Stunning-Option — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

144

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$8.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

59% 58% -$107

Politics

20% 58% +$104

Sports

12% 62% -$74

Tech

5% 75% -$104

Crypto

3% 50% -$18

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$139

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-202	-$49	11¢	$-22	+$28	06-16 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$410	263	263	+0	Yes	+$36	03-16 05:35
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$401	252	252	+0	Yes	+$87	03-05 18:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$313	178	178	+0	No	+$26	03-31 05:52
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	2	$277	202	202	+0	No	-$3	01-25 18:03
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	2	$249	140	140	+0	No	+$25	02-03 18:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$242	135	135	+0	No	+$26	01-31 05:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$221	141	141	+0	No	+$41	03-29 09:31
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	2	$209	127	126	+0	No	+$14	02-02 06:21
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	3	$204	209	209	+0	Yes	-$138	01-13 17:35
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$190	115	115	+0	Yes	+$30	05-15 07:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$186	170	170	+0	open	—	06-06 06:30
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$170	125	125	+0	No	+$10	03-06 09:09
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	3	$164	140	140	+0	Yes	-$46	01-09 15:11
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$153	83	83	+0	No	+$13	03-10 19:30
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on humanitys last exam by january 31 459	2	$150	0	180	-180	No	-$30	01-13 17:36
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$139	192	0	+192	No	-$139	01-31 05:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$138	110	110	+0	No	-$1	05-23 18:44
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	1	$137	191	0	+191	No	-$137	02-05 09:04
spx up or down on january 2 2026	1	$135	0	150	-150	Up	-$15	01-02 20:06
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$128	82	82	+0	No	+$28	03-26 05:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$126	131	131	+0	No	-$34	09-10 17:39
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by december 31	1	$121	0	121	-121	No	$0	01-01 06:01
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$118	68	68	+0	Yes	+$18	03-16 05:35
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$117	0	132	-132	Yes	-$14	01-06 21:26
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$107	68	68	+0	No	+$27	04-19 06:22
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$104	66	65	+1	Yes	+$5	04-21 10:47
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$103	85	85	+0	Yes	+$3	06-19 06:00
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$101	63	62	+0	No	+$1	06-06 06:30
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$100	217	0	+217	Spurs	+$117	06-06 07:04
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$100	152	0	+152	Knicks	-$100	06-04 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 18:56:36	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x7af685…
11-05 18:56:15	Thunder vs. Grizzlies	Thunder	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x501b22…
11-05 18:56:00	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x42e234…
11-05 18:55:49	Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x637591…
11-05 18:55:42	Wizards vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xd3c16c…
11-05 18:55:24	Heat vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x76499d…
10-29 04:36:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0xaed733…
10-29 04:36:35	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	49	70¢	$34	0xf629ff…
10-29 04:36:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	69	54¢	$37	0xcc2ca5…
10-29 04:36:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	96	25¢	$24	0x7426c8…
10-23 04:38:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x86f69a…
10-23 04:38:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x140174…
10-23 04:37:15	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x034a61…
10-23 04:37:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x3c4ac3…
10-04 10:24:38	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x97773e…
10-04 10:24:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xbd4e23…
09-23 03:45:04	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2cd3bc…
09-23 03:44:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x78131e…
09-10 17:40:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xdcb45c…
09-10 17:39:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	131	35¢	$46	0x70e808…
09-04 04:12:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x88274a…
08-07 17:24:15	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xdc4320…
08-07 17:23:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x4e997f…
08-07 17:22:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x263548…
07-14 20:59:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xdcd81f…
07-14 05:50:50	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xe9bc56…
07-14 05:50:47	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xd65d85…
07-11 21:37:43	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xc89163…
07-11 21:29:19	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0x434c6e…
07-10 19:32:53	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0xa40dba…
07-10 19:32:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3c5b0e…
07-10 07:37:59	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xcc0d90…
07-10 07:37:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xcdf129…
07-09 06:53:05	France to score first vs. Morocco?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xed1d53…
07-09 06:52:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0b19fa…
07-09 06:50:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb513bf…
07-07 17:48:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0xbe171c…
07-07 17:44:46	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbc274e…
07-07 04:19:43	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6983cf…
07-07 04:19:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xabc086…
07-07 04:19:31	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x86658c…
07-04 11:12:05	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x519fd5…
07-04 11:11:58	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x693117…
07-04 11:11:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7bf4ce…
07-04 11:11:40	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xea2272…
07-03 04:59:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa20fde…
07-02 08:38:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x884472…
07-02 08:38:13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x567199…
07-02 08:37:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xfa1ee9…
07-02 08:37:46	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd275b4…
07-02 08:37:43	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x889607…
07-01 17:54:25	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xead774…
07-01 17:49:59	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x39f13e…
07-01 17:20:26	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc01181…
07-01 17:20:22	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3caf06…
07-01 17:20:14	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x45b4f2…
07-01 17:20:07	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xaa2d69…
07-01 17:19:53	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xcf7299…
06-28 16:53:10	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x74a771…
06-28 16:53:04	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb791de…
06-28 16:52:32	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9e35d4…
06-28 16:52:26	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc21c65…
06-28 16:52:16	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5cf47f…
06-28 16:52:13	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4c3539…
06-27 18:48:35	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2174ab…
06-27 18:48:26	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7a7e20…
06-27 18:48:16	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x85ab69…
06-26 21:15:14	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1168cd…
06-26 21:14:59	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x73c014…
06-26 21:14:49	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xeaf35b…
06-26 21:14:38	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf5ed75…
06-26 21:14:31	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xdc2efc…
06-26 21:13:56	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x454893…
06-26 21:13:49	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf8994e…
06-25 03:31:58	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x156aa3…
06-25 03:31:49	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf595e8…
06-25 03:31:38	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1df5da…
06-25 03:31:32	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x147406…
06-25 03:31:11	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x4342e2…
06-23 04:02:55	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0xfdbfa5…
06-23 04:02:26	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x357864…
06-23 04:02:17	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5f2be2…
06-23 04:01:58	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x64d0e1…
06-22 05:01:32	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb9daa6…
06-22 05:01:23	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x3c4913…
06-22 05:01:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4b6a31…
06-21 21:02:58	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0xffcf4c…
06-21 16:34:41	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x91171f…
06-21 16:34:26	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xe717ce…
06-21 16:34:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xdd01ef…
06-20 15:56:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x70b49b…
06-19 06:00:56	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x95e05e…
06-19 06:00:47	Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x412ae9…
06-19 06:00:23	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	85	62¢	$53	0x5a2e21…
06-19 05:59:31	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xd9e9ae…
06-19 05:59:28	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xd92feb…
06-18 17:04:20	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x57fc68…
06-18 17:04:14	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x440eb0…
06-18 17:04:07	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x9f489f…
06-18 17:03:56	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x9c2af9…