Mad-Judge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$97

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-20 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 50% $-4

Other

29% — —

Politics

12% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$47	35	27	+8	open	—	05-20 07:44
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-09 07:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-07 06:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-07 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Up	$-5	05-07 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-08 12:04
Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	37	0	+37	Yes	$-2	05-03 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0xacbe09…
05-20 07:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xf1fd1c…
05-09 07:13:37	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x5c343d…
05-08 12:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xeba50a…
05-07 07:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdadb8f…
05-07 06:44:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6dcbac…
05-07 06:43:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xd7e254…
05-03 18:27:18	Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xaab204…