Realized P&L
+$109
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
315
Trades
405
lifetime
Volume
$2.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$33
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-28 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
66% 79% +$57
Tech
29% 100% +$59
Politics
5% 80% +$1
Sports
1% 25% -$11
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +18 $15 54¢ $10 -$5 10-14 22:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 10-07 17:04
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes — +7 $5 93¢ $7 +$2 10-26 01:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +17 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 09-04 04:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-22 00:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-25 03:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +9 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 05-31 23:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-23 23:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 33¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +32 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 10-25 03:25