Periodic-Colonial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,297

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-01 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% $-47

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-49

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,100	$-9	1¢	$-10	$-2	05-29 14:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	98	$760	738	969	-231	open	—	03-19 19:57
italy nordio reform referendum passes	19	$571	480	480	+0	open	—	03-23 15:18
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	11	$508	300	300	+0	open	—	02-24 07:55
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	24	$477	480	560	-80	open	—	03-30 13:21
rut up or down on february 24 2026	6	$422	250	220	+30	open	—	02-24 18:08
will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	4	$395	210	210	+0	open	—	03-17 20:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	12	$394	256	256	-0	open	—	03-22 13:53
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	8	$393	400	400	+0	open	—	02-18 21:17
hood up or down on february 20 2026	12	$380	450	403	+47	open	—	02-20 20:39
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	11	$379	450	200	+250	open	—	02-22 10:25
starmer out by june 22 2026	2	$362	200	200	+0	open	—	06-22 10:18
will nvda reach 200 in february	5	$359	400	400	+0	open	—	02-20 19:14
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$356	1,450	295	+1,155	open	—	01-29 02:38
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	14	$341	400	400	+0	open	—	02-20 03:24
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$332	340	340	+0	open	—	03-30 13:07
dji up or down on february 24 2026	4	$329	480	180	+300	open	—	02-24 17:05
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	6	$324	287	267	+20	open	—	03-23 12:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$310	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 10:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$301	220	220	+0	open	—	04-01 18:30
will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	6	$300	0	600	-600	open	—	02-22 01:07
open above 5 on february 20 2026	4	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	02-19 21:01
coin up or down on february 20 2026	6	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	02-20 15:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$289	46,687	36,687	+10,000	open	—	03-18 11:47
will trump say tariff during the black history month reception	6	$288	200	200	-0	open	—	02-18 21:12
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$282	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 15:11
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	8	$281	223	190	+33	open	—	03-05 00:03
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	11	$277	630	0	+630	open	—	03-05 09:08
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	7	$267	180	130	+50	open	—	03-04 14:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	25	$260	17,300	5,400	+11,900	open	—	04-24 18:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	7	$258	134	170	-36	open	—	03-04 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:12:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	205	63¢	$129	0xb9a972…
06-29 22:33:31	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xda3253…
06-29 22:33:13	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x352e21…
06-29 22:33:05	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7b876f…
06-29 19:41:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xff9db5…
06-26 19:32:29	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	83	76¢	$63	0x57c043…
06-26 18:24:37	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x44b504…
06-26 18:24:31	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x96b2d2…
06-26 18:22:19	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xd91f1d…
06-24 10:43:50	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	90	67¢	$60	0x855397…
06-24 10:43:16	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x5ac8af…
06-24 10:42:50	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x23710c…
06-24 07:01:28	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x8854f0…
06-24 07:01:26	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	110	62¢	$68	0x7120de…
06-23 22:06:17	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 2pt5	Croatia	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3671c3…
06-23 22:05:59	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7cff67…
06-22 13:30:32	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	150	65¢	$98	0x27bfa0…
06-22 13:22:53	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xc71291…
06-22 13:19:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$29	0x4855e2…
06-22 11:49:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	287	6¢	$17	0xf09a47…
06-22 11:40:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	213	6¢	$13	0xed60ae…
06-22 11:05:08	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xb908dc…
06-22 11:05:08	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x43c91a…
06-22 11:05:08	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x2bd9cc…
06-22 10:38:10	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	193	48¢	$93	0xdfd4d7…
06-22 10:30:49	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x7c3385…
06-22 10:18:04	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xcd1b57…
06-22 07:52:07	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x63faad…
06-22 07:47:13	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe684f6…
06-17 18:39:17	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xe36532…
06-17 16:31:10	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x501d87…
06-17 13:27:31	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x834f49…
06-17 13:14:43	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x574ff6…
06-17 13:14:11	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x4bb345…
06-17 13:13:17	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd4a4ad…
06-17 13:13:17	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xd4a4ad…
06-17 13:12:55	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0x2a0569…
06-17 13:11:07	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x7b7987…
06-17 13:08:56	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x609e93…
06-17 13:07:34	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x211347…
06-14 16:53:00	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Germany	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xe8c1d9…
06-10 16:49:42	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xbd3d7e…
06-10 16:48:37	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbab63a…
06-10 14:45:13	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	97	22¢	$21	0xac96c1…
06-10 14:45:01	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x491935…
06-10 14:44:58	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x494c90…
06-10 14:15:40	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc6a41c…
06-08 18:30:04	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x8a2b81…
06-08 16:23:07	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x8bc697…
06-08 14:12:34	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x389498…
06-03 09:54:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x799014…
06-02 06:43:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xdef570…
05-29 18:50:21	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe24158…
05-29 18:47:33	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x510bad…
05-29 18:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xc36ed8…
05-29 18:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xab5bff…
05-29 18:42:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x56dd5b…
05-29 18:39:51	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x1cedf3…
05-29 18:38:07	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x284898…
05-29 18:38:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xf1aa3d…
05-29 18:38:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xb859b6…
05-29 18:38:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x77662c…
05-29 18:34:48	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	143	24¢	$34	0x39850a…
05-29 18:34:22	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x647e74…
05-29 18:34:01	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xb67260…
05-29 18:33:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x87f281…
05-29 18:33:29	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xb19dde…
05-29 18:33:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe6a9a6…
05-29 16:34:45	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	17¢	$26	0x806abb…
05-29 16:03:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x0553cf…
05-29 15:59:43	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xed80a2…
05-29 14:55:03	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x8a5ce4…
05-29 14:53:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x4f2c98…
05-29 14:51:44	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	1¢	$9	0xfd0b4c…
05-29 05:47:32	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0xbe32be…
05-28 06:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x86b905…
05-28 06:31:55	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf18023…
05-28 06:29:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x50818a…
05-28 06:24:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5904cc…
05-25 19:10:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x332fee…
05-25 18:41:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0a5a18…
05-25 18:41:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x0d2b8b…
05-25 17:01:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$16	0xdc5a18…
05-25 16:55:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$10	0x956c8c…
05-25 16:54:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xa85e49…
05-25 16:45:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8956c5…
05-25 16:24:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x6fa160…
05-23 21:47:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x4d2da7…
05-23 21:47:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xc1925b…
05-23 21:47:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1b8d1b…
05-23 21:46:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xb5206d…
05-23 21:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x09f791…
05-23 21:46:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0xe3805b…
05-23 21:46:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x9035d1…
05-23 21:45:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	59¢	$51	0x997235…
05-23 19:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x7b279e…
05-23 19:21:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf02ce6…
05-22 05:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x479d7d…
05-22 01:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0x080ab4…
05-22 01:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xe37734…