Realized P&L
-$137
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
129
Trades
186
lifetime
Volume
$34.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$184
Open exposure
$1.13K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
45% 81% +$218
Politics
18% 39% -$639
Tech
16% 92% +$531
Crypto
10% 90% -$95
Sports
8% 64% -$1
Pop-Culture
4% 80% -$151
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +437 $435 100¢ $436 +$1 10-18 14:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +171 $142 93¢ $158 +$17 10-24 09:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +112 $106 99¢ $110 +$4 10-05 17:17
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +109 $106 100¢ $108 +$2 10-05 17:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +118 $79 86¢ $102 +$23 10-05 17:17
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +114 $79 89¢ $102 +$23 10-05 17:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $79 94¢ $94 +$14 10-05 17:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 16¢ $9 -$6 09-05 09:06
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 09:08
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 07:33
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +65 $20 4¢ $3 -$17 10-05 17:16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +52 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 10-16 10:30