Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

725 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-14 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 38% +$510

Tech

44% 33% -$94

Other

7% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	24	$4.0K	2,170	2,420	-250	No	+$302	02-04 18:57
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	10	$1.2K	1,091	1,091	+0	No	-$1	02-14 14:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$898	756	537	+219	Yes	-$7	01-30 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:15 UTC	23	$773	684	684	+0	Down	+$130	02-06 18:19
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	12	$668	875	875	+0	No	-$396	02-05 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:45 UTC	8	$456	320	319	+1	Down	+$170	02-06 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:00 UTC	4	$241	200	198	+2	Down	+$21	02-05 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:10 UTC	12	$156	400	0	+400	Up	-$156	02-14 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:20 UTC	3	$152	200	0	+200	Down	+$48	02-14 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	1	$136	340	0	+340	Down	+$204	02-05 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:55 UTC	3	$136	150	0	+150	Down	-$36	02-14 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:25 UTC	14	$109	340	0	+340	Up	-$109	02-14 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:25 UTC	1	$101	113	0	+113	Up	+$11	02-13 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:00 UTC	5	$95	150	0	+150	Up	-$95	02-14 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:35 UTC	4	$91	101	0	+101	Down	+$10	02-13 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:25 UTC	5	$90	100	0	+100	Down	+$10	02-14 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:00 UTC	2	$90	100	0	+100	Up	+$10	02-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 18:00 UTC	2	$83	200	0	+200	Down	-$83	02-06 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:00 UTC	2	$77	159	0	+159	Down	+$82	02-14 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:30 UTC	1	$77	226	0	+226	Up	-$77	02-14 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 12:20 UTC	2	$68	97	0	+97	Up	+$29	02-13 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:10 UTC	1	$66	161	0	+161	Down	+$95	02-14 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:15 UTC	4	$63	211	0	+211	Up	-$63	02-14 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:10 UTC	2	$50	91	0	+91	Down	+$41	02-13 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 12:50 UTC	1	$50	61	0	+61	Down	+$11	02-14 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$49	100	0	+100	Up	-$49	10-08 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:05 UTC	1	$45	50	0	+50	Up	+$5	02-13 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 14:05 UTC	6	$40	200	0	+200	Down	-$40	02-14 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$40	82	0	+82	Down	+$42	10-08 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:15 UTC	6	$38	178	0	+178	Down	-$38	10-09 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 01:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5e867…
10-14 01:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb3605c…
10-14 01:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x340187…
10-14 01:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3549ac…
10-14 01:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d5c7a…
10-14 01:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x400475…
10-14 01:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbae906…
10-14 00:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x60918f…
10-14 00:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6198aa…
10-14 00:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcb2c0…
10-14 00:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x79a5f9…
10-14 00:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8be15b…
10-14 00:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e16c3…
10-13 23:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xecedff…
10-13 23:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd524d5…
10-13 23:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc0c22e…
10-13 23:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa4138e…
10-13 22:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4cde26…
10-13 22:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5c2232…
10-13 22:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2fb248…
10-13 22:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x70d9ac…
10-13 22:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x02a27d…
10-13 22:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8eb278…
10-13 22:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2e2cae…
10-13 22:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21c92e…
10-13 22:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5443b…
10-13 22:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9cd9a5…
10-13 21:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd3f4eb…
10-13 21:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa6da5e…
10-13 21:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf41318…
10-13 21:46:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xce7b02…
10-12 19:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x1e5811…
10-12 18:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x774ed4…
10-12 17:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0xcebee6…
10-12 17:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x846be4…
10-12 17:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x150cc1…
10-12 16:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xd05349…
10-12 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xa228ef…
10-12 15:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x655079…
10-12 15:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x61f65a…
10-12 15:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xbfd329…
10-10 22:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x9649d9…
10-10 22:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xbd131c…
10-10 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xa4fb6b…
10-10 22:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x95cd75…
10-10 21:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x104509…
10-10 18:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	65	14¢	$9	0x9e4d56…
10-10 14:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x1b0117…
10-10 14:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xf36aca…
10-10 06:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdf0301…
10-10 06:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x94c6fd…
10-10 01:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x1def46…
10-10 01:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x3a5361…
10-10 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0x9cf984…
10-10 00:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x3d09de…
10-09 23:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0x09ae60…
10-09 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	77	40¢	$31	0x04db2d…
10-09 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x9b91a7…
10-09 23:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfc8412…
10-09 22:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	78	24¢	$19	0x36c1de…
10-09 22:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xcb2032…
10-09 22:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x675db4…
10-09 22:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x9ab332…
10-09 21:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xab4cfa…
10-09 20:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x82f415…
10-09 20:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x92c997…
10-09 20:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x295c63…
10-09 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xd59e40…
10-09 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x7e7e3b…
10-09 19:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x92c885…
10-09 19:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x234b81…
10-09 19:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x2a46ad…
10-09 19:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x307ee1…
10-09 18:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xbc45f1…
10-09 18:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x870673…
10-09 18:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd65028…
10-09 17:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x1f70b7…
10-09 17:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x1339dd…
10-09 17:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xb2d3af…
10-09 17:23:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0xa8c712…
10-09 16:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x3d2e15…
10-09 16:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x222f6d…
10-09 16:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8b6afe…
10-09 16:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa5b0f8…
10-09 16:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xe9a99c…
10-09 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x005327…
10-09 15:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xcbc9d2…
10-09 15:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xae5c7d…
10-09 15:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x1a7db8…
10-09 15:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x2fc396…
10-09 14:48:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x871297…
10-09 14:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x86df2b…
10-09 14:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf4bd95…
10-09 14:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x99d926…
10-09 14:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2e3917…
10-09 14:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x2b3865…
10-09 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x421a4f…
10-09 13:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x504226…
10-09 13:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0xf25873…
10-09 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xb70fa5…