Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$270

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

15.2%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

128 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$564

$1.60K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$50

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-17

last 11-01 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

55% 20% -$264

Tech

16% 0% -$9

Politics

11% 0% $0

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

5% 33% -$6

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No		+50	$40	84¢	$42	+$2	10-24 11:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+50	$10	16¢	$8	-$2	10-26 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	2	$211	500	15	+485	Under	-$199	10-26 09:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	9	$201	180	180	+0	open	—	10-22 01:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	6	$107	176	76	+100	open	—	10-26 13:40
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	3	$85	200	200	+0	No	-$43	10-23 10:53
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	2	$71	89	89	+0	Yes	-$8	10-23 10:52
Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$66	60	60	+0	open	—	10-22 08:59
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	2	$63	76	76	+0	No	-$9	10-23 10:10
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	3	$62	51	51	+0	Under	$0	10-26 18:45
Spread: Packers (-3.5)	12	$52	106	21	+85	Packers	+$0	10-30 02:40
Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the March meeting?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	11-01 03:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	5	$49	120	120	+0	Yes	-$9	09-17 02:18
GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 11:14
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	5	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 11:50
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	4	$38	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-22 14:29
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?	4	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	11-01 03:46
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?	4	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	11-01 03:45
GenLayer FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 04:38
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	5	$31	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 07:52
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	11-01 03:47
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	09-18 15:28
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by November 30, 2026?	2	$26	50	50	+0	open	—	11-01 01:55
Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 07:25
Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	2	$24	20	19	+1	No	+$1	10-22 11:45
Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?	2	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	10-23 00:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	10-23 03:59
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	4	$17	31	0	+31	Under	-$6	10-30 02:52
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 04:48
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-18 01:19
Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	-$4	10-22 16:19
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:47:22	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa890ab…
11-01 03:46:16	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc3a984…
11-01 03:45:46	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x70177e…
11-01 03:10:25	Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xc00533…
11-01 03:10:18	Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xfe85e2…
11-01 03:01:42	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x26164c…
11-01 02:51:37	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd028a7…
11-01 02:49:46	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xbc4c37…
11-01 02:49:36	Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcef89c…
11-01 02:49:36	Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x518ba4…
11-01 02:49:36	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x33e46b…
11-01 02:49:33	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xfbd497…
11-01 02:14:09	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x19f837…
11-01 02:13:43	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x57ceab…
11-01 01:55:30	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x973805…
11-01 01:55:18	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xc7d95c…
10-30 18:37:22	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x419f02…
10-30 18:37:22	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x24bea2…
10-30 02:52:21	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa4a478…
10-30 02:47:28	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x48dc25…
10-30 02:47:09	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xaa14b8…
10-30 02:40:00	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xee3516…
10-30 02:39:40	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0273cd…
10-30 02:23:25	Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Under	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x912c69…
10-30 02:22:04	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x625514…
10-30 02:10:49	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8b938d…
10-30 01:08:54	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x1115cd…
10-30 01:08:37	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x7e0e3e…
10-30 00:59:12	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x0ad5f3…
10-30 00:58:43	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x41ffa5…
10-30 00:53:16	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xc337c5…
10-30 00:49:03	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5fa317…
10-30 00:20:33	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x99da72…
10-30 00:20:06	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf3d138…
10-26 18:45:50	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	19	60¢	$12	0x13b91c…
10-26 18:44:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	32	61¢	$19	0xc780d2…
10-26 18:43:35	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x193e72…
10-26 13:40:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x19f6da…
10-26 12:28:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xbee4fc…
10-26 09:59:32	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xf08153…
10-26 09:44:11	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x4ee022…
10-24 11:46:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0xdd30d9…
10-24 10:53:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x5b4091…
10-24 04:55:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd5392f…
10-24 04:54:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc23001…
10-23 10:53:03	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	195	11¢	$20	0x9ba5e1…
10-23 10:52:41	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	89	35¢	$31	0x9b5adf…
10-23 10:52:26	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0x721f0b…
10-23 10:10:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	SELL	76	36¢	$27	0x75f173…
10-23 10:10:33	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x9e5876…
10-23 10:05:00	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	No	BUY	76	47¢	$36	0x05ecc5…
10-23 07:42:30	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x3cd02a…
10-23 05:46:03	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xf1e0ad…
10-23 04:04:56	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc6600e…
10-23 03:59:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x08df2f…
10-23 03:43:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb69587…
10-23 00:44:03	Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x1fbe63…
10-23 00:43:47	Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0b0926…
10-22 16:19:11	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x1d8865…
10-22 16:18:47	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2f3b62…
10-22 15:56:00	nato x russia military clash by november 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb02781…
10-22 14:29:53	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3e7f45…
10-22 13:26:48	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x262696…
10-22 11:50:23	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xc6e031…
10-22 11:45:53	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x142a6b…
10-22 11:27:20	Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8a4299…
10-22 11:14:51	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x6f19c8…
10-22 10:02:42	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x39cf9c…
10-22 09:55:30	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd8eba8…
10-22 08:59:02	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x8a64b0…
10-22 08:50:21	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x614a62…
10-22 08:27:06	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x602bdb…
10-22 07:52:11	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xf91ba7…
10-22 07:25:47	Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x5db528…
10-22 06:59:14	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x447902…
10-22 06:59:02	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1bc668…
10-22 06:58:42	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x657182…
10-22 06:58:42	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x657182…
10-22 06:45:27	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5c6328…
10-22 06:35:53	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd462a1…
10-22 06:34:54	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xec5b26…
10-22 06:18:29	GenLayer FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x9b3f2a…
10-22 05:51:28	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x606cd1…
10-22 05:48:40	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x184b2b…
10-22 05:20:06	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x603f28…
10-22 05:18:41	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x23e30b…
10-22 04:58:59	Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd845c2…
10-22 04:51:33	Glider FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xaf1648…
10-22 04:49:26	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x8f3d31…
10-22 04:48:35	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x4d18df…
10-22 04:44:20	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x74836c…
10-22 04:44:20	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x70bd24…
10-22 04:44:14	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x5fab58…
10-22 04:42:57	Glider FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0ffbff…
10-22 04:38:42	GenLayer FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x7bd972…
10-22 04:15:20	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xb9d0dc…
10-22 04:15:20	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x37d9c8…
10-22 03:17:20	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x941299…
10-22 03:08:53	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe5ac4e…
10-22 02:48:20	Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6159bc…