Crazy-Glory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

837

Trades

1,158

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

67% 45% -$44

Politics

30% 95% -$4

Crypto

1% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 71% +$46

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	4	$1.6K	824	824	+0	No	+$11	02-10 10:29
aapl close above 280 on february 26 2026	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$5	02-26 22:16
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	3	$866	471	471	+0	Yes	+$66	03-09 17:00
nvda close above 185 on february 10 2026	2	$809	410	410	+0	Yes	+$9	02-10 21:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$620	323	323	+0	No	+$20	04-21 21:07
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$500	504	0	+504	No	+$4	02-26 22:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$500	541	0	+541	No	+$41	02-27 15:39
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$400	404	0	+404	No	+$4	02-23 21:23
will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	1	$400	418	0	+418	Yes	+$18	02-25 10:42
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$400	406	0	+406	No	+$6	02-24 15:57
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	02-08 01:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	02-15 23:06
will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	02-03 23:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$352	221	200	+21	No	+$1	01-20 23:05
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	2	$324	175	175	+0	No	+$24	01-20 12:11
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$301	152	152	+0	No	+$1	01-24 02:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	03-30 22:17
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$300	339	0	+339	No	+$39	03-05 13:08
bun bay moe 2026 03 06 moe	1	$300	321	0	+321	No	+$21	03-06 15:11
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$300	312	0	+312	No	+$12	03-13 15:36
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	02-14 00:58
will russia join the board of peace	3	$298	197	197	+0	No	+$61	02-19 13:54
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	4	$252	127	127	+0	No	+$2	01-23 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?	3	$248	148	148	+0	Yes	+$48	08-04 17:58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$204	300	0	+300	Yes	-$204	02-16 12:56
fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	02-15 21:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$202	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	02-25 10:43
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	1	$200	250	0	+250	Yes	+$50	03-13 15:37
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$200	220	0	+220	No	+$20	02-16 11:32
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	02-22 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4d5065…
10-25 21:38:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	38	62¢	$24	0xa15bac…
10-25 13:53:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xd7691f…
10-24 15:47:26	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x38102b…
10-22 20:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x9d34f4…
10-22 20:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x3e5bf0…
10-21 11:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2f0cc9…
10-21 08:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3d7f3c…
10-21 08:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6f7c58…
10-21 08:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x933fab…
10-21 08:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xd69e8d…
10-21 08:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x109293…
10-21 08:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xcf7354…
10-21 08:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x00ea50…
10-21 08:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc2320d…
10-21 07:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2792bc…
10-21 07:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0f9abc…
10-21 07:53:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd05013…
10-20 19:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc8787a…
10-20 15:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd7a7b3…
10-20 15:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2db499…
10-20 15:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5b248f…
10-20 15:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xacd384…
10-20 10:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x57c8a1…
10-20 10:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x6c66fe…
10-20 10:23:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8417b0…
10-20 10:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x399290…
10-20 10:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x72ac84…
10-20 10:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa888de…
10-20 10:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x78be15…
10-20 10:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x2452ca…
10-20 10:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x90d36d…
10-20 10:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xecd6bd…
10-20 10:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3b0a17…
10-20 10:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa1c01a…
10-20 10:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa15ae9…
10-20 10:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa48146…
10-19 14:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfefbe9…
10-19 14:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdb11a7…
10-19 13:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1bed1e…
10-19 09:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2a5931…
10-19 09:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4989bb…
10-19 09:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe88eea…
10-19 09:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x512aef…
10-19 09:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x55dbdd…
10-19 09:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2e0207…
10-19 09:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x208321…
10-19 09:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf24c6a…
10-19 09:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9034a9…
10-19 09:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x826642…
10-19 09:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x67ae03…
10-19 09:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1ff36d…
10-19 09:36:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 19?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc98fb8…
10-18 15:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xfbe0fb…
10-18 15:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2eca44…
10-17 18:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x004b9e…
10-17 15:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1d6f2d…
10-17 10:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4d4e3e…
10-17 10:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc18de6…
10-17 10:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3fff9e…
10-17 10:47:51	highest temperature in moscow on october 18 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcd61af…
10-17 10:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfe013f…
10-17 10:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x47161d…
10-17 10:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe37014…
10-17 10:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa5ba20…
10-17 10:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf34b7d…
10-16 12:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x01251a…
10-16 11:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x4dcab1…
10-16 11:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 16?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x94079e…
10-16 08:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x92ad1d…
10-16 08:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8ced20…
10-16 08:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x28b6e0…
10-16 08:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa0213e…
10-16 08:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc19904…
10-15 10:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x2e314b…
10-15 06:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xeedf41…
10-15 06:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6f4f08…
10-15 06:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 15?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x024a1a…
10-15 06:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xc61e5b…
10-15 06:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xab7e47…
10-15 06:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x655cfa…
10-15 06:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf82fae…
10-15 06:48:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x215b7b…
10-14 14:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9c2720…
10-14 14:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xaff002…
10-13 08:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x165c7a…
10-13 08:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8d1a47…
10-13 08:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8942c6…
10-13 08:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2b5348…
10-13 07:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa8247e…
10-13 07:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x25d920…
10-13 07:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7752ec…
10-13 07:55:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa8a00c…
10-12 11:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0d9cf5…
10-12 11:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8d876f…
10-12 11:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x065b43…
10-12 11:03:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcf3a8f…
10-12 11:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0xe35e31…
10-11 13:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa4597b…
10-09 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf93c96…