Flaky-Manicure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

131

Trades

1,745

lifetime

Volume

$4.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-09 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	31	$78	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	12	$69	101	47	+54	open	—	05-18 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	29	$60	114	0	+114	open	—	05-18 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	19	$46	90	0	+90	Up	$-1	05-13 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$46	45	45	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	16	$41	79	0	+79	Up	$-2	05-13 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	10	$40	36	36	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	16	$39	74	0	+74	Up	$-2	05-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$38	40	40	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$37	24	20	+5	Down	+$3	05-11 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	20	$34	65	0	+65	open	—	05-18 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$33	67	3	+64	open	—	05-18 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	8	$28	54	0	+54	Down	$-1	05-12 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	9	$28	49	11	+38	open	—	05-18 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$27	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$4	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$25	21	15	+6	Down	+$11	05-13 01:54
btc updown 5m 1775499900	2	$24	23	21	+1	open	—	04-06 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$24	34	29	+5	open	—	05-03 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$24	41	8	+32	open	—	05-18 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$23	45	0	+45	Down	+$2	05-08 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	9	$22	45	0	+45	Up	$-1	05-06 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	7	$21	78	30	+48	Down	$-3	05-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$21	33	0	+33	Down	$-5	05-06 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776220500	7	$21	26	31	-5	open	—	04-15 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$21	47	0	+47	Down	+$2	05-07 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776182100	5	$21	21	20	+1	open	—	04-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$21	35	18	+17	Down	$-0	05-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	11	$21	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-12 05:40
btc updown 5m 1775491800	5	$21	21	20	+1	open	—	04-06 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:28:13	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xa86aaf…
06-10 06:25:37	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe1a79c…
06-10 06:20:16	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x19696d…
06-10 06:14:31	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf25a11…
06-10 06:03:46	btc updown 15m 1781072100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1ba344…
06-10 06:00:01	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa63153…
06-10 05:54:28	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x438a47…
06-10 05:54:28	btc updown 15m 1781071200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x214a67…
06-10 05:42:12	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x16215a…
06-10 05:33:00	btc updown 15m 1781070300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x82f3de…
06-10 04:04:31	btc updown 15m 1781064000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdafcf1…
06-10 04:00:54	btc updown 15m 1781064000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x64cd23…
06-10 03:38:57	btc updown 15m 1781062200	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc201cb…
06-10 03:32:37	btc updown 15m 1781062200	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa8ab9e…
06-10 03:29:15	btc updown 15m 1781062200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e8cd0…
06-10 03:11:25	btc updown 15m 1781061300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbf44a3…
06-10 03:10:03	btc updown 15m 1781061300	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0852a6…
06-10 03:00:18	btc updown 15m 1781061300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49567a…
06-10 02:59:45	btc updown 15m 1781060400	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x301606…
06-10 02:51:27	btc updown 15m 1781060400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc28100…
06-09 17:00:13	btc updown 15m 1781024400	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x867092…
06-09 17:00:13	btc updown 15m 1781024400	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x6172e2…
06-09 17:00:03	btc updown 15m 1781024400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x553989…
06-09 16:59:06	btc updown 15m 1781024400	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x285ab8…
06-09 16:58:10	btc updown 15m 1781024400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb07aa…
06-09 16:44:42	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb1d55a…
06-09 16:30:03	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bbd67…
06-09 16:15:49	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xded994…
06-09 16:14:31	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb7038e…
06-09 16:09:34	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8677b7…
06-09 16:07:12	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb6e8b…
06-09 16:01:37	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdb9113…
06-09 16:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaa0185…
06-09 15:44:49	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xed1c24…
06-09 15:43:00	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8242d…
06-09 12:07:33	btc updown 15m 1781006400	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xdecb27…
06-09 12:03:58	btc updown 15m 1781006400	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5892aa…
06-09 11:50:37	btc updown 15m 1781005500	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x120875…
06-09 11:49:43	btc updown 15m 1781005500	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7992cf…
06-09 11:48:12	btc updown 15m 1781005500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2a4021…
06-09 11:41:15	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x52ad53…
06-09 11:39:51	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc751f6…
06-09 11:39:12	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9dc027…
06-09 11:38:30	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x16b865…
06-09 11:38:04	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8e37ed…
06-09 11:33:00	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6163bc…
06-09 11:23:19	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x202761…
06-09 11:22:16	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x390635…
06-09 11:18:24	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xeaf092…
06-09 10:51:00	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x4eeefe…
06-09 09:38:27	btc updown 5m 1780997700	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x568ac4…
06-09 09:31:45	btc updown 5m 1780997700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c7c00…
06-09 09:17:33	btc updown 5m 1780996500	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9ac4c1…
06-09 09:11:52	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c15ad…
06-09 09:11:22	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb2af6f…
06-09 09:07:34	btc updown 5m 1780995900	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa8c903…
06-09 09:02:24	btc updown 5m 1780995600	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2c9346…
06-09 09:01:58	btc updown 5m 1780995600	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1e45d8…
06-09 08:58:36	btc updown 5m 1780995300	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x62162b…
06-09 08:57:07	btc updown 5m 1780995300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x538e80…
06-09 08:54:16	btc updown 5m 1780995000	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x243245…
06-09 08:34:52	btc updown 5m 1780993800	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x73f376…
06-09 08:32:37	btc updown 5m 1780993800	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x16a9fa…
06-09 08:31:34	btc updown 5m 1780993800	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x62cc4f…
06-09 08:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780993800	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe209a8…
06-09 08:26:45	btc updown 5m 1780993500	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7c537d…
05-20 06:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x2e1194…
05-18 14:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x04d241…
05-18 14:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2c9f7c…
05-18 14:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4f5c87…
05-18 14:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x65de3c…
05-18 14:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x069d0f…
05-18 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe670cd…
05-18 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xee20eb…
05-18 14:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8950e4…
05-18 14:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3e2cda…
05-18 14:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7198a6…
05-18 14:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x56337f…
05-18 14:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe6c7d3…
05-18 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x39e1ea…
05-18 14:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4fe69a…
05-18 14:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5ff086…
05-18 14:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2eaddb…
05-18 13:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x570290…
05-18 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x5054c6…
05-18 13:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x3323dd…
05-18 13:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd47910…
05-18 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xefcb25…
05-18 13:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x60a794…
05-18 13:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x8287b5…
05-18 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x1597c0…
05-18 13:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x71e2bd…
05-18 13:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1b6894…
05-18 13:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf47015…
05-18 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4a3f29…
05-18 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xca0d0f…
05-18 13:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe66ec9…
05-18 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcd4bba…
05-18 13:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2d22e7…
05-18 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xedc574…