Selfish-Disco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

10,443

lifetime

Volume

$307.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% — —

Other

17% 100% +$7

Politics

2% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 980 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on january 10	31	$1.4K	659	709	-50	open	—	01-10 16:56
eth updown 15m 1769068800	16	$1.1K	690	690	+0	open	—	01-22 08:15
ethereum up or down january 15 4am et	21	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	01-15 09:57
ethereum up or down january 21 7am et	17	$1.0K	528	528	+0	open	—	01-21 12:59
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 15corbelow	39	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	04-20 08:51
eth updown 15m 1769679000	2	$984	516	515	+1	open	—	01-29 09:46
eth updown 15m 1768911300	6	$968	485	485	+0	open	—	01-20 12:45
eth updown 15m 1771155000	2	$930	474	474	+0	open	—	02-15 11:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 9 2026 15corhigher	23	$929	475	474	+1	open	—	04-09 10:22
highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 24c	91	$919	661	661	+0	open	—	04-16 10:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 27?	6	$881	450	439	+11	open	—	04-26 13:03
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 20corhigher	46	$870	453	424	+29	open	—	04-15 08:33
highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 23c	28	$864	520	514	+6	open	—	04-16 10:05
ethereum above 1600 on february 18	2	$853	427	427	+0	open	—	02-18 10:43
ethereum up or down january 18 2am et	44	$816	469	369	+100	open	—	01-18 07:55
lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 16corhigher	11	$810	407	407	+0	open	—	04-22 14:23
ethereum up or down on february 1	7	$782	534	250	+284	open	—	02-01 16:44
ethereum up or down january 26 11pm et	2	$779	392	392	+0	open	—	01-27 05:03
eth updown 15m 1770202800	6	$756	660	100	+560	open	—	02-04 11:14
ethereum up or down january 21 11am et	7	$727	355	380	-25	open	—	01-21 17:00
highest temperature in chengdu on april 19 2026 29c	4	$697	350	350	+0	open	—	04-19 05:04
ethereum up or down on january 3	8	$697	347	354	-7	open	—	01-03 17:32
eth updown 15m 1769949000	6	$681	600	100	+500	open	—	02-01 12:45
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	24	$665	390	394	-4	open	—	01-02 16:08
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	8	$656	330	329	+0	open	—	04-14 17:25
eth updown 15m 1770207300	1	$642	643	0	+643	open	—	02-04 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$636	320	320	+0	open	—	04-30 18:18
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 7am et	3	$627	314	314	+0	open	—	03-17 11:55
highest temperature in wuhan on april 16 2026 25c	43	$627	309	321	-12	open	—	04-16 09:29
ethereum above 2900 on january 21	16	$622	388	392	-4	open	—	01-21 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 23:43:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xecb049…
06-06 04:08:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xafb681…
06-06 04:06:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x662f4d…
06-05 16:38:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x81e79d…
06-05 16:38:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2a2c44…
06-05 07:13:24	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0x8bc560…
06-05 07:11:03	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x530e4e…
06-04 07:25:15	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe39d99…
06-04 07:24:06	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc531b9…
06-04 07:08:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa80407…
06-01 04:11:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7b213d…
06-01 04:11:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x68cdff…
05-31 11:00:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x5abede…
05-30 18:08:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf7f1c7…
05-30 18:08:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3ac37e…
05-30 18:05:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x34373f…
05-30 06:00:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x7096b0…
05-30 05:59:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x377420…
05-30 05:59:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x76c98c…
05-29 06:59:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x16bb65…
05-28 05:05:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5e06ac…
05-28 04:31:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x63ced7…
05-27 08:32:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x986b8a…
05-27 07:41:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x681b3d…
05-27 07:40:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x8d39a3…
05-26 14:26:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x2a6a55…
05-26 14:23:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2045ca…
05-26 07:14:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc29add…
05-26 07:13:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x31750a…
05-25 11:35:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8d1a7c…
05-24 17:09:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x675034…
05-24 17:07:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc52b8e…
05-21 02:04:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef5311…
05-19 15:00:37	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5da392…
05-19 14:59:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x77d432…
05-18 08:45:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7fdd00…
05-18 06:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x95ef29…
05-18 06:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5d81c5…
05-17 17:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb442a0…
05-16 17:46:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d8eac…
05-16 05:19:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4da9e6…
05-15 15:49:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x04c2f7…
05-15 12:44:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1b2228…
05-13 16:55:46	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x85b75c…
05-13 11:17:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf31715…
05-12 05:16:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc5b4b7…
05-11 13:40:24	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x3902ff…
05-11 13:40:08	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0bfd83…
05-11 13:39:31	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7cdc61…
05-11 08:01:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x8bae4b…
05-11 07:57:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1240b4…
05-11 07:56:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x4c3b3d…
05-09 06:08:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0d966b…
05-09 06:07:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2d5632…
05-08 21:01:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x96d351…
05-08 20:53:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xaffd06…
05-08 20:53:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x70bd28…
05-08 19:59:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xec6abc…
05-08 06:45:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xe6359d…
05-08 06:44:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xcd59e0…
05-08 06:43:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x318d1c…
05-08 06:42:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x15e549…
05-08 06:41:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe2d2d0…
05-08 06:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xac3f96…
05-08 05:06:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xee8ed4…
05-08 05:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x1e56d4…
05-08 04:59:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x4accb0…
05-07 12:26:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x0dfab5…
05-07 03:49:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1941c8…
05-06 19:07:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7830d9…
05-06 02:40:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa0072c…
05-06 02:16:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xd8bac9…
05-05 12:46:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x82a921…
05-05 10:53:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$90	0x72c82a…
05-04 10:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x8f1f29…
05-04 10:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa08b3c…
05-04 10:27:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x60f5a5…
05-04 10:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc45953…
05-04 08:30:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x0b1d07…
05-04 08:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xf1a817…
05-04 04:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd67909…
05-03 18:15:36	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x910f00…
05-03 16:37:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xde5757…
05-03 16:34:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x2c300d…
05-03 16:31:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xbcac05…
05-03 16:31:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfc9810…
05-03 16:28:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xaa7fd6…
05-03 16:28:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe52367…
05-03 16:27:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb8ca21…
05-03 16:27:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x513eec…
05-03 16:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7ee4a2…
05-03 16:26:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d0711…
05-03 16:05:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36ed63…
05-03 06:38:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x89a30b…
05-03 06:35:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb90c35…
05-03 06:34:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xbdebe1…
05-02 07:31:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa762c3…
05-01 05:03:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xae8836…
05-01 05:02:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xba30f7…
05-01 04:50:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x4fa2fa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	365	$746	1,309	04-28 08:26
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	347	$657.5K	49,434	03-21 09:48
(anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b	322	$51.2K	3,422	03-24 12:46
Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238	321	$16.3K	637	05-27 13:26
Indolent-Classroom 0x0d19…38d1	319	$1.66K	326	04-05 12:37
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	313	$538.1K	29,283	03-21 09:36
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	310	$114.4K	21,520	03-24 13:38
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	309	$198.7K	15,384	03-15 07:11