Favorite-Incandescence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.38K

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

1,174

Trades

15,270

lifetime

Volume

$2.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$1.24K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 264 days

Categories

Sports

63% 50% +$26,143

Other

37% 49% +$4,635

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3,290

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Heat	—	+1,200	$636	52¢	$618	-$18	10-28 15:26
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes		+3,000	$1,074	9¢	$274	-$799	10-23 20:15
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No		+2,101	$754	9¢	$192	-$562	10-23 18:23
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes		+1,781	$155	9¢	$159	+$4	09-13 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on february 27 2026	167	$47.4K	101,195	0	+101,195	Down	+$173	02-27 20:47
spx up or down on february 26 2026	72	$20.2K	33,257	0	+33,257	Down	+$62	02-26 19:59
nhl tor cal 2026 02 02	85	$19.8K	36,000	8,000	+28,000	Maple Leafs	+$4,530	02-03 04:54
spx up or down on march 2 2026	100	$19.5K	38,912	0	+38,912	Up	+$381	03-02 19:04
nba nyk phi 2026 01 24	67	$18.2K	26,000	12,000	+14,000	Knicks	+$7,420	01-24 19:30
nba cle orl 2026 01 24	46	$16.4K	20,663	12,000	+8,663	Cavaliers	-$4,445	01-25 00:11
nhl bos nyr 2026 01 26	49	$15.4K	21,500	9,500	+12,000	Rangers	-$6,282	01-26 22:37
atp shelton sinner 2026 01 28	16	$14.3K	9,745	6,296	+3,449	Sinner	+$442	01-28 00:23
spx up or down on february 25 2026	73	$13.1K	26,220	0	+26,220	Up	+$7	02-25 19:50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$11.7K	12,500	0	+12,500	No	+$833	07-02 22:54
nba ind bos 2026 01 21 spread home 10pt5	54	$11.4K	13,132	10,112	+3,020	Celtics	-$1,346	01-22 00:12
nhl tb stl 2026 01 16	71	$11.3K	22,000	10,000	+12,000	Blues	+$7,710	01-17 00:56
nhl det tor 2026 01 21	79	$11.3K	16,000	5,707	+10,293	Red Wings	-$5,342	01-22 00:00
spx up or down on march 6 2026	13	$11.1K	15,244	1,000	+14,244	Down	+$656	03-06 15:48
nhl las bos 2026 01 22	13	$10.9K	17,653	7,653	+10,000	Bruins	+$5,524	01-23 00:06
nba det gsw 2026 01 30 spread home 2pt5	24	$10.6K	14,996	5,996	+9,000	Pistons	+$4,560	01-31 02:59
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	8	$10.2K	10,276	0	+10,276	Down	+$33	03-05 14:24
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	93	$10.1K	7,440	7,440	+0	Yes	-$144	03-17 23:50
nba dal bos 2026 03 06 total 224pt5	17	$9.9K	17,000	1,805	+15,195	Under	-$8,438	03-07 01:26
nhl lak buf 2026 01 29	1,454	$9.5K	14,661	2,994	+11,666	Sabres	+$5,437	01-29 22:49
atp tabilo baez 2026 02 27	40	$9.2K	18,659	0	+18,659	Sebastian Baez	+$629	02-27 23:53
spx up or down on february 24 2026	20	$9.1K	16,173	0	+16,173	Up	+$43	02-24 19:17
nfl la sea 2026 01 25 spread home 2pt5	69	$9.0K	9,000	9,000	+0	Seahawks	+$70	01-25 10:55
nhl sj van 2026 01 27	40	$8.3K	12,351	3,000	+9,351	Sharks	+$4,332	01-28 03:00
nhl bos fla 2026 02 04	22	$8.3K	14,000	4,016	+9,984	Panthers	-$4,362	02-05 03:03
nhl ott cbj 2026 01 20	3	$8.1K	9,800	6,000	+3,800	Senators	+$1,842	01-20 23:53
nhl sj chi 2026 02 02	35	$7.9K	15,000	856	+14,144	Blackhawks	+$7,132	02-03 01:06
nba ind was 2026 02 20	4	$7.8K	13,000	3,000	+10,000	Wizards	-$4,890	02-20 23:48
nhl ana cal 2026 01 25	55	$7.5K	11,987	3,000	+8,987	Ducks	-$4,498	01-26 00:51
ufc ros1 nat7 2026 01 24	2	$7.4K	9,710	0	+9,710	Silva	+$2,330	01-22 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:23:04	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x372bdf…
10-28 17:23:04	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x135813…
10-28 15:26:35	Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Heat	BUY	1,200	53¢	$636	0x61df18…
10-28 14:33:58	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	165	63¢	$104	0x987d7a…
10-27 21:46:35	Islanders vs. Predators	Islanders	BUY	1,800	48¢	$864	0xe98f26…
10-27 20:48:38	Wild vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	600	52¢	$312	0x629ef8…
10-27 16:12:11	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Blue Jackets	BUY	1,800	53¢	$954	0xcb6a26…
10-27 15:07:11	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	1,800	43¢	$774	0xd98609…
10-27 15:02:08	Wild vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	1,200	53¢	$636	0xed1922…
10-27 00:43:03	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	1,600	48¢	$768	0x81d6a5…
10-26 22:48:02	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Yes	BUY	120	44¢	$53	0x87968f…
10-25 20:18:38	Packers vs. Lions	Packers	BUY	2,000	34¢	$680	0xbb5ca4…
10-25 16:42:27	Spread: Browns (-2.5)	Titans	SELL	1,000	52¢	$520	0x27e408…
10-25 12:19:00	1H Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x6b0597…
10-25 12:18:53	1H Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x11e1c3…
10-25 04:37:57	Spread: Browns (-2.5)	Titans	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x1d158c…
10-25 04:22:44	1H Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	1,395	49¢	$684	0xec02a9…
10-25 02:13:48	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Houston	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x487a39…
10-24 23:33:00	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	1,800	41¢	$738	0x538861…
10-24 23:18:47	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Ole Miss	BUY	1,800	40¢	$720	0x3d0819…
10-24 21:28:15	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6a460d…
10-24 18:26:47	Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1,500	41¢	$615	0xfbc91f…
10-24 17:12:51	Spread: Broncos (-4.5)	Cardinals	BUY	1,500	50¢	$750	0x3a8aa6…
10-24 17:07:36	Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x5cfce9…
10-24 16:33:06	Akron vs. Kent State: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	316	49¢	$155	0xa24eea…
10-24 16:33:05	Akron vs. Kent State: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	342	49¢	$168	0xe2746c…
10-24 16:33:05	Akron vs. Kent State: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x7fe857…
10-24 16:33:05	Akron vs. Kent State: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x41faf2…
10-24 16:32:17	Akron vs. Kent State: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	877	49¢	$430	0x447303…
