Crazy-Glory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-11 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

42% 100% +$16

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-100

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	4	$1.6K	824	824	+0	open	—	02-10 10:29
aapl close above 280 on february 26 2026	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	open	—	02-26 22:16
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	3	$866	471	471	+0	open	—	03-09 17:00
nvda close above 185 on february 10 2026	2	$809	410	410	+0	open	—	02-10 21:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$620	323	323	+0	open	—	04-21 21:07
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$500	504	0	+504	open	—	02-26 22:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$500	541	0	+541	open	—	02-27 15:39
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	02-23 21:23
will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	1	$400	418	0	+418	open	—	02-25 10:42
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$400	406	0	+406	open	—	02-24 15:57
will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	02-03 23:58
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	02-08 01:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	open	—	02-15 23:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$352	221	200	+21	open	—	01-20 23:05
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	2	$324	175	175	+0	open	—	01-20 12:11
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$301	152	152	+0	open	—	01-24 02:15
bun bay moe 2026 03 06 moe	1	$300	321	0	+321	open	—	03-06 15:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$300	339	0	+339	open	—	03-05 13:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$300	304	0	+304	open	—	03-30 22:17
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$300	312	0	+312	open	—	03-13 15:36
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$300	302	0	+302	open	—	02-14 00:58
will russia join the board of peace	3	$298	197	197	+0	open	—	02-19 13:54
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	4	$252	127	127	+0	open	—	01-23 13:23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$204	300	0	+300	open	—	02-16 12:56
fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	02-15 21:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$202	105	105	+0	open	—	02-25 10:43
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	1	$200	250	0	+250	open	—	03-13 15:37
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$200	220	0	+220	open	—	02-16 11:32
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$180	183	0	+183	open	—	02-22 12:44
bitcoin above 92k on january 22	1	$160	161	0	+161	open	—	01-22 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:43:39	cs2 navi ts7 2026 06 11	Spirit	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd3f8d7…
06-11 14:08:18	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	Vitality	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x1ad518…
06-11 13:58:09	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	Vitality	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x99904a…
06-06 13:52:25	cs2 ts7 bb3 2026 06 06	Spirit	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x040e23…
06-06 11:42:12	cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06	FUT Esports	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xe071aa…
06-06 11:39:43	cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06	FUT Esports	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x1b02e4…
06-06 10:52:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf847b5…
05-14 22:59:48	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x148820…
05-14 22:30:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x855b0f…
05-09 23:05:25	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x37cd36…
05-06 18:08:13	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x649fe4…
04-21 21:07:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	323	99¢	$320	0x8e7260…
04-13 22:14:27	cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13	FURIA	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x503b6c…
04-13 17:44:47	cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13	FURIA	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x716258…
04-13 10:05:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x84fc70…
03-30 22:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x660199…
03-13 17:46:25	cs2 ast10 ts7 2026 03 13	Spirit	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xe26c51…
03-13 16:00:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 50forhigher	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x530874…
03-13 15:37:51	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xc8bf57…
03-13 15:36:39	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x4fe55c…
03-10 16:58:35	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 ata1	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd0d3ae…
03-09 21:48:57	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa31202…
03-09 17:00:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xa23d16…
03-09 17:00:23	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	SELL	471	99¢	$466	0x0694e1…
03-09 13:18:19	cs2 mglz 3dmax 2026 03 09	TheMongolz	SELL	72	74¢	$54	0x1349f5…
03-09 12:33:09	cs2 mglz 3dmax 2026 03 09	TheMongolz	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xfa6448…
03-08 11:32:37	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x49b6e5…
03-06 15:11:05	bun bay moe 2026 03 06 moe	No	BUY	321	94¢	$300	0xbaa3db…
03-06 11:53:33	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x91ab7d…
03-06 09:41:53	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 6 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xeebf9a…
03-05 13:08:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	339	88¢	$300	0xb3f004…
03-05 12:56:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x88090e…
02-27 15:39:07	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	541	92¢	$500	0x5b858e…
02-26 22:54:02	will mrbeasts next video get between 39pt5 and 40pt0 million views on day 6	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3fc0ca…
02-26 22:39:38	will trump say fat slob by february 28	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x42930c…
02-26 22:17:12	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x686513…
02-26 22:16:30	aapl close above 280 on february 26 2026	No	SELL	506	100¢	$505	0x358f6f…
