Sour-Birdbath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-07 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Politics

34% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	14	$124	2,630	2,540	+90	open	—	02-16 23:40
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$94	94	0	+94	open	—	02-13 03:43
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-16 02:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$54	570	570	+0	open	—	02-12 15:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 13:11
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-11 12:02
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-10 13:40
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-07 12:46
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 09:10
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-05 21:19
ethereum above 2200 on april 4	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-04 07:30
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-03 13:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-01 13:15
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-31 13:46
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-29 09:35
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-27 14:11
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-26 01:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-25 08:01
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-24 12:11
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-23 12:26
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-22 11:50
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-21 14:37
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-20 14:15
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-19 13:46
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-18 09:09
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-17 14:00
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 09:37
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-16 09:42
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-03 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:29:30	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f3212…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x07bd37…
05-30 07:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2cf339…
05-27 13:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe669ac…
05-23 14:52:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xce8237…
05-22 13:41:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2b281e…
05-21 10:14:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5ff488…
05-20 14:42:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9873be…
05-15 13:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9c415b…
05-14 10:10:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1360ca…
05-13 11:53:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x19d8c2…
05-11 12:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4b25e4…
05-10 13:52:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x279fdf…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2aa702…
05-05 14:28:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x545e47…
05-04 12:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x921a5c…
05-03 11:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x221ab6…
04-27 14:05:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc77ec3…
04-23 12:11:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3724c…
04-22 13:28:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f37c9…
04-20 13:54:24	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa3182c…
04-19 14:14:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x976185…
04-17 15:19:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda841c…
04-16 12:52:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x75e5ae…
04-15 08:36:00	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf2ab9…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbadaa5…
04-13 12:46:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x51f17b…
04-12 13:11:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8887f8…
04-11 12:02:11	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0a564c…
04-10 13:40:11	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf2c1cc…
04-09 09:10:51	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xfa3f56…
04-07 12:46:53	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x63347c…
04-05 21:19:41	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x400e09…
04-04 07:30:53	ethereum above 2200 on april 4	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x215dac…
04-03 13:18:29	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x895c55…
04-01 13:15:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdb779a…
03-31 13:46:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0e8a2c…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xff7116…
03-29 09:35:36	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2c62d1…
03-27 14:11:15	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1e53f1…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xde62ff…
03-25 08:01:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb663bc…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 12:26:05	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x81dad1…
03-22 11:50:37	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb9a44a…
03-21 14:37:23	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8e13db…
03-20 14:15:45	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8924ce…
03-19 13:46:07	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x73a86f…
03-18 09:09:11	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaff77b…
03-17 14:00:01	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x96af9b…
03-16 09:42:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa372d2…
03-13 09:37:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb7d27c…
03-11 09:46:53	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbe99a2…
03-03 08:49:11	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xab6d85…
03-01 16:03:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x41018b…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd7c4a2…
02-23 04:05:44	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xda9af3…
02-22 03:22:56	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x34ca1d…
02-21 03:36:58	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7b3aed…
02-16 23:40:25	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xda07e2…
02-16 17:00:39	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	1,500	1¢	$12	0xd156ff…
02-16 16:53:31	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	1,002	1¢	$7	0x4f3074…
02-16 16:53:01	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x378384…
02-16 16:51:21	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xd4eb92…
02-16 16:50:21	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0xa08934…
02-16 16:49:37	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0xc71c8d…
02-16 16:49:15	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xac3581…
02-16 16:49:01	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$0	0x14591b…
02-16 16:44:15	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6ff14a…
02-16 15:19:21	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	640	1¢	$4	0x4dbf0e…
02-16 15:19:09	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x464e03…
02-16 15:18:43	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xbbdc2e…
02-16 15:11:41	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	1,040	0¢	$5	0x9abbdb…
02-16 02:53:03	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbd2537…
02-13 05:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0xe79bfd…
02-13 03:43:53	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x0815f9…
02-12 15:44:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	340	5¢	$16	0xcb7e16…
02-12 15:02:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	340	5¢	$16	0x1433e3…
02-12 14:49:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x0869f8…
02-12 14:49:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	82	5¢	$4	0x1b4e3d…
02-12 14:49:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xf1f4e1…
02-12 14:48:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x4209e3…
02-12 14:48:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x80277e…
02-12 14:35:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xf7b4d6…
02-12 14:32:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$4	0x8c70e9…
02-12 14:31:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xbb54d0…
02-12 12:32:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xd2c98c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Well-Groomed-Forecast 0x224e…1431	58	$1.22K	89	06-07 08:26
Gorgeous-Humour 0x2fbb…788d	57	$1.24K	67	06-07 08:36
Vast-Tank 0x4ba5…845f	57	$1.21K	75	06-02 10:22
Plump-Servant 0xa1b5…842b	56	$1.05K	57	06-02 10:22
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	55	$137.0K	2,456	06-03 05:11
Complex-Lyre 0x7643…d12f	55	$1.57K	77	06-02 09:56
Colossal-Extremist 0x0d0f…8aea	55	$1.22K	63	06-02 10:22
Damp-Sherry 0xdeb0…8c9e	54	$1.43K	86	06-02 10:22