 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x733e13…
08-10 02:59:31	will amzn reach 284 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6a813…
08-09 18:58:52	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3a60b9…
08-09 04:41:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x53c848…
08-08 16:34:12	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x673446…
08-08 08:32:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x62161b…
08-08 00:30:45	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2f6a73…
08-07 15:24:57	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xae5f5b…
08-07 07:14:24	wti up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x025de6…
08-05 09:09:05	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe822ed…
08-05 00:58:26	spy up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9d21a2…
08-04 16:56:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x516e88…
08-04 08:52:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xba7595…
08-04 00:52:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xef97b1…
08-03 16:48:45	will xagusd reach 61 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4d9228…
08-03 08:39:47	will nflx reach 75 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x65331e…
08-02 21:10:50	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5e173d…
08-02 01:51:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x38143c…
08-01 16:57:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2f9744…
08-01 02:25:35	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6523d0…
07-31 18:20:30	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1d31e7…
07-31 10:19:59	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x780492…
07-31 01:06:26	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x81393a…
07-30 00:09:45	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe3b7cc…
07-29 14:01:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa991ca…
07-29 03:35:57	Another pandemic before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb8afc1…
07-28 13:29:14	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf288cb…