02-26 16:56:22	aapl close above 280 on february 26 2026	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x556b77…
02-25 10:43:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x2c3f18…
02-25 10:42:18	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	418	96¢	$400	0x652206…
02-25 00:10:30	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8757a4…
02-24 22:41:52	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 oly	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcc88cf…
02-24 21:33:14	ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 oly	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9d59be…
02-24 15:57:36	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	406	99¢	$400	0x68d8a1…
02-23 21:23:06	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xf17d6f…
02-22 12:44:48	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x9f6ce2…
02-21 19:52:08	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xe9ea08…
02-19 23:26:22	will tesla tsla be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of february 16	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbae0ea…
02-19 15:15:30	will trump say six seven this week february 22	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x55576d…
02-19 13:54:16	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	197	91¢	$179	0x6ec258…
02-19 00:11:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xc6bf2b…
02-18 22:28:58	bkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 48pt5	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7e6d7b…
02-18 22:25:06	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 wol	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x59ac73…
02-18 15:57:42	epl wol ars 2026 02 18 wol	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xd557ab…
02-18 14:39:14	bkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 48pt5	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x534d08…
02-18 14:28:52	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x20f1ed…
02-18 10:50:20	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x162726…
02-16 14:01:03	cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16	Vitality	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x78c7d9…
02-16 12:56:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x9d5f4e…
02-16 11:32:29	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x41063a…
02-15 23:29:07	will trump say midterm election this week february 15	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x969ba1…
02-15 23:16:05	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x083a65…
02-15 23:06:01	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xa4f619…
02-15 21:45:13	fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x0ef002…
02-15 21:30:03	fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x78b7ee…
02-15 14:56:39	cs2 aur1 pain 2026 02 15	Aurora Gaming	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0x9f78fc…
02-15 14:56:21	cs2 aur1 pain 2026 02 15 game2	Aurora Gaming	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x07ef88…
02-15 14:04:59	cs2 aur1 pain 2026 02 15 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x7e2898…
02-15 13:32:33	cs2 aur1 pain 2026 02 15	Aurora Gaming	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x756a1c…
02-14 00:58:53	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x7c961b…
02-12 22:37:07	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x31da92…
02-12 22:20:01	will amazon amzn be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of february 9	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x497e45…
02-12 22:19:21	will alphabet googl be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of february 9	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x7e1697…
02-11 16:48:47	epl mac ful 2026 02 11 ful	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xec8897…
02-11 12:35:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa1567…
02-10 22:57:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2694ec…
02-10 21:54:47	aapl close above 280 on february 10 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9e03e9…
02-10 21:46:17	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x42597a…
02-10 21:35:17	nvda close above 185 on february 10 2026	Yes	SELL	410	100¢	$409	0x99b581…
02-10 17:33:03	aapl close above 280 on february 10 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3303d4…
02-10 17:26:53	nvda close above 185 on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	410	98¢	$400	0x4cb2d7…
02-10 10:29:11	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	SELL	411	100¢	$410	0x1d6cdc…
02-09 22:29:07	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0x4f2a44…
02-09 16:18:35	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	SELL	413	97¢	$401	0x972b91…
02-09 15:13:41	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0xf9e66f…
02-08 01:28:01	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x6406ed…
02-05 23:57:29	will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xe438a2…
02-03 23:58:38	will the us next strike iran on february 3 2026 et	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xd2c925…
01-28 12:34:53	cs2 hero prv 2026 01 28	PARIVISION	SELL	52	93¢	$49	0x1fd1cc…
01-28 12:09:05	cs2 hero prv 2026 01 28	PARIVISION	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x45a82e…
01-28 10:17:43	cs2 hero prv 2026 01 28	PARIVISION	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xc061d1…
01-26 23:24:09	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbf0405…
01-24 15:52:46	will there be less than 4 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x0afb63…
01-24 15:31:38	cs2 prv furia 2026 01 24	FURIA	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xecc509…
01-24 15:30:22	ufc ros1 nat7 2026 01 24	Silva	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0cd2cc…
01-24 15:29:38	ufc and28 ate 2026 01 24	Gautier	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xbf7082…
01-24 15:29:10	odds of khamenei out by february over 50 in january 172	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xfcacd0…
01-24 02:27:10	will trump say portugal or portuguese this week january 25	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60e27a…
01-24 02:16:56	will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbdfde5…
01-24 02:16:20	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb9865c…