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Realized P&L (90d)
-$300
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
20.6%
Resolved (90d)
42
Trades (90d)
331
331 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.52K
$2.52K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$61
4 positions
First seen
2026-09-17
last 11-06 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
39% 21% -$23
Other
35% 23% -$264
Tech
10% 0% -$9
Politics
7% 0% $0
Crypto
6% — —
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $40 72¢ $36 -$4 10-24 11:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $10 28¢ $14 +$4 10-26 13:40
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? Yes +20 $10 56¢ $11 +$1 11-01 02:49
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 11-01 03:47