Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$583

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 11-04 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

61% 30% -$134

Other

26% 0% -$423

Crypto

10% 42% -$14

Sports

4% 25% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No		+3,813	$11	0¢	$6	-$5	11-04 10:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	5	$726	1,296	1,296	+0	No	+$532	11-03 01:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$558	112,275	0	+112,275	Yes	-$558	06-17 15:29
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	6	$196	902	226	+677	Yes	-$26	03-06 08:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$158	1,667	1,667	+0	No	-$42	06-22 00:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$144	123	123	+0	Yes	+$8	03-05 06:11
100m views on a mrbeast video in the first week by march 31	2	$115	507	507	+0	No	-$51	03-11 14:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	2	$98	192	192	+0	No	-$2	11-02 09:23
starmer out by june 23 2026	2	$79	576	0	+576	Yes	-$79	06-22 03:25
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	3	$76	671	671	+0	Yes	-$56	03-04 01:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$67	330	330	+0	No	-$65	04-01 06:01
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$64	705	0	+705	No	-$64	06-29 09:02
spx up or down on march 6 2026	2	$59	83	83	+0	Down	-$1	03-06 08:01
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	2	$59	310	310	+0	No	-$3	03-06 08:08
starmer out by june 25 2026	2	$55	174	174	+0	Yes	-$7	06-22 03:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$53	45	45	+0	open	—	11-03 07:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	1	$48	568	0	+568	No	-$48	03-11 11:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 595	2	$47	361	0	+361	Yes	-$47	03-08 05:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$44	312	312	+0	Yes	-$6	06-15 05:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$34	11,333	0	+11,333	No	-$34	06-18 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	Up	+$23	11-03 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	11-04 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	11-03 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 15:22
will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	3	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	+$9	02-28 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	Up	+$8	11-03 12:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	2	$12	125	125	+0	No	-$8	11-03 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	11-04 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 12:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$11	3,813	0	+3,813	open	—	11-04 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:25 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:18:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8cb819…
11-04 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xce73cf…
11-04 09:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x903c11…
11-04 09:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbf212a…
11-04 09:29:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x862c67…
11-04 09:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5fd7e3…
11-04 06:20:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	3,480	0¢	$10	0x8d2e31…
11-04 06:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd3a41d…
11-04 05:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc2ed3a…
11-04 05:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xce449f…
11-04 00:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1b4754…
11-03 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6c7730…
11-03 15:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfd50a4…
11-03 15:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x6663a2…
11-03 15:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x556e3b…
11-03 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x1de331…
11-03 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x12b07b…
11-03 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x45dc2d…
11-03 13:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8ae70d…
11-03 13:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc4ca3b…
11-03 13:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa7486e…
11-03 12:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x043a3a…
11-03 12:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd2b102…
11-03 12:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5ee5ca…
11-03 12:48:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0xc608a0…
11-03 12:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x265ac8…
11-03 12:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1abe49…
11-03 12:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcba9ab…
11-03 12:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd7dc77…
11-03 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x8a49d5…
11-03 12:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6d8e72…
11-03 12:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xf99412…
11-03 12:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x03a3eb…
11-03 12:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x52304f…
11-03 12:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfd7960…
11-03 12:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x210caf…
11-03 12:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe58409…
11-03 12:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x9c7a1c…
11-03 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xedf575…
11-03 12:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4178af…
11-03 12:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x69bebd…
11-03 07:49:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0x223cd6…
11-03 02:29:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x67295a…
11-03 02:27:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9ab25e…
11-03 01:12:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	324	93¢	$303	0x2612bd…
11-03 00:44:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	324	75¢	$245	0x709ebd…
11-03 00:06:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	648	13¢	$82	0xa7c3a9…
11-02 09:24:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	671	7¢	$47	0x9660f3…
11-02 09:23:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	192	25¢	$48	0x93bcfc…
11-02 02:43:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x9895d8…
11-02 02:42:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xda416d…
06-29 09:02:19	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	705	9¢	$64	0x026c28…
06-22 03:25:38	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	138	16¢	$22	0x944571…
06-22 03:24:56	starmer out by june 25 2026	No	SELL	174	14¢	$24	0x2eedb2…
06-22 03:24:19	starmer out by june 25 2026	No	BUY	174	18¢	$31	0x7ede8c…
06-22 00:46:49	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	438	13¢	$57	0x3ab5d1…
06-22 00:45:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,667	3¢	$58	0xe9ab5c…
06-20 05:35:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x128c6b…
06-18 12:17:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	11,333	0¢	$34	0x9fa95c…
06-17 15:29:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	26,000	0¢	$26	0xbed209…
06-17 12:00:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	16,000	0¢	$32	0xea2b17…
06-17 04:30:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	33,500	0¢	$67	0x8d0933…
06-17 02:48:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	13,000	0¢	$26	0x0aec5f…
06-17 00:10:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	9,000	0¢	$45	0xdb83c8…
06-16 12:51:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4,125	1¢	$33	0x82395e…
06-16 11:06:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,941	2¢	$67	0x2a2c9d…
06-16 06:32:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,161	3¢	$67	0xbd98e6…
06-16 02:32:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,871	2¢	$68	0xda8652…
06-16 02:24:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	593	3¢	$15	0x7e46bf…
06-15 16:34:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	528	5¢	$26	0x2cd17c…
06-15 06:03:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	434	15¢	$66	0xba53be…
06-15 05:05:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0x48f4a1…
06-15 05:04:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	312	6¢	$19	0x627383…
06-15 03:03:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xc54d3b…
04-01 06:01:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	330	0¢	$1	0x56bd8b…
03-26 07:13:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	330	20¢	$66	0x7506ff…
03-11 14:53:59	100m views on a mrbeast video in the first week by march 31	Yes	SELL	507	6¢	$32	0x6b2950…
03-11 12:08:21	100m views on a mrbeast video in the first week by march 31	Yes	BUY	507	16¢	$83	0x12d94f…
03-11 11:03:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 61 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	568	8¢	$48	0x2d9399…
03-08 05:46:09	will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 595	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1c86d4…
03-08 03:31:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 595	No	BUY	327	14¢	$45	0x9acb80…
03-06 08:57:43	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	No	SELL	226	38¢	$85	0x972bf4…
03-06 08:08:51	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	No	BUY	81	35¢	$28	0xbac63d…
03-06 08:08:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 7	No	SELL	310	9¢	$28	0x9bec3f…
03-06 08:02:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 7	No	BUY	310	10¢	$31	0xaf1aab…
03-06 08:01:35	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	83	35¢	$29	0x2260a6…
03-06 07:03:55	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x16d498…
03-06 04:55:35	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x41a006…
03-06 04:51:51	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1cfbd7…
03-05 11:12:43	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x1ac696…
03-05 11:11:45	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	94	3¢	$3	0xdcce84…
03-05 11:11:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0xf57d5e…
03-05 11:11:07	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xbbb130…
03-05 11:10:25	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x176fb9…
03-05 11:10:11	f1 australian grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 07	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xda84f4…
03-05 11:09:59	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$3	0x1fac16…
03-05 08:44:25	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa54973…
03-05 08:05:35	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x740226…
03-05 07:55:55	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2ec362…
03-05 07:29:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcd03af…