Last-Stepson — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$733

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

814 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$243

$218.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$22.6K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-26 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

61% 62% +$4,595

Other

39% 69% -$538

Tech

0% 67% +$110

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10,140	$9,011	86¢	$8.8K	-$256	10-10 18:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	+5,539	$4,844	97¢	$5.4K	+$512	08-05 08:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+8,000	$3,432	44¢	$3.5K	+$60	09-30 08:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	+3,000	$2,793	95¢	$2.8K	+$50	10-02 13:51
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+2,000	$1,740	94¢	$1.9K	+$150	08-04 17:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	-1,500	$84	13¢	$-194	-$278	10-26 01:19
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+8,012	$334	1¢	$68	-$266	10-25 19:53
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$740	3¢	$34	-$706	05-23 20:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	9	$27.2K	13,969	13,969	+0	No	+$694	03-16 10:55
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	19	$13.9K	8,631	6,865	+1,767	No	+$162	04-10 20:42
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	17	$10.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	-$10	04-03 11:13
spx up or down on january 26 2026	4	$9.2K	10,500	0	+10,500	Up	+$1,265	01-26 16:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$9.0K	10,140	0	+10,140	open	—	10-10 18:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	42	$8.3K	11,257	0	+11,257	Yes	+$2,966	06-15 09:30
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	51	$7.3K	6,614	1,228	+5,385	Yes	+$430	03-19 13:07
spx up or down on january 27 2026	7	$7.1K	7,715	100	+7,615	Up	+$733	01-27 19:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	18	$6.1K	9,300	2,000	+7,300	Yes	+$1,757	04-07 22:04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	30	$5.2K	3,086	3,086	+0	Yes	+$949	04-24 11:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	18	$4.8K	5,539	0	+5,539	open	—	08-05 08:34
spx up or down on february 2 2026	19	$4.8K	3,853	2,253	+1,600	Up	+$141	02-02 16:36
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	9	$4.7K	4,331	1,000	+3,331	No	+$663	04-28 10:14
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	30	$4.6K	5,581	0	+5,581	No	-$4,618	04-09 22:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$4.6K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$1,440	04-08 15:41
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	15	$4.6K	4,150	1,600	+2,550	Yes	+$982	06-20 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	22	$4.6K	4,418	1,250	+3,168	No	+$1,105	04-28 10:12
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$4.4K	4,917	0	+4,917	Yes	+$542	04-09 22:51
will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	18	$4.3K	4,429	0	+4,429	Yes	+$103	03-18 17:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	31	$3.9K	5,290	1,310	+3,980	No	-$1,214	05-25 08:07
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	29	$3.6K	4,013	0	+4,013	Yes	+$374	04-09 20:14
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	18	$3.6K	5,041	0	+5,041	Yes	+$1,443	04-07 22:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	16	$3.6K	5,000	400	+4,600	Yes	+$544	06-12 16:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$3.4K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	09-30 08:57
rut up or down on january 26 2026	4	$3.2K	3,500	3,500	+0	Down	-$1,538	01-26 16:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-02 13:51
Kash Patel out by April 30?	8	$2.6K	2,759	0	+2,759	No	+$138	04-28 13:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$2.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$480	03-04 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$2.3K	2,950	0	+2,950	No	+$620	03-04 20:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	7	$2.2K	2,527	0	+2,527	Yes	+$284	06-01 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:15:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	12¢	$180	0x1b0f61…
10-26 01:19:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,208	11¢	$243	0x4b2e93…
10-25 19:53:18	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,988	1¢	$26	0x369d27…
10-10 18:01:52	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	540	86¢	$464	0xb4885d…
10-06 00:52:59	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4,450	87¢	$3,871	0xff8426…
10-05 22:10:58	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x6c9a72…
10-05 17:36:31	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0x1e1144…
10-05 17:22:26	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2,025	89¢	$1,794	0x68f64b…
10-02 13:51:11	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	3,000	93¢	$2,793	0x3cf451…
09-30 10:08:12	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2,005	92¢	$1,852	0x89e118…
09-30 10:05:54	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x1ac6a8…
09-30 09:29:36	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x218137…
09-30 09:28:09	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x9e5eb9…
09-30 08:57:02	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,697	43¢	$3,302	0x3c4896…
09-30 08:55:57	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	967	92¢	$894	0x10b858…
09-30 08:54:50	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xfc3e71…
09-30 08:54:38	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	43¢	$64	0xf029c8…
09-30 08:54:26	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	43¢	$36	0xd1c824…
09-30 08:54:21	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	43¢	$21	0x67f756…
08-05 08:34:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	259	93¢	$241	0x7b780b…
08-04 20:10:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x7e89ca…
08-04 17:46:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x0d4d15…
08-04 17:37:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	541	93¢	$503	0x4e569c…
08-04 17:36:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	700	86¢	$599	0xa5c0d2…
07-19 21:00:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	148	65¢	$97	0xd70a8f…
