Known-Peanut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

700

Trades

1,261

lifetime

Volume

$5.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-10 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

79% 43% -$87

Crypto

19% 47% -$9

Sports

3% 65% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Nuggets		+20	$10	42¢	$8	-$1	11-10 01:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 29c	2	$92	71	69	+2	Yes	+$34	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	2	$71	59	57	+2	Yes	+$33	04-06 06:56
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 28c	3	$58	72	36	+37	No	-$22	04-06 05:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	2	$51	50	48	+2	No	+$31	04-02 07:26
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 28c	4	$51	34	34	+1	Yes	+$11	04-11 07:21
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 28c	4	$49	56	54	+2	No	+$5	04-07 05:12
highest temperature in warsaw on april 7 2026 10c	2	$45	26	25	+0	Yes	+$5	04-07 14:43
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 22c	2	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	04-07 08:05
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 27c	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	04-06 06:11
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 4 2026 27c	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	04-04 11:52
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	2	$39	34	33	+1	Yes	+$20	04-03 06:10
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 13c	2	$37	32	32	+0	Yes	+$27	03-24 15:26
highest temperature in singapore on march 24 2026 33c	2	$36	26	26	+0	Yes	+$10	03-24 06:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 30c	3	$34	25	24	+1	Yes	+$8	04-15 06:10
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 25 2026 30c	2	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	03-25 17:58
highest temperature in chengdu on march 25 2026 18c	4	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$17	03-25 09:43
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 13 2026 31c	2	$33	32	31	+1	Yes	+$24	04-13 05:08
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 5 2026 26c	2	$33	24	23	+1	Yes	+$13	04-05 08:44
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	2	$33	24	24	+0	Yes	+$15	03-23 16:53
highest temperature in munich on march 22 2026 13c	2	$32	24	24	+0	Yes	+$16	03-22 15:24
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 18c	2	$32	23	23	+0	Yes	+$10	03-22 05:04
highest temperature in toronto on march 25 2026 6c	2	$32	25	25	+0	Yes	+$18	03-25 19:23
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	2	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	+$15	03-22 15:53
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 27c	3	$31	25	25	+0	Yes	+$18	03-25 20:07
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 24 2026 26c	2	$31	25	25	+0	Yes	+$17	03-24 19:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 26 2026 28c	2	$31	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	03-26 18:55
highest temperature in wuhan on march 26 2026 19c	2	$31	25	25	+0	Yes	+$19	03-26 09:07
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 9c	2	$31	22	22	+0	Yes	+$14	03-25 14:58
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 22 2026 30c	2	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	+$16	03-22 19:56
highest temperature in chongqing on april 12 2026 23c	2	$30	23	22	+1	No	+$10	04-12 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 01:18:06	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0d6cc4…
11-10 01:18:04	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x17bbd1…
11-09 05:36:22	Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2fbc75…
11-09 05:36:21	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Wizards	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x09f4c4…
11-09 01:11:04	Heat vs. Kings	Heat	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4b3d33…
11-09 01:11:04	Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x115b9e…
11-09 01:11:03	Spread: Heat (-11.5)	Kings	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x680823…
11-08 23:58:57	Spread: Jazz (-18.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd312e…
11-08 23:06:06	Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ca1d1…
11-08 23:06:06	Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)	Jazz	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8a15c4…
11-08 21:33:52	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Lakers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeb571b…
11-08 21:33:52	Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6aecd7…
11-08 21:33:52	Spread: Pistons (-6.5)	Lakers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x23e3ce…
11-08 05:14:55	76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf895e…
11-08 05:14:55	Spread: 76ers (-8.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3dc51b…
11-08 05:03:03	Perth Wildcats vs. Cairns Taipans: O/U 198.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa189d3…
11-08 01:12:09	Magic vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x44ea69…
11-08 01:12:07	Spread: Warriors (-7.5)	Magic	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6a498…
11-08 01:12:07	Spread: Warriors (-7.5)	Warriors	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc4614f…
11-08 01:12:07	Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3a21a7…
11-07 19:52:31	Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)	Pacers	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xc9b915…
11-07 09:17:55	Nuggets vs. Pacers	Nuggets	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc0665b…
11-07 09:17:54	Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1e4977…
11-07 05:31:40	Spread: Adelaide 36ers (-6.5)	Illawarra Hawks	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb90931…
11-07 05:31:40	Adelaide 36ers vs. Illawarra Hawks: O/U 196.5	Under	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x968f9d…
11-07 05:30:36	Rostock Seawolves vs. Ratiopharm Ulm	Rostock Seawolves	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5e42bf…
11-07 05:30:34	Spread: Rostock Seawolves (-5.5)	Ratiopharm Ulm	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x73785e…
