Well-Informed-Sack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$782

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

1,117

Trades

2,175

lifetime

Volume

$65.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-24 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 49% -$273

Other

3% 39% -$437

Sports

2% 39% -$52

Politics

1% 23% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+188	$30	18¢	$35	+$5	09-02 09:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 15 12am et	2	$1.1K	573	572	+0	Up	+$31	03-15 05:04
bitcoin up or down march 13 1am et	4	$1.0K	583	582	+2	Up	-$28	03-13 05:57
bitcoin up or down march 12 8pm et	2	$982	509	509	+1	Up	+$36	03-13 00:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-20 04:00 UTC	6	$892	620	618	+2	Up	-$166	03-20 07:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC	2	$891	453	453	+0	Down	+$15	03-14 15:58
ethereum up or down march 13 8pm et	2	$846	434	434	+0	Down	+$21	03-14 01:00
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3am et	4	$834	649	645	+4	Down	-$196	03-15 08:10
bitcoin up or down march 13 3am et	4	$741	434	432	+2	Up	+$48	03-13 07:55
bitcoin up or down march 14 8am et	5	$632	472	470	+2	Up	-$167	03-14 12:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC	7	$632	488	484	+4	Up	-$39	03-15 22:09
ethereum up or down march 15 2026 6pm et	4	$595	377	375	+2	Up	-$17	03-15 22:58
ethereum up or down march 15 2026 4pm et	2	$547	278	278	+0	Up	+$7	03-15 20:56
bitcoin up or down february 26 8am et	6	$454	305	305	+0	Down	-$2	02-26 13:58
bitcoin up or down february 21 12am et	3	$441	248	248	+0	Up	+$54	02-21 06:00
bitcoin up or down march 14 1am et	4	$429	299	296	+4	Down	+$35	03-14 05:58
bitcoin up or down february 26 5pm et	7	$398	361	361	+0	Up	-$59	02-26 23:08
bitcoin up or down february 20 5am et	4	$383	278	278	+0	Down	-$17	02-20 10:56
bitcoin up or down february 12 9pm et	2	$380	194	194	+0	Up	+$8	02-13 03:03
bitcoin up or down march 13 11pm et	3	$375	222	219	+2	Up	+$66	03-14 03:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-22 08:00 UTC	7	$373	276	274	+3	Down	+$8	03-22 11:48
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 8am et	2	$370	197	197	+1	Up	+$23	03-22 13:02
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 4am et	4	$347	250	248	+2	Up	-$25	03-20 09:01
ethereum up or down march 14 10pm et	2	$343	193	192	+1	Up	+$42	03-15 03:08
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 6pm et	2	$340	198	196	+2	Up	+$54	03-20 23:49
bitcoin up or down february 14 3pm et	5	$338	224	224	+0	Up	-$25	02-14 21:08
bitcoin up or down february 20 3am et	4	$336	200	200	+0	Up	+$9	02-20 09:10
bitcoin up or down february 17 6am et	6	$336	256	185	+71	Up	-$4	02-17 12:16
bitcoin up or down march 2 4pm et	4	$327	242	242	+0	Up	-$2	03-02 21:58
bitcoin up or down march 14 9am et	2	$321	239	236	+4	Up	+$125	03-14 13:55
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	3	$318	178	178	+0	Down	+$38	03-05 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 16:07:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x0c4058…
09-24 16:07:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xfbea44…
09-24 16:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xb584f1…
09-24 15:49:56	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc7e7b3…
09-24 13:44:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x7d8cfc…
09-24 12:02:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6525d4…
09-24 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xd4a8bd…
09-24 05:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4b828a…
09-24 05:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x542c48…
09-24 05:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x87b45f…
09-23 22:57:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6d2ac7…
09-23 22:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x42664e…
09-23 20:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x56ac74…
09-23 16:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x82b4fa…
09-23 14:25:34	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	SELL	119	22¢	$27	0xae1c40…
09-23 12:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc1560f…
09-23 12:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbfdeff…
09-23 09:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x152d35…
09-23 09:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x486ad8…
09-23 09:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5999f5…
09-23 08:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc61cab…
09-23 07:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd9adc3…
09-23 07:39:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x202299…
09-23 07:39:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x6c31ba…
09-23 01:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8cde70…
09-22 16:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfde941…
09-22 16:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x659300…
09-22 16:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8b0ed6…
09-22 16:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x48994c…
09-22 16:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x10d1ac…
09-22 00:59:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb3fce3…
09-22 00:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	216	2¢	$4	0x5d22d2…
09-21 12:28:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xeecb37…
09-16 04:02:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2b9298…
09-16 04:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x432d5a…
09-16 04:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa937e6…
09-16 01:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8bffcb…
09-16 00:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x741124…
09-16 00:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xa97b13…
09-15 20:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3debc6…
09-15 20:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x4c9442…
09-15 20:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9a579f…
09-15 20:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb827ce…
09-15 11:57:48	bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xeeebe4…
09-15 11:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0xe768c5…
09-15 08:10:58	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x616408…
09-15 04:01:34	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xb59fce…
09-15 04:01:15	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x704e8e…
09-15 02:09:34	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdce999…
09-15 02:09:25	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xee9d1f…
09-15 02:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdb4222…
09-15 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcd238d…
09-14 20:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x5a791f…
09-14 20:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa6abd1…
09-14 20:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa83afa…
09-14 19:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc91b56…
09-10 00:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3e8a86…
09-04 16:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x51b54a…
09-04 15:01:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x551b4c…
09-02 15:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xae596c…
09-02 11:35:18	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x5e275f…
09-02 10:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x12b259…
09-02 09:54:18	Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcb5375…
09-02 09:53:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xbed25d…
09-02 09:51:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	224	2¢	$5	0x9dec7c…
09-02 09:34:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	2¢	$2	0x4532fb…
09-02 09:30:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 3?	No	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x7cb8be…
09-02 09:28:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x9dd79b…
09-02 09:28:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x1d4e1c…
09-02 09:28:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb130d0…
09-02 01:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4194c3…
09-02 01:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe4308f…
09-02 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x31efe6…
09-02 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x09f3e7…
09-02 01:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x723784…
09-02 01:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbf5326…
09-02 01:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xf22380…
09-02 01:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa9322b…
09-01 23:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x071100…
09-01 23:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfdbdb1…
09-01 23:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb40f9b…
09-01 20:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcc4a2c…
09-01 20:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x54a317…
09-01 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xd1d52f…
09-01 20:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x9f654e…
09-01 16:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x874c40…
09-01 16:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x01a958…
09-01 16:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x818ce4…
09-01 12:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5474f7…
08-26 13:03:01	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x913f64…
08-26 13:03:00	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9f20a3…
08-26 13:02:46	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfd7c4e…
08-26 12:09:16	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf3061f…
08-26 12:09:13	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x22833f…
08-26 09:55:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0fe9b9…
08-26 09:55:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x8846a0…
08-26 09:55:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa76d9e…
08-25 20:42:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xe73832…
08-25 20:42:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xdd80b6…
08-25 16:04:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x7b3e48…