Grandiose-Assessment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$525

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

157

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-07 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

61% 59% -$470

Politics

31% 64% -$82

Crypto

7% 71% +$12

Sports

1% 60% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$515	308	308	+0	No	+$97	04-27 06:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	3	$429	239	239	+0	No	+$29	04-17 13:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	3	$347	205	205	+0	No	+$47	04-21 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$330	397	0	+397	No	+$67	06-12 14:57
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$325	184	184	+0	No	+$42	04-24 06:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	11	$323	254	254	+0	No	+$50	03-31 16:46
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$314	182	182	+0	No	+$50	04-01 05:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$287	305	305	+0	No	-$113	04-25 16:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$276	202	202	+0	No	+$14	04-21 15:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	4	$237	201	132	+69	No	+$6	04-21 04:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	3	$230	126	125	+1	No	+$14	04-08 12:49
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	2	$223	125	125	+0	Yes	+$23	04-14 14:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$218	142	142	+0	No	+$18	04-17 13:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$215	266	0	+266	Yes	-$215	04-28 10:21
will the denver nuggets win more than 53pt5 regular season games in 202526	2	$214	143	143	+0	Yes	+$23	04-05 12:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$213	115	115	+0	No	+$13	04-30 07:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$212	114	114	+0	No	+$13	04-23 03:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$211	112	112	+0	No	+$10	06-16 01:37
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	3	$207	249	0	+249	Yes	-$207	04-28 08:03
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$204	112	112	+0	No	+$17	03-30 13:34
will wti reach 100 in august 2026	2	$203	116	116	+0	No	+$3	08-07 14:15
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$202	135	135	+0	No	+$2	04-18 18:31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$200	261	0	+261	No	-$200	07-29 02:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	+$41	04-27 06:50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$197	277	0	+277	No	+$80	05-02 05:16
us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	2	$195	123	123	+0	No	-$5	04-13 15:57
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$190	226	0	+226	No	+$36	04-26 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 17:35 UTC	4	$186	102	102	+0	Down	+$4	03-11 17:39
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$183	0	188	-188	No	-$5	05-02 04:55
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	2	$175	230	0	+230	No	+$55	05-12 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 14:15:16	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	116	89¢	$103	0x46d8d0…
08-04 12:41:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x8cb967…
08-04 12:38:42	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xda8ed0…
07-29 02:38:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	261	76¢	$200	0x98de6b…
06-16 01:37:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	112	98¢	$110	0x1fe01a…
06-16 01:37:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x2ce6b0…
06-12 14:57:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x972d4c…
06-12 14:56:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xacd4ae…
06-12 14:56:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	136	84¢	$114	0x96e732…
06-12 14:54:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	153	85¢	$130	0xd917ae…
06-12 14:54:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x9741b3…
06-12 14:53:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x25b446…
06-10 21:59:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	112	90¢	$101	0xb013fc…
06-10 00:01:31	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x198df3…
06-07 05:50:39	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	259	15¢	$39	0xd5a63e…
06-05 02:29:57	will meta dip to 560 in june 2026	No	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x8c66aa…
06-05 02:01:40	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x405fb3…
06-05 01:58:58	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xbb3629…
06-04 09:21:51	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	No	BUY	135	75¢	$101	0xb02978…
06-04 04:31:52	will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x9871ca…
06-03 06:25:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x9e9405…
06-03 06:24:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x04af6c…
06-03 05:43:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x56da61…
06-03 05:17:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x071446…
06-03 05:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xdbced1…
06-03 01:53:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x183a02…
05-26 04:49:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x54cd7c…
05-26 04:47:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd120b9…
05-13 06:48:41	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xf9699e…
05-12 23:54:14	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	96	79¢	$75	0xb01948…
05-11 04:23:45	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	134	74¢	$100	0x32d0e3…
05-02 05:24:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x34628d…
05-02 05:21:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	97	77¢	$75	0xabd56f…
05-02 05:21:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	103	73¢	$75	0x42b5e4…
05-02 05:16:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0xb9b144…
05-02 05:14:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?	No	BUY	92	82¢	$75	0x8791dd…
05-02 04:55:06	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	188	97¢	$183	0x7f98f3…
05-01 07:46:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xad8529…
04-30 07:19:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$113	0xbc128d…
04-28 10:21:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x31c5dc…
04-28 08:03:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x76fd2c…
04-28 02:56:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xb23a0d…
04-27 14:17:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x58180a…
04-27 14:16:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x0a8507…
04-27 14:09:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xdd9cd4…
04-27 06:50:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x864cfa…
04-27 06:49:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$306	0x41b890…
04-26 00:40:48	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x9aea5c…
04-26 00:26:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xab5e01…
04-25 16:31:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	17¢	$37	0x1b4620…
04-24 16:14:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x6fa449…
04-24 16:06:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	114	37¢	$43	0x422a10…
04-24 15:47:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	57¢	$50	0x092c41…
04-24 14:33:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x61e681…
04-24 12:32:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	No	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0x88fc05…
04-24 12:22:10	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0xb93bfe…
04-24 12:06:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x048ac7…
04-24 06:28:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xeb6859…
04-24 02:06:44	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0x960ced…
04-23 09:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xe48018…
04-23 03:11:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x36f4d5…
04-23 03:08:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	114	99¢	$112	0xdf374b…
04-22 09:05:20	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xb3a106…
04-22 06:46:02	Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x0d853c…
04-22 06:33:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x0a77fa…
04-22 00:33:00	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	154	78¢	$120	0xd8c84b…
04-21 15:16:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x44cb42…
04-21 15:14:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	205	96¢	$197	0xf9bbef…
04-21 15:11:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	202	72¢	$145	0x8fb1e8…
04-21 06:51:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x1ef507…
04-21 05:27:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0xfe42d7…
04-21 04:37:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x661bde…
04-21 01:11:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0xb79a6d…
04-21 01:07:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	122	74¢	$90	0xed896c…
04-20 11:47:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb78a78…
04-20 11:31:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xd9ab6f…
04-19 19:05:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x507310…
04-19 19:02:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$14	0x92ef73…
04-19 19:02:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$6	0x8cde18…
04-19 19:02:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x76e276…
04-19 19:02:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x6ffa02…
04-19 19:02:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	65	87¢	$56	0x15ef00…
04-19 14:10:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	84¢	$44	0x44857d…
04-18 18:31:02	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	74	75¢	$56	0xb2476e…
04-18 18:30:50	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x663848…
04-18 18:29:50	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x859405…
04-18 15:29:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x230d1d…
04-18 10:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	180	66¢	$119	0xcd84f4…
04-18 10:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xe1ce65…
04-18 09:41:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x346d35…
04-18 09:39:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	126	66¢	$83	0x8ccbda…
04-17 17:46:48	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x074719…
04-17 13:54:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	142	83¢	$118	0x4d384d…
04-17 13:54:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	239	96¢	$229	0x094119…
04-17 13:39:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x7ba587…
04-17 13:37:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0xf50fde…
04-16 15:31:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	77	92¢	$70	0x42f54e…
04-15 14:38:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	162	80¢	$130	0x0b9d3e…
04-15 14:28:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	Yes	SELL	131	36¢	$47	0xed8681…
04-15 07:29:24	Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x16a98c…