Flaky-Manicure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

131

Trades

1,879

lifetime

Volume

$4.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-03 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	31	$78	150	0	+150	open	—	05-18 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	12	$69	101	47	+54	open	—	05-18 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	29	$60	114	0	+114	open	—	05-18 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	19	$46	90	0	+90	Up	$-1	05-13 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$46	45	45	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	16	$41	79	0	+79	Up	$-2	05-13 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	10	$40	36	36	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	16	$39	74	0	+74	Up	$-2	05-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$38	40	40	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$37	24	20	+5	Down	+$3	05-11 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	20	$34	65	0	+65	open	—	05-18 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$33	67	3	+64	open	—	05-18 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	8	$28	54	0	+54	Down	$-1	05-12 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	9	$28	49	11	+38	open	—	05-18 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$27	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$4	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$25	21	15	+6	Down	+$11	05-13 01:54
btc updown 5m 1775499900	2	$24	23	21	+1	open	—	04-06 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$24	34	29	+5	open	—	05-03 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$24	41	8	+32	open	—	05-18 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$23	45	0	+45	Down	+$2	05-08 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	9	$22	45	0	+45	Up	$-1	05-06 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	7	$21	78	30	+48	Down	$-3	05-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$21	33	0	+33	Down	$-5	05-06 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776220500	7	$21	26	31	-5	open	—	04-15 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$21	47	0	+47	Down	+$2	05-07 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776182100	5	$21	21	20	+1	open	—	04-14 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$21	35	18	+17	Down	$-0	05-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	11	$21	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-12 05:40
btc updown 5m 1775491800	5	$21	21	20	+1	open	—	04-06 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 07:30:13	btc updown 5m 1783063800	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0xf9c66c…
07-03 07:30:13	btc updown 5m 1783063800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x346940…
07-03 07:30:13	btc updown 5m 1783063800	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x102fe2…
07-03 07:20:11	btc updown 5m 1783063200	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3fd30c…
07-03 07:15:02	btc updown 5m 1783062900	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4791c1…
07-03 07:09:47	btc updown 5m 1783062600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9c3368…
07-03 07:04:22	btc updown 5m 1783062300	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb76ce9…
07-03 07:00:55	btc updown 5m 1783062000	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8a14b8…
07-03 06:57:23	btc updown 5m 1783061700	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x058d50…
07-03 06:54:13	btc updown 5m 1783061700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcf8db3…
07-03 06:47:59	btc updown 5m 1783061400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7abe7…
07-03 06:22:41	btc updown 5m 1783059900	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xacf17b…
07-03 06:19:08	btc updown 5m 1783059600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x65ba9b…
07-03 06:14:49	btc updown 5m 1783059300	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9f2fe…
07-03 06:07:38	btc updown 5m 1783059000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeccd0f…
07-03 05:59:14	btc updown 5m 1783058400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x082372…
07-03 05:56:29	btc updown 5m 1783058100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0fd68e…
07-03 05:48:50	btc updown 5m 1783057800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2df1af…
07-03 05:44:16	btc updown 5m 1783057500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37baab…
07-03 05:40:17	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xcc1ef6…
07-03 05:34:58	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf7b28c…
07-03 05:31:04	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x84329b…
07-03 02:17:32	btc updown 15m 1783044900	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x1eda2b…
07-03 02:17:31	btc updown 15m 1783044900	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4d8b70…
07-03 02:16:55	btc updown 15m 1783044900	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1f2c75…
07-03 00:33:10	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x16b752…
07-03 00:32:02	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x22ee0c…
07-03 00:31:19	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x77357c…
07-03 00:30:37	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb5f8ff…
07-03 00:19:52	btc updown 15m 1783037700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x73f6bb…
07-03 00:18:32	btc updown 15m 1783037700	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x19e32f…
07-02 11:08:16	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x03fb23…
07-02 11:01:58	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x225fe9…
07-02 10:47:50	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2f52bf…
07-02 10:46:41	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d3268…
07-02 10:43:41	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x611b4f…
07-02 10:40:28	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xed8a9a…
07-02 10:40:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xefba51…
