Mature-Dungeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

-$737

Hit rate

4.1%

Resolved

Trades

5,898

lifetime

Volume

$606.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$1.61K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Other

40% 0% $-1,581

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% 50% $-103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+3,845	$2,181	36¢	$1.4K	$-778	07-02 08:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	-296	$-148	57¢	$-170	$-22	06-21 13:52
Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	-112	$-88	24¢	$-27	+$61	06-21 10:58
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	+10	$8	95¢	$10	+$2	05-31 20:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	272	$33.5K	39,658	41,849	-2,191	open	—	01-31 14:51
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	329	$31.3K	60,606	57,750	+2,856	open	—	01-27 12:36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	111	$25.0K	17,121	16,280	+841	open	—	01-31 14:35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	47	$24.7K	17,183	11,119	+6,064	open	—	01-26 21:22
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	175	$24.4K	27,825	27,317	+509	open	—	02-27 21:05
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	141	$20.4K	20,923	22,005	-1,083	open	—	02-03 04:29
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	147	$20.0K	17,651	16,408	+1,243	open	—	02-26 12:50
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	25	$18.1K	9,253	9,253	+0	open	—	01-06 05:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	112	$15.7K	53,207	57,143	-3,936	open	—	02-02 19:47
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	41	$14.2K	28,422	28,422	+0	open	—	01-04 22:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	63	$13.4K	13,543	15,452	-1,909	open	—	03-01 11:46
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	70	$13.4K	9,614	12,613	-3,000	open	—	02-28 06:28
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	38	$12.3K	6,709	7,202	-494	open	—	01-05 23:28
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of february 891 467 293 318 938 368 477 523 354	4	$12.2K	12,319	0	+12,319	open	—	01-26 23:13
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	35	$11.3K	5,928	5,923	+5	open	—	01-05 11:46
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	25	$9.0K	5,051	5,051	+0	open	—	01-05 10:05
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	55	$8.0K	10,344	12,147	-1,803	open	—	01-19 02:37
nothing ever happens khamenei	78	$7.9K	13,136	14,854	-1,718	open	—	02-28 22:37
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	61	$7.8K	8,560	8,191	+369	open	—	01-17 08:03
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	45	$7.5K	7,160	5,521	+1,639	open	—	01-14 12:08
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	83	$7.3K	15,239	24,239	-9,000	open	—	01-17 02:14
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	86	$7.2K	8,728	8,728	+0	open	—	03-13 21:47
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	42	$6.5K	6,896	5,652	+1,244	open	—	01-23 18:24
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	38	$6.4K	3,574	3,600	-26	open	—	02-08 16:23
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	17	$6.3K	3,822	10,580	-6,758	open	—	01-03 06:31
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	15	$5.8K	5,248	5,248	+0	open	—	01-19 01:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	101	$5.7K	11,121	11,531	-411	open	—	03-05 00:47
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	8	$5.4K	1,500	6,851	-5,351	open	—	01-03 06:33
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 31 2026 996 176	44	$5.3K	2,951	3,788	-838	open	—	01-07 13:21
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	44	$5.2K	19,053	19,053	+0	open	—	01-26 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:33:11	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x896a1a…
06-29 20:21:17	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0xc6a143…
06-28 21:53:05	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0xd8a5c8…
06-28 21:52:34	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf58278…
06-28 21:52:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,868	1¢	$10	0x92558d…
06-28 21:52:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x69dc7b…
06-26 21:49:35	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,200	1¢	$33	0xc30e74…
06-24 00:40:49	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	240	1¢	$3	0x0d1882…
06-24 00:39:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,700	1¢	$58	0x311741…
06-22 22:52:55	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	385	2¢	$6	0x388f9a…
06-21 15:28:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,900	1¢	$42	0xb26958…
06-21 15:28:02	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$17	0xabbcdb…
06-21 13:52:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	596	53¢	$316	0xdd0d81…
06-21 11:03:04	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$40	0x570955…
06-21 11:02:17	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,200	2¢	$37	0x0ef997…
06-21 10:58:49	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	732	41¢	$297	0x51ef6c…
06-18 23:35:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	494	56¢	$277	0xc9402d…
06-18 11:45:53	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xaa08d9…
06-18 08:06:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9cb633…
06-13 16:57:40	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0xf49309…
06-10 19:14:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x6fe1eb…
06-10 19:02:19	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfc695e…
06-10 19:02:19	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcee026…
06-10 17:06:40	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3db61a…
06-10 14:53:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xea6963…
06-10 12:16:45	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe0944e…
