Corrupt-Mussel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$491

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-19 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$1

Politics

19% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		+14	$10	86¢	$12	+$2	06-09 01:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	06-13 15:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	06-14 22:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 18:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-28 02:43
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-25 22:05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-22 02:26
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-22 02:25
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$16	27	0	+27	open	—	07-19 01:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	04-22 02:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-13 23:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	06-23 23:58
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	2	$13	13	13	+0	LYON	+$0	05-11 00:16
ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 psv	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 22:46
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 20:32
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 14:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-06 02:04
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 23:58
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-23 23:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 02:29
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 01:18
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-01 23:59
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-02 00:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 02:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-25 20:35
lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-18 23:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 02:28
lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-01 23:24
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 17:59
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 01:32:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x584340…
07-15 03:10:11	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xee9ec7…
07-04 20:35:25	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x02b435…
07-04 20:33:43	lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x461862…
07-01 23:24:23	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x581557…
06-23 23:58:52	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9e7190…
06-23 23:58:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfc1e2a…
06-23 23:58:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x459516…
06-18 23:10:32	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6969a9…
06-15 04:26:28	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xb42e16…
06-14 22:54:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x648db2…
06-14 22:49:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3ea55b…
06-13 15:46:48	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x8f7b1d…
06-12 18:49:54	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xedcfd8…
06-12 18:49:48	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa08159…
06-09 01:19:39	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xc72253…
06-09 01:18:33	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa0c241…
06-07 15:19:45	lol g2 kc 2026 06 07	G2 Esports	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x54360e…
06-03 02:43:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6c8dda…
06-02 00:00:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfdc3a0…
06-01 23:59:06	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4610dc…
06-01 23:58:50	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x673342…
06-01 23:58:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf18045…
05-31 23:36:00	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0071bc…
05-30 16:53:45	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9d7732…
05-29 01:28:03	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xaa217b…
05-28 03:45:05	Centurion: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Robert Strombachs	Robert Strombachs	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x532402…
05-28 03:44:56	Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov	Timofey Skatov	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x65975f…
05-26 18:10:28	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc79008…
05-17 16:26:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xd5d9cb…
05-16 20:54:03	ITF Bastad: Emma Kamper Malmkjaer vs Britt Du Pree	Britt Du Pree	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa48044…
05-13 23:51:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0e48a4…
05-13 01:18:08	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd96908…
05-11 23:52:05	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x30817c…
05-11 00:16:55	LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	LYON	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x879a65…
05-10 21:08:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x945969…
05-09 23:15:28	LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	LYON	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x246902…
05-07 22:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e832a…
05-06 02:04:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x578f90…
05-03 18:18:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb76d23…
05-02 17:59:34	LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdc066d…
05-01 16:07:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xc5d066…
04-28 02:44:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cea35…
04-28 02:43:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc015ca…
04-28 02:42:44	LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	Leviatan Esports	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x10f32f…
04-26 14:32:08	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2b9310…
04-26 14:29:24	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x7a4aa3…
04-26 14:27:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x01c3a6…
04-25 22:05:16	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Karmine Corp	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x96f616…
04-25 20:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf92924…
04-25 20:33:20	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x627515…
04-25 20:32:54	LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	LYON	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x0caff3…
04-23 22:46:48	ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 psv	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0714ae…
04-23 22:46:26	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Karmine Corp	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x39d977…
04-23 13:36:48	ere psv zwo 2026 04 23 psv	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x283bfa…
04-22 23:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x859c57…
04-22 02:30:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf08c17…
04-22 02:29:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd9a49c…
04-22 02:29:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xb7f3f6…
04-22 02:28:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c44be…
04-22 02:27:34	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x742d84…
04-22 02:26:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x1d8021…
04-22 02:25:46	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb3b284…