11-07 01:15:58	Spread: Spurs (-17.5)	Kings	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe49633…
11-07 01:15:58	Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x463723…
11-06 16:15:06	Celtics vs. Hornets	Celtics	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb8f87e…
11-06 05:28:18	nba phi cle 2026 11 06 total 228pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5f24e…
11-06 05:28:16	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2dbe58…
11-05 11:21:51	Magic vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xde777f…
11-05 10:41:36	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdf05b2…
11-05 10:41:36	Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketball: O/U 176.5	Under	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd93e65…
11-05 10:41:34	Magic vs. Suns: O/U 223.5	Under	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x39dc81…
11-05 10:27:48	Spread: Warriors (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd6e941…
11-05 07:34:19	Spread: Anadolu Efes (-6.5)	Paris Basketball	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x446642…
11-05 03:20:18	Spread: Heat (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x58b72f…
11-04 13:10:01	76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd81ba0…
11-04 06:35:51	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe6b197…
11-04 06:35:51	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x847bbd…
11-04 06:35:49	Spread: Olimpico (-2.5)	Olimpico	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2f7215…
11-04 06:35:19	Spread: Perth Wildcats (-2.5)	Perth Wildcats	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x79756f…
11-04 06:35:18	Spread: Derthona Basket (-1.5)	Derthona Basket	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7babdf…
11-04 06:35:16	Spread: Basquet Manresa (-1.5)	Basquet Manresa	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0ee6d9…
11-04 06:35:15	Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)	Real Madrid	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7d7f94…
11-04 06:35:13	Spread: Heat (-5.5)	Heat	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x809c46…
11-04 06:35:12	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa1dafa…
11-04 06:35:09	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Thunder	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x451051…
11-04 06:35:07	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x052c80…
11-04 06:33:33	Spread: Rigas Zelli (-1.5)	Rigas Zelli	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x22180a…
11-04 05:56:54	Spread: Unifacisa (-5.5)	CA Paulistano SP	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x17186a…
11-04 05:56:52	Spread: Rigas Zelli (-1.5)	Rigas Zelli	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x985d36…
11-03 17:17:55	Spread: Paris Basketball (-3.5)	Paris Basketball	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x01b906…
11-03 17:16:49	Spread: Paris Basketball (-3.5)	Cholet	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3f2f2d…
06-03 04:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8d93c…
06-03 00:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd5109c…
06-02 23:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2e58a5…
06-02 23:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5e1872…
06-02 16:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x4f724f…
06-02 16:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xff0620…
06-02 16:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x6f9f36…
06-02 05:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x70a408…
06-02 04:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x35becd…
06-01 23:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe3244f…
06-01 22:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xdc1e5c…
06-01 16:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd17244…
06-01 16:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x11afb5…
06-01 16:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7d9068…
06-01 16:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x22facf…
05-30 22:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x26fc17…
05-30 10:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x473e55…
05-30 02:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf43676…
05-30 02:23:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbec785…
05-29 16:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe2fb60…
05-29 16:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0793c8…
05-29 16:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x091ad2…
05-29 08:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x176ae0…
05-29 08:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x66fb84…
05-29 06:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 29?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdc1c49…
05-29 06:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xfc2b9b…
05-29 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x51afc7…
05-29 06:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x5c0714…
05-29 06:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x98317d…
05-29 05:56:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xee5632…
05-29 05:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x59c8ed…
05-13 16:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa89876…
05-13 16:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x65f73f…
05-13 16:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x15c5fb…
05-13 04:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x646d29…
05-13 03:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x45f00f…
05-12 07:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x161712…
05-12 07:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xce6ab7…
05-12 07:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x7d5adf…
05-12 04:51:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9243e9…
05-12 04:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x706360…
05-12 04:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa09798…
05-12 04:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f5da5…
05-12 04:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcc5aba…