06-10 08:29:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc28f19…
06-10 08:28:27	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe9e9b0…
06-10 08:27:18	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xceb484…
06-10 08:26:13	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf87430…
06-09 20:22:19	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	No	SELL	537	93¢	$499	0x625fb5…
06-09 11:34:58	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	32¢	$33	0xab1fce…
06-09 08:48:10	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xae4b11…
06-08 09:33:13	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xfe77ba…
06-07 15:40:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x110b83…
06-07 15:17:46	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x25ecca…
06-07 05:40:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf3a449…
06-07 02:08:07	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3213ca…
06-07 00:32:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0x7638c2…
06-06 23:38:22	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd68087…
06-06 15:48:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xafbfa8…
06-06 15:31:46	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x191787…
06-05 05:00:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	700	17¢	$119	0x641e90…
06-05 00:23:10	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x7d060f…
06-04 13:12:58	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	No	SELL	179	93¢	$167	0x0cd497…
06-04 10:43:28	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xd9080d…
06-04 02:13:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	275	51¢	$140	0xe4cec6…
06-03 23:01:12	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	No	SELL	79	93¢	$73	0xa12f77…
06-03 11:21:17	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe10721…
06-03 11:21:05	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x09d13e…
06-03 00:01:34	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xd6b3e5…
06-02 21:53:24	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	510	51¢	$260	0x7ce361…
06-02 18:55:08	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xe59641…
06-02 18:54:19	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x77e9fa…
06-02 15:38:38	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xaf6952…
06-02 11:16:36	No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?	No	SELL	197	88¢	$174	0xa312aa…
06-02 11:05:14	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0xd103dd…
06-02 06:42:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x8eefb2…
06-02 05:28:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2e06d6…
06-01 23:49:14	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc68c69…
06-01 19:15:44	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	527	61¢	$322	0xf1035a…
06-01 18:54:32	José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc3fe1e…
06-01 16:14:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8664d2…
06-01 14:51:24	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x7fc6fa…
06-01 14:24:20	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x8714b7…
06-01 14:22:46	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x5dbf65…
06-01 11:38:56	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xe2fca4…
06-01 11:04:20	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x4dd23a…
06-01 08:31:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0x0d9872…
06-01 08:22:45	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x78dddc…
06-01 07:51:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0x8f4822…
06-01 07:26:16	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x360f2d…
06-01 07:24:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x28d54a…
06-01 07:17:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdacbb4…
06-01 07:17:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x22a780…
06-01 07:13:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0f2873…
06-01 07:09:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf19eaa…
06-01 07:05:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x09363c…
06-01 07:03:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xeb9a32…
06-01 06:59:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9d1fbe…
06-01 06:57:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xea85b8…
06-01 06:57:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xa869e0…
06-01 06:57:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5d5203…
06-01 06:30:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	212	56¢	$119	0x66b85b…
06-01 05:10:59	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	267	12¢	$32	0xfe93f3…
06-01 01:10:50	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0xb8857f…
05-31 20:53:31	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x584482…
05-31 20:06:13	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	33¢	$96	0xc1ba5d…
05-31 19:19:38	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x1a6149…
05-31 15:05:44	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe0d297…
05-31 15:02:14	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	136	87¢	$119	0xf1082d…
05-31 14:54:02	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x938db7…
05-31 14:30:02	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	178	87¢	$155	0x5d3341…
05-31 12:20:44	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0xb73d60…
05-31 12:20:15	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	103	87¢	$90	0x163be7…
05-29 17:18:54	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	20¢	$15	0xa92e10…
05-28 13:14:06	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xa15754…
05-27 22:21:41	No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x3533c1…
05-20 16:46:36	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xe3540c…
05-19 22:06:34	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0x087c83…