10-24 16:05:57	Spread: Indiana (-7.5)	Michigan	BUY	650	51¢	$332	0xe1b8ef…
10-24 16:05:21	Spread: Indiana (-7.5)	Michigan	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x01881f…
10-24 16:05:11	Spread: Indiana (-7.5)	Michigan	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf5ca02…
10-24 15:55:17	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	656	53¢	$348	0xd0e0c6…
10-24 15:55:17	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0xc14d08…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc11329…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	67	53¢	$36	0xaea244…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	31	53¢	$17	0xab7f22…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xa39629…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	144	53¢	$76	0x753025…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x40bf34…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x36b590…
10-24 15:55:15	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	112	53¢	$59	0x1189e8…
10-24 15:51:47	LSU vs. Auburn: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3eeaa2…
10-24 15:43:39	LSU vs. Auburn: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	315	47¢	$148	0x7ef9d5…
10-24 12:39:59	Lyon Open: Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x3c109c…
10-23 22:42:39	Duke vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	1,500	51¢	$765	0xbc3a22…
10-23 21:44:44	Canadiens vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	BUY	1,600	39¢	$624	0x80a2f6…
10-23 20:15:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	997	36¢	$355	0x33ee96…
10-23 20:07:27	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	753	36¢	$270	0x7d73f7…
10-23 20:06:48	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5e5bfa…
10-23 20:00:17	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	49	36¢	$17	0xcb311e…
10-23 19:41:15	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x436fb2…
10-23 19:14:27	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	124	36¢	$45	0x817fa8…
10-23 18:26:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x16076d…
10-23 18:23:54	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	547	36¢	$196	0xdedb92…
10-23 18:15:33	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x2814ec…
10-23 18:10:57	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x527c3b…
10-23 18:01:29	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	1,600	53¢	$848	0xc67aaf…
10-23 17:59:48	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	264	36¢	$95	0x297d5e…
10-23 17:46:20	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	501	26¢	$130	0xbe24d7…
10-23 17:34:05	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xf19e00…
10-23 17:28:59	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	101	36¢	$36	0xa38570…
10-23 17:18:59	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	435	36¢	$156	0xd790fb…
10-23 16:45:44	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x547601…
10-23 16:45:29	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x195cca…
10-23 16:45:11	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x332d56…
10-23 16:44:53	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xa72ce7…
10-23 16:44:41	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	950	36¢	$341	0x30297a…
10-23 16:44:20	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x955feb…
10-23 16:38:38	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	104	36¢	$37	0x038e26…
10-23 16:33:08	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x466cad…
10-23 16:32:27	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	390	36¢	$140	0xa53f25…
10-23 15:41:05	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xdcff14…
10-23 15:41:05	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	106	40¢	$42	0xbf4c3c…
10-23 15:41:05	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x67a515…
10-23 15:41:05	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	1,487	40¢	$595	0x49f013…
10-23 15:26:20	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	125	26¢	$33	0xc4e35c…
10-23 14:41:23	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	BUY	133	40¢	$53	0xdf1da9…
10-23 00:13:24	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0x1d5cc6…
10-22 23:35:26	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x8be370…
10-22 23:15:50	Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	237	55¢	$130	0xf1cd17…
10-22 21:20:06	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x79586a…
10-22 20:56:02	Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x394632…
10-22 17:44:08	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	278	47¢	$131	0xf491e6…
10-22 17:17:27	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x590656…
10-22 17:17:20	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xd720ee…
10-22 17:17:11	Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xbd9498…
10-22 17:04:35	Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	953	55¢	$524	0x7243b0…
10-22 16:28:57	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	71	26¢	$18	0xefa028…
10-22 13:54:18	Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0xe34732…
10-22 09:47:54	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	160	29¢	$46	0x55bd4f…
10-21 22:58:36	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	129	53¢	$68	0xebab7d…
10-21 22:58:35	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0x4d0f14…
10-21 22:56:26	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x9d2cbf…
10-21 22:56:21	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x60e2fa…
10-21 22:49:42	Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Suns	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xcaaa1c…
10-21 22:42:32	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	537	53¢	$285	0xc464cd…
10-21 22:22:53	Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Suns	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd84a7c…
10-21 22:21:06	Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)	Suns	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x18ae33…
10-21 22:20:56	Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)	Suns	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x3d92ec…