Same-Ferret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$221

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-16 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Sports

51% 30% +$93

Politics

30% — —

Other

16% 86% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-2,663	-$21	1¢	$-28	-$7	05-13 03:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phi uta 2026 03 21 spread away 5pt5	1	$100	200	0	+200	76ers	+$100	03-21 17:04
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$44	3,386	3,386	+0	open	—	05-24 15:56
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$21	0	2,663	-2,663	open	—	05-13 03:33
nba det tor 2026 03 15	1	$2	3	0	+3	Raptors	-$2	03-15 08:50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	07-10 08:58
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$2	5	0	+5	England	+$3	07-17 05:02
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-06 16:48
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-07 11:09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	07-06 16:47
cbb det robms 2026 03 09	1	$2	2	0	+2	Detroit Titans	-$2	03-09 11:46
nba sas mia 2026 03 23	1	$2	2	0	+2	Spurs	+$1	03-23 09:50
nhl car mon 2026 03 24	1	$1	3	0	+3	Canadiens	-$1	03-24 08:53
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	07-05 07:03
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-17 09:33
nhl wpg nyr 2026 03 22	1	$1	2	0	+2	Jets	-$1	03-22 09:07
nba hou min 2026 03 25	1	$1	2	0	+2	Timberwolves	-$1	03-25 12:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:52
nba cha sas 2026 03 14	1	$1	3	0	+3	Spurs	-$1	03-14 12:55
atp echargu grenier 2026 08 17	1	$1	2	0	+2	cancelled	+$0	08-18 10:02
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	07-14 04:22
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-09 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:55
Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 95°F or 96°F?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-07 13:40
nhl ana tor 2026 03 12	1	$1	2	0	+2	Maple Leafs	-$1	03-12 10:39
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-16 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:56
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	07-05 07:03
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:53
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 18:18:00	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98328e…
09-07 13:40:01	Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 95°F or 96°F?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa12c4e…
08-18 10:02:31	atp echargu grenier 2026 08 17	Hugo Grenier	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6adb2b…
07-17 09:33:30	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdad323…
07-17 05:02:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbd4534…
07-14 04:22:38	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x432d53…
07-10 08:58:13	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6392ae…
07-09 09:21:14	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9af338…
07-07 11:09:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x66c94d…
07-06 16:48:02	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x83cdf3…
07-06 16:47:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7d0d94…
07-05 07:03:56	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2c8a25…
07-05 07:03:29	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5e3e4c…
06-07 16:56:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86d78a…
06-07 16:55:49	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f185a…
06-07 16:55:40	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1889f…
06-07 16:55:03	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b2aef…
06-07 16:54:57	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x352a87…
06-07 16:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e4c60…
06-07 16:54:37	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3158ba…
06-07 16:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeab868…
06-07 16:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49aa01…
06-07 16:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x082a27…
06-07 16:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0423e7…
06-07 16:53:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49e9ad…
06-07 16:52:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13067c…
06-07 16:52:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86a1d5…
06-07 16:52:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf173d2…
06-07 16:52:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb18915…
06-07 16:52:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca071f…
06-07 16:52:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb28b37…
06-07 16:51:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x355fed…
06-07 16:51:43	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41c83d…
06-07 16:51:36	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe59eef…
06-07 16:51:30	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ac86c…
06-07 16:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57a333…
05-24 15:56:07	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3,386	1¢	$24	0x01ad5b…
05-13 11:08:16	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,386	1¢	$20	0xfabdad…
05-13 03:33:07	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	903	1¢	$7	0x6b826c…
05-13 03:13:02	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,760	1¢	$14	0x9296f1…
03-25 12:07:31	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Rockets	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x523dd5…
03-24 08:53:09	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Hurricanes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x3793b8…
03-23 09:50:17	nba sas mia 2026 03 23	Spurs	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xaf7466…
03-22 09:07:27	nhl wpg nyr 2026 03 22	Rangers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9b4c73…
03-21 17:04:15	nba phi uta 2026 03 21 spread away 5pt5	76ers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x49477a…
03-15 08:50:55	nba det tor 2026 03 15	Pistons	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc199d2…
03-14 12:55:29	nba cha sas 2026 03 14	Hornets	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa63896…
03-14 05:27:45	nhl bos wsh 2026 03 14	Capitals	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdea986…
03-12 10:39:27	nhl ana tor 2026 03 12	Ducks	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd76ea2…
03-09 11:46:23	cbb det robms 2026 03 09	Robert Morris Colonials	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x3b4595…
01-26 10:01:09	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f68fe…