(anonymous) 0x6b92b9…dbb61f
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Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
283
Trades
544
lifetime
Volume
$1.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$70
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-12
last 10-28 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
59% 58% -$1
Politics
21% 59% +$1
Sports
15% 56% +$9
Crypto
5% 91% +$12
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +14 $3 99¢ $14 +$11 10-25 23:48
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? Yes +10 $5 72¢ $7 +$3 10-26 02:04
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +23 $7 28¢ $6 $0 10-26 08:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-23 05:36
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +9 $5 56¢ $5 +$0 10-23 14:21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $5 26¢ $5 $0 10-23 05:03
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$1 10-26 19:57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +6 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 09-29 15:10
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +8 $3 44¢ $3 +$0 10-26 03:17
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +3 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 10-28 02:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2 $2 66¢ $2 $0 09-22 13:09
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 10-05 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +9 $5 15¢ $1 -$3 10-26 02:04
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +6 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 09-21 16:50
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 09-22 14:16
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 09-22 06:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $0 09-22 15:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 77¢ $1 $0 09-22 10:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:03
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-05 18:58
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 10-02 12:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? Yes +11 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-02 13:02
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-27 04:08