Realized P&L
-$61
Unrealized P&L
+$4.56K
Hit rate
33.8%
Resolved
99
Trades
14,291
lifetime
Volume
$100.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$29.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 10-27 21:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Sports
69% 41% +$128
Other
24% 22% -$171
Politics
7% 19% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +7,971 $7,174 100¢ $8.0K +$789 09-18 01:16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +6,992 $4,309 100¢ $7.0K +$2,659 07-31 17:16
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +4,917 $4,474 99¢ $4.9K +$416 07-28 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,554 $2,079 82¢ $2.1K +$29 09-20 03:02
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +2,069 $1,751 100¢ $2.1K +$309 09-18 10:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,545 $476 18¢ $445 -$30 09-19 22:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +434 $276 96¢ $417 +$141 09-20 05:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +416 $386 99¢ $413 +$27 09-20 06:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +417 $247 96¢ $400 +$154 09-18 12:33
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +302 $289 96¢ $290 +$1 09-18 14:52
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +279 $261 90¢ $251 -$10 09-19 15:49
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +236 $226 96¢ $227 +$1 09-15 05:19
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +233 $222 97¢ $227 +$5 09-19 21:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +195 $192 98¢ $191 -$1 09-20 08:00
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +179 $172 95¢ $171 -$2 09-19 14:28
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +162 $155 100¢ $162 +$7 09-19 23:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +162 $160 100¢ $161 +$1 09-18 23:38
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +140 $139 100¢ $140 +$1 10-27 06:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +200 $130 68¢ $137 +$8 10-27 20:22
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +141 $139 96¢ $135 -$4 09-18 17:22
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +145 $136 93¢ $134 -$2 10-27 22:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +125 $118 100¢ $125 +$7 08-10 11:58
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +129 $122 96¢ $123 +$2 10-26 03:08
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +131 $127 94¢ $123 -$4 09-02 21:32
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +140 $133 87¢ $121 -$12 09-18 21:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +151 $79 79¢ $119 +$40 09-18 20:43
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +123 $119 97¢ $119 +$0 09-15 19:59
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +145 $104 78¢ $114 +$9 10-27 21:29
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +123 $104 92¢ $114 +$10 09-18 12:42
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +113 $108 100¢ $113 +$5 08-27 13:30