07-19 21:00:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x4731ec…
07-19 07:29:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	719	90¢	$647	0x0f347c…
06-20 20:27:37	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	93¢	$841	0x612c5a…
06-20 11:46:32	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	93¢	$652	0x24cc74…
06-20 11:43:29	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	93¢	$56	0x161ec8…
06-20 11:43:19	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x5ab218…
06-20 11:34:40	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdec824…
06-20 11:34:40	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbbcbc8…
06-20 10:18:28	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	93¢	$59	0x950a2a…
06-20 10:12:32	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb2c26f…
06-20 10:12:29	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	846	93¢	$784	0x4fc91e…
06-18 14:54:16	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	126	51¢	$64	0x420013…
06-18 10:22:41	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	467	51¢	$238	0x05b13b…
06-18 07:49:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x56126e…
06-17 04:59:41	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	351	16¢	$56	0xcce433…
06-17 04:59:37	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	799	16¢	$128	0x631d3e…
06-17 04:57:44	starmer out by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	70¢	$698	0x4dbd87…
06-17 04:50:59	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	299	48¢	$143	0xccc2de…
06-16 13:44:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x234214…
06-15 19:56:06	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,598	3¢	$53	0xc199f2…
06-15 19:14:48	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xd114f6…
06-15 18:57:52	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x08d50c…
06-15 18:29:46	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xe8d5bb…
06-15 13:58:21	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,240	3¢	$41	0x83a3b0…
06-15 13:21:13	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$2	0x2c7c94…
06-15 13:14:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	301	87¢	$262	0xd7684e…
06-15 12:58:51	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,477	4¢	$52	0x43f7fe…
06-15 11:51:18	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x61cc4c…
06-15 11:45:22	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	190	25¢	$48	0x7b3e00…
06-15 11:20:33	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	93	25¢	$23	0x819aee…
06-15 11:18:36	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	236	25¢	$59	0x2059b6…
06-15 11:18:36	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	236	25¢	$59	0x089ba8…
06-15 10:35:13	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xa88b1c…
06-15 10:35:13	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x42081e…
06-15 09:30:18	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0xe8d2fa…
06-15 08:56:18	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x2d1a88…
06-15 08:42:03	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa5b14c…
06-15 08:33:16	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x8b92b7…
06-15 08:32:54	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	76¢	$163	0x08f272…
06-15 08:24:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0xe3b8f4…
06-15 08:04:21	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x84efe7…
06-15 07:56:03	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	76¢	$153	0x9be9df…
06-15 07:53:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x501a6d…
06-15 07:52:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0xbd01b8…
06-15 05:11:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	86¢	$1,290	0xd88efd…
06-15 04:49:07	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	700	63¢	$441	0x42cbc9…
06-15 04:42:57	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	63¢	$376	0x6e2f67…
06-12 18:50:42	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$37	0x5849ab…
06-12 16:20:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	37¢	$148	0x10c097…
06-12 16:01:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x5248c4…
06-12 15:59:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	336	74¢	$248	0xdb0193…
06-12 15:59:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	164	74¢	$122	0x0be680…
06-12 11:06:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6e09fc…
06-12 09:18:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,650	19¢	$313	0x4b817b…
06-12 09:05:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	232	70¢	$163	0x32f96d…
06-12 08:55:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	233	70¢	$163	0x68434f…
06-12 08:55:37	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	134	70¢	$94	0x6c061b…
06-12 08:49:42	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	275	44¢	$121	0x55001a…
06-12 08:47:25	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	370	62¢	$229	0x9bf730…
06-12 08:42:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0xc1dd62…
06-12 08:36:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	64¢	$232	0x39ce4a…
06-12 08:36:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0xe13e7a…
06-12 08:36:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	64¢	$16	0x87606f…
06-11 14:06:58	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	67¢	$109	0x27b707…
06-11 13:32:15	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	836	67¢	$557	0x36a252…
06-11 10:06:54	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x04c177…
06-11 10:06:19	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf709e8…
06-11 09:41:52	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0x3599cb…
06-05 09:55:12	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2026f3…
06-05 09:55:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x7c35b0…
06-05 09:54:54	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	68	82¢	$56	0x96368b…
06-05 09:54:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0x0d778f…
06-05 08:58:00	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x2914d3…
06-05 06:09:55	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	140	34¢	$48	0xeb193f…
06-05 05:07:27	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	330	84¢	$277	0x20ea0b…