07-02 10:40:22	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2cd75a…
07-02 10:34:53	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd169b3…
07-02 10:31:25	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcd8456…
06-17 18:18:56	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3d7575…
06-17 08:11:56	btc updown 5m 1781683800	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf890d5…
06-16 12:53:57	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c3fa9…
06-16 12:45:54	btc updown 5m 1781613900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6c1962…
06-16 12:42:34	btc updown 5m 1781613900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd1bea0…
06-16 12:41:36	btc updown 5m 1781613600	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8c1bc9…
06-16 12:38:13	btc updown 5m 1781613600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8c1b71…
06-16 12:37:21	btc updown 5m 1781613300	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd26610…
06-16 12:34:33	btc updown 5m 1781613300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x696fbd…
06-16 12:20:12	btc updown 5m 1781612400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x797836…
06-16 12:18:03	btc updown 5m 1781612400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x46b857…
06-16 09:09:30	btc updown 15m 1781600400	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x29ff5e…
06-16 08:50:36	btc updown 15m 1781600400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf7c8a…
06-16 08:30:55	btc updown 15m 1781598600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf9e9c…
06-16 08:25:13	btc updown 15m 1781598600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x436f56…
06-16 08:00:51	btc updown 15m 1781596800	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x08dc1d…
06-16 08:00:46	btc updown 15m 1781596800	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3223cc…
06-16 07:59:03	btc updown 15m 1781596800	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x38813f…
06-16 07:58:42	btc updown 15m 1781596800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1b2743…
06-16 07:00:40	btc updown 15m 1781593200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4a5c34…
06-16 06:57:16	btc updown 15m 1781593200	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7aafce…
06-15 21:02:48	btc updown 15m 1781557200	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93edb8…
06-15 20:54:57	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xd6954e…
06-15 20:51:51	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6397cf…
06-15 20:51:25	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2ccb12…
06-15 20:49:16	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x037520…
06-15 20:47:16	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8d93df…
06-15 20:45:06	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x847832…
06-15 20:45:06	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x333803…
06-15 20:45:06	btc updown 15m 1781556300	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x321f95…
06-15 19:45:39	btc updown 15m 1781552700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa4ecff…
06-15 19:16:54	btc updown 15m 1781550900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x681a44…
06-15 18:58:40	btc updown 15m 1781549100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3a7971…
06-15 18:33:25	btc updown 15m 1781549100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x13f565…
06-15 16:33:58	btc updown 15m 1781541000	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc76699…
06-15 16:33:31	btc updown 15m 1781541000	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xec8a98…
06-15 16:33:31	btc updown 15m 1781541000	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7a2e8d…
06-15 15:00:10	btc updown 15m 1781535600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9c1201…
06-15 14:55:13	btc updown 15m 1781535600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa10c05…
06-15 14:54:12	btc updown 15m 1781534700	Down	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xc6cf9c…
06-15 14:52:58	btc updown 15m 1781534700	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x0eddef…
06-15 14:50:00	btc updown 15m 1781534700	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x29255f…
06-15 14:45:07	btc updown 15m 1781534700	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x3a5dae…
06-15 14:45:06	btc updown 15m 1781534700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9e5ee5…
06-15 14:45:06	btc updown 15m 1781534700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x04052a…
06-15 14:30:06	btc updown 15m 1781533800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x810dbe…
06-15 14:25:10	btc updown 15m 1781533800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x99d2d7…
06-15 14:00:09	btc updown 15m 1781532000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbb06eb…
06-15 14:00:04	btc updown 15m 1781532000	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x8e9528…
06-15 14:00:00	btc updown 15m 1781532000	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xca85de…
06-15 13:32:12	btc updown 15m 1781530200	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d2068…
06-15 13:30:12	btc updown 15m 1781530200	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd08f17…
06-15 13:17:43	btc updown 15m 1781529300	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xf746ef…
06-15 13:14:30	btc updown 15m 1781529300	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7b7bf1…
06-10 12:35:15	btc updown 5m 1781094900	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x46644e…
06-10 12:30:21	btc updown 5m 1781094600	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa1c7d0…
06-10 12:25:51	btc updown 5m 1781094300	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa8a6f3…
06-10 12:23:07	btc updown 15m 1781093700	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xdb41a6…
06-10 12:18:49	btc updown 15m 1781093700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x75990b…