Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

247

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$4.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$212

20 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-07 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

99% 69% -$80

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+71	$50	88¢	$63	+$13	09-25 03:38
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$42	94¢	$47	+$5	09-25 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 7?	No	+10	$7	99¢	$10	+$3	11-06 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 8?	No	+13	$7	74¢	$9	+$2	11-07 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 8?	No	+12	$7	68¢	$8	+$1	11-07 05:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 8?	No	+10	$7	78¢	$8	+$0	11-07 05:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 8?	No	+10	$7	73¢	$7	+$0	11-07 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 8?	No	+13	$7	44¢	$6	-$1	11-06 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on November 8?	No	+6	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	11-07 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 8?	No	+6	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	11-06 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on November 8?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	11-07 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	11-06 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 7?	No	+6	$5	89¢	$5	+$0	11-06 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 7?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	11-06 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 8?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	11-07 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 7?	No	+7	$5	60¢	$4	-$1	11-06 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 8?	No	+5	$4	74¢	$4	$0	11-07 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	+5	$4	70¢	$4	-$1	11-07 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 8?	No	+5	$3	52¢	$3	$0	11-07 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 8?	No	+5	$3	50¢	$3	$0	11-07 07:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	3	$262	252	202	+50	Yes	+$66	09-29 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$100	118	0	+118	No	+$18	07-22 20:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	3	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	08-07 22:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$82	99	0	+99	Yes	-$82	08-07 22:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$80	100	0	+100	No	+$20	08-01 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$78	95	0	+95	No	+$17	07-27 20:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$75	91	0	+91	Yes	-$75	07-29 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$75	89	0	+89	No	+$14	08-05 20:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$74	88	0	+88	No	+$13	07-26 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$74	89	0	+89	No	+$14	07-27 00:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$74	87	0	+87	No	+$13	07-31 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$74	87	0	+87	No	+$13	07-31 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$73	88	0	+88	No	+$15	07-29 13:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$72	85	0	+85	No	+$14	08-02 00:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$69	81	0	+81	Yes	-$69	08-02 12:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	3	$60	49	25	+25	Yes	-$20	09-10 05:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$60	75	0	+75	No	+$15	06-18 23:20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	07-24 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$50	59	0	+59	Yes	-$50	07-26 09:18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	Yes	-$50	07-24 19:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-22 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	08-08 04:50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	No	+$11	07-25 03:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-22 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-24 03:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-24 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-21 06:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	open	—	09-25 03:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$48	57	0	+57	No	+$10	09-13 06:25
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	09-25 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x95512b…
11-07 09:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbc343e…
11-07 09:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 7?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x073be8…
11-07 09:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06e79d…
11-07 09:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x09b95f…
11-07 09:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2a4909…
11-07 08:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc77c62…
11-07 07:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8d0bea…
11-07 05:51:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x14849d…
11-07 05:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x0ed7dc…
11-07 03:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0x8b5418…
11-07 03:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on November 8?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x175a98…
11-07 02:52:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf29350…
11-07 01:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe1ebdd…
11-07 00:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x249490…
11-07 00:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on November 8?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xd96119…
11-06 21:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 8?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8dbfa3…
11-06 21:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 7?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe88d06…
11-06 21:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd76ec5…
11-06 21:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 7?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x086bee…
11-06 18:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7349ec…
11-06 12:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 6?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x445ca9…
11-06 11:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 8?	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x107289…
11-06 10:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 6?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb22ecd…
11-06 06:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe7ae9f…
11-06 06:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 7?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x293251…
11-06 06:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 7?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf20d7d…
11-06 03:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9d72e6…
11-06 01:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xfd49b4…
11-06 01:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8e838f…
11-06 00:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x857de7…
11-05 20:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xf9f955…
11-05 20:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x107198…
11-05 18:58:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x251b32…
11-05 18:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$7	0x843ea6…
11-05 16:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x484cf4…
11-05 14:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x82cd5b…
11-05 13:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 6?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9d06f7…
11-05 08:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x79a823…
11-05 08:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x250397…
11-05 08:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb1bbce…
11-05 07:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 5?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe52530…
11-05 06:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 6?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x606cf8…
11-05 06:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc92ebe…
11-05 06:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0fb69d…
11-05 00:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x55f10e…
11-05 00:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 6?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xeb4009…
11-05 00:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x02c700…
11-04 23:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 6?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x683518…
11-04 23:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2a3751…
11-04 22:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xd14e4e…
11-04 22:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x303664…
11-04 05:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb865be…
11-04 03:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b52e1…
11-04 00:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x878b89…
11-04 00:22:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf8b222…
11-03 21:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 5?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x69143f…
11-03 21:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x61e118…
11-03 21:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x31c5a6…
11-03 20:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc025a1…
11-03 19:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbf6f8e…
11-03 19:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb2c3e2…
11-03 18:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x9fc0c0…
11-03 18:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x338a46…
11-03 17:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 5?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1d292a…
11-03 13:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on November 5?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4b3571…
11-03 12:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6ce424…
11-03 06:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5d4ec2…
11-03 06:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf4227c…
11-03 06:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on November 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf13dd2…
11-03 05:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xba8ca1…
11-03 05:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3c767d…
11-03 02:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3e86b2…
11-03 02:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0d2d74…
11-02 21:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x695b6b…
11-02 20:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2374ed…
11-02 18:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd030c7…
11-02 18:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3e655e…
11-02 17:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7522ab…
11-02 16:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x698190…
11-02 12:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf1be87…
11-02 11:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x69cde2…
11-02 11:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2c2092…
11-02 09:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc84bd9…
11-02 08:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x863ff7…
11-02 00:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa0285d…
11-02 00:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3cb9d5…
11-02 00:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3150f3…
11-02 00:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2090d5…
11-02 00:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x143227…
11-01 20:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x740719…
11-01 19:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x484b6b…
11-01 18:46:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8b0d69…
11-01 18:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x67b116…
11-01 18:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x648577…
11-01 18:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9135a5…
11-01 16:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfeb2c9…
11-01 15:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xac66f8…
11-01 12:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfd5d1b…
11-01 12:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1050b7…