Earnest-Galley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$371

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-13 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$1

Crypto

27% 100% +$1

Tech

11% 100% +$0

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-17 05:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-23 04:51
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-23 04:51
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	02-26 13:55
will nvda reach 244 in march	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	03-22 12:09
will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-08 08:49
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-23 04:52
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	08-13 14:43
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in august 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	08-13 14:45
will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$0	03-22 12:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-23 04:52
will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-08 08:49
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	08-13 14:45
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-23 04:52
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-08 08:49
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-08 01:54
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 8	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-08 01:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-11 03:21
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-11 03:20
bitcoin above 64k on march 17	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	03-15 23:39
will nvda close above 200 week march 27 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-22 12:08
bitcoin above 62k on march 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-15 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 14:45:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in august 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe4aac5…
08-13 14:45:07	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x47d7c4…
08-13 14:43:33	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x975c56…
07-08 08:49:59	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe33ae6…
07-08 08:49:43	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x25e948…
07-08 08:49:25	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x001d2d…
06-23 04:52:52	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4170a3…
06-23 04:52:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x75dde6…
06-23 04:52:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x56b146…
06-23 04:51:22	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc7e549…
06-23 04:51:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x393b42…
05-11 03:21:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x3b7a10…
05-11 03:20:33	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4c78d4…
05-11 03:19:04	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaf9c42…
05-11 03:18:13	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3691e5…
03-22 12:09:27	will nvda reach 244 in march	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3a8b70…
03-22 12:09:17	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x857e94…
03-22 12:08:47	will nvda close above 200 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x121476…
03-17 05:58:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x475489…
03-15 23:39:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 18	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98e57f…
03-15 23:39:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 17	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1db6a7…
02-26 13:55:36	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x20b77b…
02-26 13:52:34	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x928d78…
01-08 01:54:37	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x97c054…
01-08 01:54:23	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfafebe…