Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-09 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

48% 57% +$14

Other

37% 56% +$26

Tech

10% 50% +$10

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Crypto

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	17¢	$3	+$2	10-09 03:12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+10	$2	20¢	$2	+$0	10-09 01:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$3	5¢	$1	-$2	10-06 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	12	$47	70	50	+20	open	—	10-09 03:12
Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?	4	$32	30	20	+10	No	-$2	08-23 10:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-03 05:38
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	6	$26	40	40	+0	open	—	09-10 14:48
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	2	$23	20	20	+0	No	+$17	09-09 19:03
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	08-29 21:03
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?	3	$20	20	10	+10	open	—	10-07 04:38
will bessent say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during press conference	2	$19	17	17	+0	No	$0	08-24 18:20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?	3	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	10-04 13:15
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	09-07 10:48
Will Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 09:35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-12 13:55
will the gta 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long 20260807064756493	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	08-22 23:32
will angela murray be evicted in big brother season 28 week 8	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	08-31 19:40
Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	3	$16	20	10	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 20:23
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-05 22:37
Will Leavitt say "Pool" during the next White House Press Briefing?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$3	08-28 00:53
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	08-29 04:07
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	10-06 02:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more?	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	09-08 21:04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	09-08 13:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	09-08 21:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	3	$12	20	10	+10	open	—	10-09 01:22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?	1	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	08-30 14:58
will andy burnham say oil or gas or gasoline during the next pmq	2	$11	16	16	+0	No	+$5	08-21 09:40
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	09-01 17:53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	10-07 08:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	08-28 15:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	10-08 09:18
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 35% or more?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	09-05 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 16:20:24	Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x3e2657…
10-09 03:55:42	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4c677f…
10-09 03:12:38	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6b932c…
10-09 01:22:09	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3daaf5…
10-09 00:21:02	Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x78ee79…
10-08 13:56:20	Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x2ba6ef…
10-08 12:40:45	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xdc750e…
10-08 12:15:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x39dfc8…
10-08 09:51:33	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe74a05…
10-08 09:18:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x6ce4b8…
10-08 01:20:19	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf7f3bb…
10-07 21:17:58	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x227096…
10-07 19:09:55	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8fb87c…
10-07 11:55:44	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xd875bc…
10-07 08:46:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x5ff106…
10-07 04:38:02	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x9cf5c5…
10-07 04:20:39	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5d893e…
10-07 00:08:04	Plague case in US by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xfa6242…
10-06 15:08:33	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x82b5cd…
10-06 15:08:09	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x25829c…
10-06 12:31:06	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xedb424…
10-06 02:28:06	Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9c2832…
10-05 22:37:05	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xa22913…
10-05 22:08:31	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x4ef41f…
10-05 19:26:55	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb98515…
10-05 05:44:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7892c2…
10-04 13:15:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x53123c…
10-04 08:00:20	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9c556a…
10-04 07:08:49	Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x631bd2…
10-04 02:18:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xbbbe64…
10-03 06:37:47	Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4c2a41…
10-03 05:38:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3a29bb…
10-03 03:30:53	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd0975d…
10-03 02:18:39	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd4bc89…
10-02 22:40:09	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0b798f…
10-02 20:49:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2bbac8…
10-02 20:12:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xdeadfa…
10-02 20:12:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x4c5e15…
09-12 22:47:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x55187a…
09-12 15:09:31	Will Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his announcement?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xaaefaf…
09-12 14:35:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x23521c…
09-12 13:55:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xa39e85…
09-11 10:02:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x904e6d…
09-11 02:57:03	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x2d8008…
09-10 22:29:39	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x7f7e45…
09-10 21:44:24	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x9ae299…
09-10 20:31:30	Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe46ca9…
09-10 20:23:13	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xfe560c…
09-10 20:23:09	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x060d13…
09-10 19:55:25	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7e2780…
09-10 19:48:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf74aba…
09-10 16:19:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xb6c4d1…
09-10 14:49:40	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x63600b…
09-10 14:48:22	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x5aef02…
09-10 12:06:27	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe54073…
09-10 04:40:25	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x1efbbf…
09-10 03:02:25	will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf9eaa2…
09-10 01:17:48	will openai announce another millennium prize solution by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xda9a43…
09-10 00:14:19	will tristan buckmaster sue openai by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe86453…
09-09 20:51:42	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc85a58…
09-09 20:34:49	Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x75e9df…
09-09 19:50:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 45% or more?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x72bef2…
09-09 19:03:34	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x37f7f9…
09-09 17:52:58	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x6caf98…
09-09 14:57:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 35% or more?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xad0be5…
09-09 14:17:06	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x26ee1b…
09-09 14:06:52	Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x265537…
09-09 05:18:00	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x7db6a9…
09-09 01:40:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe862cc…
09-08 21:46:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 75% or more?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0fa5e9…
09-08 21:45:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x38d3ac…
09-08 21:23:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x545b5d…
09-08 21:22:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb184d8…
09-08 21:04:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x986f65…
09-08 21:04:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb451d3…
09-08 21:04:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb74e5c…
09-08 18:31:40	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2dcb87…
09-08 17:27:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 40% or more?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x97f3e1…
09-08 16:11:34	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x24c836…
09-08 13:54:45	Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xafc922…
09-08 13:14:36	Will Tee Higgins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xdd5d22…
09-08 13:14:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x794171…
09-08 04:23:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa34076…
09-08 02:31:09	Will Alabama Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0255f1…
09-08 02:19:43	Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x48d282…
09-08 02:19:24	Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd0089f…
09-08 01:27:06	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc1dc3b…
09-08 00:49:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x531e0c…
09-07 10:48:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbb3c4a…
09-07 10:47:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x6c76fb…
09-06 22:43:06	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb6afc2…
09-06 16:42:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xddbc90…
09-06 15:07:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x36e64e…
09-06 15:07:00	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x28acaa…
09-06 07:37:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 35% or more?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5a0717…
09-06 04:49:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 5% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc164ca…
09-06 03:34:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc8b688…
09-06 03:24:46	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xe85382…
09-06 03:10:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0ce751…
09-06 02:55:54	Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4efaa8…