Periodic-Colonial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,250

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-08 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

73% 33% $-47

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

8% 0% $-49

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,100	$-9	1¢	$-15	$-6	05-29 14:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	98	$760	738	969	-231	open	—	03-19 19:57
italy nordio reform referendum passes	19	$571	480	480	+0	open	—	03-23 15:18
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	11	$508	300	300	+0	open	—	02-24 07:55
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	24	$477	480	560	-80	open	—	03-30 13:21
rut up or down on february 24 2026	6	$422	250	220	+30	open	—	02-24 18:08
will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	4	$395	210	210	+0	open	—	03-17 20:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	12	$394	256	256	-0	open	—	03-22 13:53
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	8	$393	400	400	+0	open	—	02-18 21:17
hood up or down on february 20 2026	12	$380	450	403	+47	open	—	02-20 20:39
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	11	$379	450	200	+250	open	—	02-22 10:25
will nvda reach 200 in february	5	$359	400	400	+0	open	—	02-20 19:14
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$356	1,450	295	+1,155	open	—	01-29 02:38
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	14	$341	400	400	+0	open	—	02-20 03:24
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$332	340	340	+0	open	—	03-30 13:07
dji up or down on february 24 2026	4	$329	480	180	+300	open	—	02-24 17:05
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	6	$324	287	267	+20	open	—	03-23 12:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$310	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 10:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$301	220	220	+0	open	—	04-01 18:30
will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	6	$300	0	600	-600	open	—	02-22 01:07
open above 5 on february 20 2026	4	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	02-19 21:01
coin up or down on february 20 2026	6	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	02-20 15:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$289	46,687	36,687	+10,000	open	—	03-18 11:47
will trump say tariff during the black history month reception	6	$288	200	200	-0	open	—	02-18 21:12
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$282	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 15:11
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	8	$281	223	190	+33	open	—	03-05 00:03
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	11	$277	630	0	+630	open	—	03-05 09:08
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	7	$267	180	130	+50	open	—	03-04 14:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	25	$260	17,300	5,400	+11,900	open	—	04-24 18:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	7	$258	134	170	-36	open	—	03-04 18:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2	12	$258	350	178	+172	open	—	02-22 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:30:04	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x8a2b81…
06-08 16:23:07	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x8bc697…
06-08 14:12:34	SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x389498…
06-03 09:54:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x799014…
06-02 06:43:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xdef570…
05-29 18:50:21	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe24158…
05-29 18:47:33	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x510bad…
05-29 18:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xc36ed8…
05-29 18:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xab5bff…
05-29 18:42:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x56dd5b…
05-29 18:39:51	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x1cedf3…
05-29 18:38:07	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x284898…
05-29 18:38:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xf1aa3d…
05-29 18:38:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xb859b6…
05-29 18:38:06	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x77662c…
05-29 18:34:48	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	143	24¢	$34	0x39850a…
05-29 18:34:22	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x647e74…
05-29 18:34:01	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xb67260…
05-29 18:33:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x87f281…
05-29 18:33:29	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xb19dde…
05-29 18:33:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe6a9a6…
05-29 16:34:45	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	17¢	$26	0x806abb…
05-29 16:03:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x0553cf…
05-29 15:59:43	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xed80a2…
05-29 14:55:03	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x8a5ce4…
05-29 14:53:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x4f2c98…
05-29 14:51:44	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	1¢	$9	0xfd0b4c…
05-29 05:47:32	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	18¢	$13	0xbe32be…
05-28 06:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x86b905…
05-28 06:31:55	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf18023…
05-28 06:29:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x50818a…
05-28 06:24:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5904cc…
05-25 19:10:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x332fee…
05-25 18:41:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0a5a18…
05-25 18:41:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x0d2b8b…
05-25 17:01:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$16	0xdc5a18…
05-25 16:55:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$10	0x956c8c…
05-25 16:54:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xa85e49…
05-25 16:45:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8956c5…
05-25 16:24:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x6fa160…
05-23 21:47:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x4d2da7…
05-23 21:47:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xc1925b…
05-23 21:47:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1b8d1b…
05-23 21:46:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xb5206d…
05-23 21:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x09f791…
05-23 21:46:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0xe3805b…
05-23 21:46:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x9035d1…
05-23 21:45:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	59¢	$51	0x997235…
05-23 19:21:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x7b279e…
05-23 19:21:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf02ce6…
05-22 05:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$1	0x479d7d…
05-22 01:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0x080ab4…
05-22 01:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xe37734…
05-22 01:48:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xd2a335…
05-22 01:44:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x6bd3e8…
05-22 00:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb53d17…
05-21 22:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x6ca0bc…
05-21 22:11:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	18¢	$17	0x13adec…
05-21 22:10:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x94601b…
05-21 22:09:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf0d906…
05-21 21:56:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$2	0xdaeeeb…
05-21 20:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb837a6…
05-21 20:53:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$0	0x76c557…
05-21 20:29:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0xb7824e…
05-21 19:32:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd2be06…
05-21 19:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32bce6…
05-21 19:23:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x51bf17…
05-21 19:23:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd2274c…
05-21 19:23:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0c39e7…
05-21 19:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x75fd46…
05-21 19:02:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x75bf26…
05-21 19:02:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x5e62f8…
05-21 19:01:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x042f48…
05-21 18:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfe2412…
05-21 18:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x104e12…
05-21 18:56:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	181	2¢	$3	0x932d5e…
05-21 18:14:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xba05e4…
05-21 17:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7f174d…
05-21 17:36:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x228535…
05-21 17:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x389883…
05-21 16:31:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x66992b…
05-21 16:28:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3dec9b…
05-21 15:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x0704bc…
05-21 15:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb151f2…
05-21 14:54:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x81f129…
05-21 14:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xde1db6…
05-21 14:21:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xb7bbb6…
05-21 14:01:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xfc3fcc…
05-21 13:57:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x3570ca…
05-21 13:10:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf27d42…
05-21 12:24:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x69839a…
05-21 12:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xddcefd…
05-21 12:05:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd78755…
05-21 11:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x82ca42…
05-21 11:41:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x6befeb…
05-21 11:35:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x962141…
05-21 10:26:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$3	0x71705e…
05-21 10:11:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xd0dd63…
05-21 10:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3c8669…
05-21 10:10:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	125	5¢	$6	0x27d142…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	276	$25.1M	41,315	06-10 01:04
Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99	228	$34.0K	8,711	04-13 13:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	216	$1.12M	20,797	06-09 06:12
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	213	$20.1K	4,355	06-10 01:01
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	200	$454.3K	36,463	05-31 23:32
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	198	$572.2K	44,588	06-10 01:01
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	186	$239.7K	22,390	04-06 18:08
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	165	$75.3K	15,915	05-06 11:57