Sneaky-Reality-Cirrus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.89K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

16,519

Trades

32,361

lifetime

Volume

$141.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-27 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% -$2,873

Other

0% 35% -$14

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 475 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	7	$420	310	118	+192	Down	$0	04-26 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:20 UTC	11	$362	202	200	+2	Up	+$15	04-10 14:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 18:30 UTC	15	$329	222	128	+94	Up	+$11	06-14 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$318	289	275	+14	Down	+$131	04-25 06:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 17:45 UTC	4	$311	232	223	+9	Up	+$99	04-24 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$308	306	297	+10	Up	-$22	04-25 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 08:00 UTC	5	$280	442	418	+24	Up	+$84	04-24 08:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 19:30 UTC	5	$248	171	168	+3	Up	-$5	04-24 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	5	$238	171	165	+5	Up	+$54	04-21 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:30 UTC	2	$229	154	150	+4	Up	+$33	04-24 19:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 04:30 UTC	8	$225	127	127	+0	Down	+$4	03-17 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$224	116	116	+0	Up	+$2	04-27 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 04:15 UTC	11	$213	140	138	+1	Down	+$9	03-17 04:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 17:15 UTC	5	$205	155	153	+2	Down	+$28	03-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 18:30 UTC	2	$203	105	105	+0	Up	+$3	04-24 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	6	$201	174	169	+5	Up	+$8	04-28 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 15:30 UTC	12	$197	222	222	+0	Down	+$55	08-18 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 04:00 UTC	6	$193	115	114	+1	Up	+$13	03-17 04:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 09:45 UTC	6	$187	305	258	+47	Down	-$3	04-24 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	10	$185	112	110	+2	Up	+$27	04-28 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	8	$184	197	172	+25	Up	-$16	07-27 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:45 UTC	5	$183	111	109	+2	Down	+$16	04-24 19:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 11:30 UTC	2	$180	92	92	+0	Down	+$1	06-13 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 08:50 UTC	2	$175	140	136	+4	Down	+$20	04-21 08:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 19:15 UTC	4	$169	98	97	+1	Up	+$5	04-24 19:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 10:00 UTC	5	$162	312	293	+19	Down	+$62	04-24 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 08:10 UTC	2	$162	82	82	+0	Up	+$2	08-18 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 08:30 UTC	7	$161	87	86	+1	Down	+$2	04-24 08:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 20:45 UTC	2	$160	81	81	+0	Down	+$1	06-12 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 02:30 UTC	2	$155	111	109	+2	Up	+$28	03-17 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xefaecf…
10-27 11:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x752e36…
10-27 11:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x05a311…
10-27 11:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbbc61f…
10-27 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x677a9e…
10-27 11:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x172040…
10-27 11:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c5baf…
10-27 11:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc77097…
10-27 11:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0xa961b8…
10-27 11:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x56bddd…
10-27 11:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x027e33…
10-27 11:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd96830…
10-27 11:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x734102…
10-27 04:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb63034…
10-27 04:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6570e9…
10-27 04:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb74c8f…
10-27 04:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x38f79d…
10-27 04:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x497928…
10-27 04:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ae7dc…
10-27 04:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0cfa6e…
10-27 04:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x015c81…
10-27 04:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5de863…
10-27 04:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x458edb…
10-27 04:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x91b8db…
10-27 04:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x65411f…
10-27 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfc81ae…
10-27 03:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x469a1a…
10-27 03:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x355adb…
10-27 03:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4012de…
10-27 03:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa778ed…
10-27 03:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb61839…
10-27 03:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x3f0fdc…
10-27 03:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xd26c12…
10-27 03:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x0329a1…
10-27 03:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa604fc…
10-27 03:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbaed70…
10-27 03:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x906014…
10-27 03:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1dbe48…
10-27 03:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x972556…
10-27 03:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xed5493…
10-27 03:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc00632…
10-27 03:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x89162e…
10-27 03:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6ac3f3…
10-27 03:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x4249af…
10-27 03:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9cebf9…
10-27 03:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0066e6…
10-27 03:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x2634e9…
10-27 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xafe6e8…
10-27 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x4882a2…
10-27 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x345fed…
10-27 03:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xe9fb9a…
10-27 03:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1811ae…
10-27 03:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x728eaa…
10-27 03:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8748d0…
10-27 03:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7e6f10…
10-27 03:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xbd9fd8…
10-27 03:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4d60ea…
10-27 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x8cd5ca…
10-27 03:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3e8abc…
10-27 03:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x9807fa…
10-27 03:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x775082…
10-27 03:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x374184…
10-27 03:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf71072…
10-27 03:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xf3ed00…
10-27 03:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1b7076…
10-27 03:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x3a7b5d…
10-27 03:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xad7696…
10-27 03:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x3bf392…
10-27 02:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdc66eb…
10-27 02:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5c1231…
10-27 02:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xbb0a9c…
10-27 02:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3bc0f0…
10-27 02:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x122bb6…
10-27 02:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xf8f355…
10-27 02:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3972ac…
10-27 02:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc651ed…
10-27 02:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2ffaaf…
10-27 02:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe982f0…
10-27 02:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xaebba5…
10-27 02:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x470b48…
10-27 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x8effad…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xc33f83…
10-27 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xa369e9…
10-27 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x9ee5f6…
10-27 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x5d483d…
10-27 02:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xd8eeaf…
10-27 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x748370…
10-27 02:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x74d4dd…
10-27 02:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x4278c7…
10-27 02:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xec163d…
10-27 02:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f2fcb…
10-27 02:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xbfb77a…
10-27 02:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xddcb0b…
10-27 02:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xad528f…
10-27 02:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc3ba0f…
10-27 02:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x89e611…
10-27 02:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe7b049…
10-27 02:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc93bc0…
10-27 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x8e7fcc…
10-27 02:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf60153…