Flaky-Manicure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

859

Trades

2,335

lifetime

Volume

$5.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-04 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	31	$78	150	0	+150	Down	-$1	05-18 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	12	$69	101	47	+54	Up	-$5	05-18 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	29	$60	114	0	+114	Down	$0	05-18 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	19	$46	90	0	+90	Up	-$1	05-13 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$46	45	45	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	16	$41	79	0	+79	Up	-$2	05-13 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	10	$40	36	36	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	16	$39	74	0	+74	Up	-$2	05-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$38	40	40	+0	Up	-$1	05-06 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$37	24	20	+5	Down	+$3	05-11 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	20	$34	65	0	+65	Up	+$9	05-18 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$33	67	3	+64	Down	-$1	05-18 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	8	$28	54	0	+54	Down	-$1	05-12 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	9	$28	49	11	+38	Down	-$1	05-18 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$27	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$4	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$25	21	15	+6	Down	+$11	05-13 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 18:25 UTC	2	$24	23	21	+1	Up	+$16	04-06 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$24	34	29	+5	Up	-$11	05-03 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$24	41	8	+32	Down	-$3	05-18 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$23	45	0	+45	Down	+$2	05-08 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	9	$22	45	0	+45	Up	-$1	05-06 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	7	$21	78	30	+48	Down	-$3	05-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$21	33	0	+33	Down	-$5	05-06 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:35 UTC	7	$21	26	31	-5	Down	-$4	04-15 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$21	47	0	+47	Down	+$2	05-07 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:55 UTC	5	$21	21	20	+1	Down	+$1	04-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$21	35	18	+17	Down	$0	05-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	11	$21	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-12 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:10 UTC	5	$21	21	20	+1	Up	$0	04-06 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 14:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x2a1d07…
09-04 14:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x4f9652…
09-04 14:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x18e960…
09-04 14:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x57c8fb…
09-04 14:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec678c…
09-04 14:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb1f8eb…
09-04 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x459769…
09-04 14:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8f916b…
09-04 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x40507b…
09-04 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd8d8af…
09-04 14:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4c8dda…
09-04 13:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6026cf…
09-04 13:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x38a680…
09-04 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xe0d362…
09-04 13:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3d9021…
09-04 13:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd198e7…
09-03 16:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc9eb72…
09-03 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x223e67…
09-02 18:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x274052…
09-02 08:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4704b5…
09-02 08:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcf21d7…
09-02 08:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x366cf4…
09-02 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6e74ee…
07-26 10:32:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x4081e7…
07-26 10:31:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x231238…
07-26 10:28:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0x50a41b…
07-26 10:26:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xe44db3…
07-26 10:23:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xae2069…
07-26 10:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeec581…
07-26 10:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x940ea2…
07-26 10:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7a386b…
07-26 10:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x11b6de…
07-26 09:46:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x952a8b…
07-26 09:44:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x983c89…
07-26 09:40:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc784fb…
07-26 09:18:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x6d4783…
07-26 09:10:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x1f73f0…
07-26 09:01:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x425735…
07-26 08:49:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4235fb…
07-26 08:46:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x975cfc…
07-26 08:32:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x140661…
07-26 08:24:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf60818…
07-26 08:17:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7621e…
07-26 08:00:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f2e19…
07-26 07:53:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x57a2f3…
07-26 07:49:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x70d68e…
07-26 07:46:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcb5ca6…
07-26 07:41:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xcf3932…
07-26 07:40:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4a7d80…
07-26 07:32:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30c645…
07-26 07:19:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x1dbb9c…
07-26 07:16:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x27d969…
07-26 07:05:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x1c892a…
07-26 07:01:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x50f75f…
07-26 06:23:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xabe027…
07-26 06:21:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe50287…
07-26 06:20:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xaa73a0…
07-26 06:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcd6ea5…
07-26 06:16:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbf60da…
07-26 06:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x0ae643…
07-26 06:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6c2b61…
07-26 06:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x3c3e61…
07-26 06:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x99ce12…
07-26 05:53:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xee0ea5…
07-26 05:52:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x59c20d…
07-26 05:45:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e0fdd…
07-26 05:41:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x5ef837…
07-26 05:31:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x05ac0f…
07-26 05:30:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xedae8e…
07-26 04:58:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa41407…
07-26 04:46:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd48e4d…
07-26 04:45:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x327800…
07-26 04:41:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x42e467…
07-26 04:36:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90148b…
07-26 04:23:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x47c7bb…
07-26 04:23:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1f3e12…
07-26 04:01:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2ae173…
07-26 03:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x32a088…
07-26 03:45:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6820e0…
07-26 03:43:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xd0d173…
07-26 03:39:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x29e4ec…
07-26 03:33:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2dd92…
07-26 03:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdf1c44…
07-26 02:48:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4ac65c…
07-26 02:48:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xccb2c6…
07-26 02:30:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd2be26…
07-26 02:14:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x0fe33c…
07-26 02:01:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaec2b8…
07-26 01:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3fac45…
07-26 01:41:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xa8eb7c…
07-26 01:41:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x31735d…
07-26 01:36:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7abca7…
07-26 01:30:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf75ed0…
07-26 01:13:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf67df1…
07-26 01:00:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa82d78…
07-26 00:25:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x9a2d36…
07-26 00:23:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe2e7ab…
07-26 00:21:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x69eebc…
07-25 23:45:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3183b8…
07-25 23:45:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1ba6e3…