These-Manatee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-06 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

46% 95% +$1

Crypto

46% 100% +$1

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$111	111	+111	No	+$0	04-20 08:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 3?	1	$111	111	+111	No	+$0	05-01 11:04
ethereum above 2600 on april 15	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	04-15 06:55
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	04-09 01:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	04-24 09:44
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 160 179	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	04-03 11:16
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	05-23 07:15
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	03-19 02:44
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	03-24 02:55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	06-07 12:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?	2	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	05-12 10:39
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-06 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	05-26 03:09
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	05-29 09:54
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:53
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-13 08:08
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-05 07:32
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	02-01 09:54
bitcoin above 96k on january 30	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	01-29 08:40
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$100	101	+101	No	+$0	01-25 06:31
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-20 09:54
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	01-13 08:58
ethereum above 3500 on january 6	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	01-06 06:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-28 12:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-19 09:17
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	09-16 09:44
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	10-06 05:49
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	1	$3	4	+4	No	+$1	10-06 05:48
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$2	1,200	+1,200	No	-$2	05-12 10:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:49:58	Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf90ca…
10-06 05:48:04	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x747929…
09-16 09:44:54	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x39a38c…
09-16 09:41:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfb4bf1…
08-28 12:25:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00f61e…
07-19 09:17:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc3b4fc…
06-07 12:23:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9a12e1…
05-29 09:54:45	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x08a322…
05-26 03:10:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22f5d1…
05-26 03:09:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ae256…
05-26 03:09:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaead4f…
05-26 03:09:25	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70579b…
05-26 03:09:13	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc9c74a…
05-23 07:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xb31d4b…
05-12 10:39:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6b90d8…
05-12 10:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0xdd6974…
05-12 10:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xd7823a…
05-01 11:04:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 3?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xcb3f58…
04-24 09:44:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x529900…
04-20 08:00:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x867463…
04-15 06:55:42	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe78d5e…
04-09 01:54:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x905c7f…
04-03 11:16:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 160 179	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe58148…
03-24 02:55:59	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x48a597…
03-19 02:44:47	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x459b9f…
03-11 08:53:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xea28b0…
03-06 02:21:33	will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb7c4e4…
03-06 02:21:19	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78626b…
03-06 02:21:07	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35fa35…
03-06 02:20:57	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x47309f…
03-06 02:20:47	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe55dc2…
02-13 08:08:19	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xe61b2a…
02-05 07:32:25	bitcoin above 90k on february 6	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x703a95…
02-01 09:54:46	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x61514d…
01-29 08:40:56	bitcoin above 96k on january 30	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x950319…
01-25 06:31:04	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xa648b0…
01-20 09:54:08	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa4b889…
01-13 08:58:37	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2993a0…
01-06 06:32:55	ethereum above 3500 on january 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc27132…