Fortunate-Bagpipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:55
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:10
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2dafe5…
10-31 15:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa3114b…
10-30 14:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45a6f0…
10-29 17:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe857f6…
10-29 09:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd55935…
10-28 07:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc9c208…
10-27 09:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x599f38…
10-26 09:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b861…
10-24 11:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc24b31…
10-22 10:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdccf10…
10-20 07:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x740398…
10-19 09:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ea7c9…
10-18 10:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x594e95…
10-17 15:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fbea2…
10-16 09:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50eb58…
10-15 09:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca8b42…
10-14 09:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb77ea7…
10-13 09:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc9a2d…
10-12 09:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f819d…
10-11 09:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x700281…
10-08 12:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb27d9…
10-07 15:27:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc10b14…
10-06 15:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x258d79…
10-05 06:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36b8aa…
10-03 08:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd5584…
10-02 13:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c6c26…
10-01 08:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x873354…
09-30 02:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb20515…
09-28 09:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x305b3d…
09-27 08:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8e931…
09-25 16:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68d260…
09-24 08:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9b9ad…
09-23 08:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac40ec…
09-22 08:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbee424…
09-21 09:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe61f30…
09-20 05:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x328975…
09-19 08:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbde6e0…
09-18 07:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb09385…
09-17 04:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52d258…
09-16 08:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x131760…
09-15 10:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5c30e…
09-14 09:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93eb84…
09-13 02:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x135a6d…
09-11 07:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6073a7…
09-10 08:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee318a…
09-09 12:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1846a5…
09-08 15:47:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21bb75…
09-08 06:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3efd0c…
09-07 08:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52bd86…
09-06 16:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x246d05…
09-06 10:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x252b85…
09-05 01:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bdcbd…
09-03 17:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebc109…
09-02 07:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb28515…
08-30 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x031d97…
08-29 09:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8c078…
08-28 08:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1d2bb…
08-27 09:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x298e12…
08-26 08:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd4cb7…
08-25 09:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9390de…
08-24 13:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4795…
08-23 15:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f59a2…
08-22 09:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a2503…
08-21 07:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f0d9d…
08-20 09:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x069ae0…
08-18 08:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb162f4…
08-17 08:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa433f4…
08-16 14:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x395ef7…
08-15 10:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x075fcd…
08-14 06:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1261cf…
08-13 08:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e9330…
08-12 08:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa88a71…
08-11 07:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a1936…
08-10 08:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4291ff…
08-09 06:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x790e3d…
08-08 07:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaa9ee…
08-07 07:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x283963…
08-06 06:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9da1…
08-05 08:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf21d4…
08-04 08:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x525ad4…
08-03 07:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19168…
08-02 06:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x625c17…
08-01 07:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd38501…
07-31 13:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x257900…
07-30 07:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7cdd6…
07-29 07:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa47601…
07-28 07:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x055387…
07-27 08:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac36b6…
07-26 07:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60926f…
07-25 08:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x438d60…
07-24 13:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fdf8c…
07-23 08:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41ad56…
07-22 02:08:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b8dc3…
07-21 09:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x893dd4…
07-21 00:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x868cb1…
07-20 08:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x776f6f…
07-18 23:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8177fc…
07-18 00:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe99103…
07-17 07:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89dacb…
07-15 22:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x691a7d…