Cylindrical-Efficiency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,530

lifetime

Volume

$6.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-10 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

65% — —

Politics

23% — —

Other

5% 100% +$23

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 25% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes		+29	$26	68¢	$20	$-6	07-10 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	33	$186	152	144	+8	open	—	05-18 20:05
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	8	$169	89	89	+0	open	—	05-24 14:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$164	109	129	-19	open	—	05-23 18:00
btc updown 15m 1774938600	99	$153	274	0	+274	open	—	03-31 06:44
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	5	$149	98	98	+0	open	—	05-25 00:24
btc updown 15m 1774903500	86	$149	289	0	+289	open	—	03-30 20:59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	8	$133	93	83	+11	open	—	05-22 22:30
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$116	127	127	+0	open	—	07-07 19:32
btc updown 15m 1774893600	59	$113	158	0	+158	open	—	03-30 18:14
btc updown 15m 1774904400	44	$104	157	0	+157	open	—	03-30 21:12
btc updown 15m 1774944000	51	$98	127	0	+127	open	—	03-31 08:13
btc updown 15m 1774943100	50	$97	156	0	+156	open	—	03-31 08:00
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	3	$91	65	65	+0	open	—	06-21 10:05
btc updown 15m 1774892700	36	$79	105	0	+105	open	—	03-30 17:57
btc updown 15m 1774937700	41	$78	128	0	+128	open	—	03-31 06:28
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	9	$76	74	56	+18	open	—	07-04 13:06
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	7	$76	188	0	+188	open	—	05-27 22:55
btc updown 15m 1774936800	25	$71	81	0	+81	open	—	03-31 06:10
btc updown 15m 1774899000	38	$69	107	0	+107	open	—	03-30 19:44
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	9	$68	47	47	+0	open	—	04-29 21:54
btc updown 15m 1774935900	38	$67	103	0	+103	open	—	03-31 05:58
btc updown 15m 1774854900	36	$64	98	0	+98	open	—	03-30 07:28
btc updown 15m 1774942200	34	$58	100	0	+100	open	—	03-31 07:44
btc updown 15m 1774944900	25	$52	77	0	+77	open	—	03-31 08:29
btc updown 15m 1774891800	23	$52	63	0	+63	open	—	03-30 17:42
eth updown 15m 1774863900	26	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	03-30 09:59
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	4	$48	42	42	+0	open	—	04-15 09:39
will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	5	$47	90	0	+90	open	—	06-30 10:27
xrp updown 15m 1774855800	24	$47	70	0	+70	open	—	03-30 07:42
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$47	34	34	+0	Timberwolves	+$17	05-11 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 15:33:44	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xab4753…
07-10 15:26:20	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1bc069…
07-07 19:32:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x4787ca…
07-07 19:26:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x66d5a2…
07-07 19:22:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	63	33¢	$21	0x358dc9…
07-07 18:35:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	63	31¢	$20	0x3ef813…
07-06 22:10:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x974b5f…
07-06 22:10:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x2653ca…
07-06 21:15:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfa72e5…
07-06 21:15:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xa81225…
07-06 21:15:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6c5c09…
07-06 21:15:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xdba9bb…
07-06 21:15:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x82f7bd…
07-04 13:06:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa8fe74…
07-04 13:06:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7c036c…
07-04 13:06:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x12c137…
07-02 19:19:08	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xf88844…
07-02 17:01:14	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9416e6…
07-02 17:01:13	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x42daa1…
07-02 16:45:04	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x9b328c…
07-02 16:15:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$5	0x9a65d3…
07-01 22:14:08	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xf3afbe…
07-01 20:41:46	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xd67700…
06-30 10:27:46	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x5e2246…
06-30 10:27:40	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x98718b…
06-30 10:27:29	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xef8c01…
06-30 10:25:56	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x681b45…
06-30 10:24:08	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa7e349…
06-29 00:24:47	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0xed1af8…
06-26 22:24:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xcb120d…
06-21 10:05:52	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	65	79¢	$51	0x5efc91…
06-07 19:03:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x08dcfa…
06-07 19:02:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x51948f…
06-07 19:02:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x66516d…
06-07 18:59:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x30e5a4…
06-07 18:59:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x425e00…
06-04 18:41:57	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xc7faf0…
06-04 11:33:03	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2b3737…
06-02 04:17:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xb466a3…
06-02 04:14:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xb8fc10…
06-01 21:02:59	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6a9bdf…
06-01 20:54:21	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb89c4b…
06-01 19:33:13	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x9a8847…
06-01 19:10:50	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8be40e…
06-01 04:13:07	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x17b444…
06-01 04:10:10	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x76a438…
06-01 04:08:53	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x00d8e7…
06-01 04:07:42	Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5878d8…
05-31 20:50:38	Trump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x66476a…
05-27 22:55:34	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb21300…
05-27 22:55:33	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8fc816…
05-27 22:33:26	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xc59e94…
05-27 22:07:37	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	46	42¢	$20	0xa21d8a…
05-27 22:06:50	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4a1a1d…
05-27 22:06:48	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	46	42¢	$20	0xe96155…
05-27 21:46:46	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x1c8557…
05-26 17:44:39	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe99ba5…
05-26 14:06:38	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44a353…
05-26 06:20:28	Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2ad766…
05-25 22:10:45	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc542f0…
05-25 22:03:05	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Hugo Gaston	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x62a50a…
05-25 19:18:11	Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils	Hugo Gaston	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd64165…
05-25 15:03:31	Roland Garros WTA: Talia Gibson vs Yulia Putintseva	Talia Gibson	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x28cefc…
05-25 14:47:52	Roland Garros WTA: Talia Gibson vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xeca7e5…
05-25 14:09:04	Roland Garros WTA: Talia Gibson vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0abee2…
05-25 12:32:14	Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcbcf6f…
05-25 09:10:03	Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x40a570…
05-25 08:54:04	Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)	Dplus KIA	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x500551…
05-25 08:02:09	Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5c0f85…
05-25 00:24:07	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	SELL	98	71¢	$70	0xd2e318…
05-25 00:08:29	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc5da50…
05-25 00:07:17	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xaed79b…
05-25 00:04:43	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x09541e…
05-25 00:00:30	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc5e506…
05-24 19:39:01	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc6de49…
05-24 19:22:44	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner	Aurora	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb88064…
05-24 18:33:01	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner	Aurora	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x847086…
05-24 18:27:21	Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur	Daria Snigur	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xc71625…
05-24 17:56:37	Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur	Daria Snigur	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x00e8b1…
05-24 14:17:17	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x105216…
05-23 20:47:27	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe9f6e8…
05-23 20:17:30	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x51d31f…
05-23 20:13:04	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x428197…
05-23 20:12:01	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec23a4…
05-23 20:04:21	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xeeffe5…
05-23 19:20:53	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x593459…
05-23 19:08:59	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb0d6e4…
05-23 18:00:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	39	80¢	$32	0x76c338…
05-23 15:57:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x3a4414…
05-23 11:41:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	89	71¢	$63	0xf43981…
05-23 10:47:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xe6e0f4…
05-23 10:44:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x656fb9…
05-23 10:43:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xfaad24…
05-23 10:41:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x5caa34…
05-22 22:31:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x47fbc5…
05-22 22:30:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	52	92¢	$47	0xe2ef6d…
05-22 22:13:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xce37b0…
05-22 22:09:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x6e9c4b…
05-22 22:08:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xd1ae6c…
05-22 17:12:20	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xee2c1a…