Crazy-Reveal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

125

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 09-21 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

99% 42% -$138

Crypto

1% 0% -$53

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	2	$669	358	356	+2	Yes	+$34	04-18 14:39
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	2	$413	230	230	+0	Yes	+$30	04-08 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$384	227	227	+0	Yes	+$7	06-08 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	6	$359	200	200	+0	Yes	+$27	05-01 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$350	458	0	+458	No	-$350	05-29 07:47
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	1	$337	431	0	+431	No	-$337	02-24 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	4	$322	554	0	+554	No	-$322	06-16 06:26
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	2	$322	198	198	+0	Yes	+$53	03-02 15:40
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	5	$298	845	845	+0	No	+$97	02-20 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	3	$289	321	0	+321	Yes	+$32	05-02 08:32
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	7	$288	2,185	2,185	+0	No	-$275	05-14 05:30
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	2	$266	153	152	+1	No	-$1	04-01 14:51
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	1	$249	337	0	+337	Yes	+$88	02-23 08:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	1	$239	303	0	+303	Yes	+$64	05-04 07:18
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	2	$227	360	360	+0	No	-$147	03-03 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$218	142	142	+0	Yes	+$10	05-05 15:23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	5	$205	150	150	+0	No	+$7	06-15 14:30
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	1	$197	214	0	+214	Yes	+$17	02-20 16:18
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	1	$197	262	0	+262	Yes	+$65	04-10 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	2	$194	156	156	+0	No	-$6	08-31 14:54
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	4	$191	195	187	+7	No	+$91	04-15 15:03
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	5	$185	391	376	+15	No	-$5	04-24 15:45
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	2	$175	101	101	+0	No	+$26	02-16 19:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	5	$172	227	176	+50	Yes	+$102	05-06 14:37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	4	$161	348	0	+348	Yes	+$187	05-09 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$143	200	0	+200	Yes	+$57	06-12 05:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	3	$123	200	0	+200	Yes	+$77	06-10 07:03
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$120	138	136	+2	No	-$80	04-14 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$117	152	0	+152	Yes	+$35	05-26 13:40
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	2	$103	139	139	+0	Yes	+$3	01-10 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 13:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb7274c…
09-20 13:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x2b02a8…
09-19 10:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xc3df33…
09-18 14:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xaef127…
09-17 11:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xf0ceac…
09-17 09:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7abee6…
09-17 09:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x8cedcf…
09-16 06:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf42dc3…
09-15 22:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf81780…
09-15 22:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x64b3cf…
09-15 22:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xaa0c17…
09-15 22:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x08a026…
09-15 22:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xba06bf…
09-15 20:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4727a7…
09-15 20:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2ead33…
09-15 17:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xc52f89…
09-15 16:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc859ee…
09-15 16:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd77caf…
09-15 16:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa12b33…
09-15 16:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x846cd4…
09-15 16:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xdeaabf…
09-15 16:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x5074dc…
09-15 16:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xf364c8…
09-15 16:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa6cee9…
09-15 15:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x99f935…
09-15 13:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x6bb750…
09-14 13:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x53d778…
09-13 12:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x81d501…
09-13 11:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x7f3775…
09-13 11:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x81bb2f…
09-13 09:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x85b028…
09-13 09:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2835a1…
09-13 09:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x238c39…
09-12 13:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x9e5f07…
09-12 13:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6fb31b…
09-12 11:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xd65640…
09-12 11:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa8d937…
09-12 11:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6ff1bb…
09-12 11:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf4b16b…
09-12 11:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xa92861…
09-12 11:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x02faf9…
09-12 11:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xc57f24…
09-12 11:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x597a87…
09-12 10:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x36ff42…
09-12 10:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xac794c…
09-12 10:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfd0336…
09-12 10:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x5c239f…
09-12 10:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3fd13a…
09-08 11:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x56446c…
09-08 04:57:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	3,349	0¢	$3	0xbaf748…
09-07 18:02:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb3a9c6…
09-07 17:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xfa0ec9…
09-07 06:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xa259e4…
09-07 06:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x0f17d5…
09-07 06:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x0cf26a…
09-07 05:12:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5abb93…
09-07 05:12:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x54ae2e…
09-07 02:30:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcc3ebd…
09-07 02:30:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x92ecaa…
09-07 02:30:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a3f78…
09-07 02:30:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x029312…
09-07 00:25:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x846cb3…
09-07 00:00:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x7897b6…
09-07 00:00:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xff3f7f…
09-06 23:01:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4f9d2e…
09-06 23:00:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x66b1d7…
09-06 21:00:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8cce71…
09-06 21:00:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x007f29…
09-06 16:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x1b0ede…
09-06 15:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xa149d5…
09-06 13:56:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8?	Yes	BUY	182	0¢	$0	0x24a2b8…
09-06 12:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xa1050b…
09-06 11:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x3440a9…
09-04 17:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x22d9be…
09-02 14:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7bcd8f…
09-02 14:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xdf96e4…
09-02 14:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xd9ff44…
09-02 14:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	93	6¢	$6	0x826cb8…
09-02 14:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x013feb…
09-02 14:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x995a59…
09-02 14:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x934c0b…
09-02 13:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xcb3d34…
09-02 13:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xad4824…
09-02 13:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x07e824…
09-02 06:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdbb2a7…
09-01 17:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9e7811…
09-01 17:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x469222…
09-01 16:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x5a2f06…
09-01 16:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xefb4b1…
09-01 16:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x2bd6e4…
09-01 16:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x3c535d…
09-01 16:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x16849c…
09-01 16:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd29d52…
09-01 16:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xcd451c…
09-01 16:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x37d9f0…
09-01 12:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x929f17…
09-01 12:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4cfa06…
09-01 05:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xea2b06…
08-31 14:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x6ea7a6…
08-31 14:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	SELL	156	60¢	$94	0xfd6834…