Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$64

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved (90d)

159

Trades (90d)

240

298 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.18K

$4.25K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$108

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-02 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

99% 70% -$57

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+71	$50	85¢	$60	+$11	09-25 03:38
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No		+50	$42	94¢	$47	+$5	09-25 03:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	3	$262	252	202	+50	Yes	+$66	09-29 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$100	118	0	+118	No	+$18	07-22 20:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	3	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	08-07 22:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$82	99	0	+99	Yes	-$82	08-07 22:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$80	100	0	+100	No	+$20	08-01 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$78	95	0	+95	No	+$17	07-27 20:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$75	91	0	+91	Yes	-$75	07-29 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$75	89	0	+89	No	+$14	08-05 20:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$74	88	0	+88	No	+$13	07-26 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$74	89	0	+89	No	+$14	07-27 00:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$74	87	0	+87	No	+$13	07-31 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$74	87	0	+87	No	+$13	07-31 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$73	88	0	+88	No	+$15	07-29 13:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$72	85	0	+85	No	+$14	08-02 00:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$69	81	0	+81	Yes	-$69	08-02 12:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	3	$60	49	25	+25	Yes	-$20	09-10 05:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$60	75	0	+75	No	+$15	06-18 23:20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	07-24 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$50	59	0	+59	Yes	-$50	07-26 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	Yes	-$50	07-24 19:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-22 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	08-08 04:50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	No	+$11	07-25 03:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-22 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-24 03:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-24 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-21 06:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	09-25 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$48	57	0	+57	No	+$10	09-13 06:25
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	09-25 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x695b6b…
11-02 20:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2374ed…
11-02 18:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd030c7…
11-02 18:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3e655e…
11-02 17:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7522ab…
11-02 16:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x698190…
11-02 12:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf1be87…
11-02 11:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x69cde2…
11-02 11:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2c2092…
11-02 09:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc84bd9…
11-02 08:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x863ff7…
11-02 00:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa0285d…
11-02 00:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3cb9d5…
11-02 00:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3150f3…
11-02 00:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2090d5…
11-02 00:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x143227…
11-01 20:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x740719…
11-01 19:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x484b6b…
11-01 18:46:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8b0d69…
11-01 18:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x67b116…
11-01 18:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x648577…
11-01 18:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9135a5…
11-01 16:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfeb2c9…
11-01 15:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xac66f8…
11-01 12:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfd5d1b…
11-01 12:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1050b7…
11-01 08:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xacfe96…
11-01 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x410adf…
11-01 06:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2c5614…
11-01 06:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8432f0…
11-01 06:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e82c9…
11-01 03:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x63f461…
11-01 00:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc70c8b…
11-01 00:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb0d65b…
10-31 23:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8a23ef…
10-31 22:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdf2874…
10-31 20:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x957064…
10-31 19:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe94723…
10-31 18:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x73b6f5…
10-31 18:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x29b94c…
10-31 17:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3857e9…
10-31 16:13:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0b080b…
10-31 15:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfb02d7…
10-31 13:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x157909…
10-31 10:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x78dea6…
10-31 08:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0ee67a…
10-31 06:58:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa3a386…
10-31 06:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x97d577…
10-31 06:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x39f787…
10-31 06:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb23972…
10-31 06:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x47fbc5…
10-31 00:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa2298f…
10-31 00:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6a1ad6…
10-31 00:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x04ffcd…
10-30 20:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xe39361…
10-30 19:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf539cb…
10-30 16:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9a9f6…
10-30 16:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x80dbff…
10-30 15:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9c3196…
10-30 13:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1e2fad…
10-30 13:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xfa4906…
10-30 13:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1e783a…
10-30 12:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb69a56…
10-30 10:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x46202c…
10-30 07:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xee257c…
10-30 01:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbb60c8…
10-30 01:20:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8f68c7…
10-29 23:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x68edc8…
10-29 20:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7d0acf…
10-29 20:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xf49603…
10-29 19:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd04d72…
10-29 19:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf6839c…
10-29 16:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7401fc…
10-29 15:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7ac00b…
10-29 13:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7b726d…
10-29 12:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x23b1f4…
10-29 08:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcaf1ec…
10-29 07:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6ecfa7…
10-29 02:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x84a9c3…
10-29 01:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x754814…
10-29 00:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xb8db66…
10-29 00:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb8638a…
10-29 00:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5a12f0…
10-22 12:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba266d…
10-22 12:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x615492…
10-22 08:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x02d528…
10-22 00:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 22?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa5f145…
10-22 00:58:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3c4273…
10-21 19:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x98cf5e…
10-21 19:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x829b04…
10-21 13:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 21?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x39068d…
10-21 12:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 20?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1378be…
10-21 08:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 22?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb3e988…
10-21 07:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 21?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x505593…
10-21 07:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1a95ff…
10-21 06:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf38aad…
10-21 01:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa9fe8b…
10-21 01:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 21?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01d819…
10-21 00:46:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xec9661…
10-21 00:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa0e68e…