Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$25

Unrealized P&L

-$211

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

136

217 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.30K

$13.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$58

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

37% 38% -$342

Other

37% 58% +$420

Sports

27% 45% -$161

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+224	$70	20¢	$45	-$25	11-04 07:12
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+81	$25	13¢	$10	-$15	11-03 19:04
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	+167	$109	1¢	$2	-$107	11-03 22:42
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+59	$34	1¢	$1	-$33	11-03 22:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+54	$32	1¢	$1	-$31	11-03 06:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$1.5K	1,476	1,338	+138	No	+$172	01-18 18:43
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	4	$423	347	347	+0	Yes	+$184	03-23 17:06
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	2	$330	250	250	+0	No	-$15	03-16 19:47
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	2	$288	179	179	+0	Yes	+$69	08-12 22:09
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5	2	$272	185	185	+0	Over	+$98	09-28 03:59
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$270	213	213	+0	Yes	+$70	03-08 22:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	2	$259	161	161	+0	Yes	+$63	08-12 22:08
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 10–15%?	2	$258	158	158	+0	No	+$58	08-12 02:40
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	2	$245	175	175	+0	No	+$105	09-20 19:56
italy nordio reform referendum passes	3	$243	166	166	+0	No	+$88	03-23 17:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$242	356	356	+0	No	+$42	03-10 19:39
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5	2	$228	154	154	+0	Over	+$80	09-25 03:24
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$224	144	144	+0	Yes	+$64	08-12 14:26
will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	2	$223	136	136	+0	Yes	+$42	03-16 11:51
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08	2	$208	128	128	+0	Miami	+$49	01-09 05:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$187	121	121	+0	open	—	09-14 00:11
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$184	302	128	+173	No	-$72	01-09 05:13
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	3	$181	106	106	+0	Yes	+$31	11-04 07:09
LSU vs. Ole Miss: O/U 58.5	2	$180	120	120	+0	Under	+$60	09-20 03:34
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	3	$173	114	114	+0	Yes	+$53	11-04 04:10
mlb atl mil 2026 08 21	2	$167	107	107	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$47	08-21 22:35
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12 spread away 3pt5	2	$166	116	116	+0	Texans	+$66	01-13 05:37
nfl la car 2026 01 10 spread away 7pt5	2	$166	116	116	+0	Panthers	+$66	01-11 00:53
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	1	$158	186	0	+186	Under	-$158	09-20 14:27
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11 spread home 4pt5	2	$156	106	106	+0	49ers	+$56	01-12 00:58
nfl la car 2026 01 10 total 44pt5	2	$148	98	98	+0	Over	+$48	01-11 00:53
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	2	$142	96	96	+0	Yes	+$47	09-20 19:56
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$127	79	79	+0	Yes	+$27	09-21 00:10
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$126	250	0	+250	No	-$126	03-15 17:23
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	2	$120	70	70	+0	Yes	+$20	11-04 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:12:28	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x89e414…
11-04 07:10:04	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x83d02f…
11-04 07:09:34	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x4050aa…
11-04 07:09:25	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x5f61a0…
11-04 05:57:00	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x6cdb73…
11-04 04:10:19	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x7d3575…
11-03 22:42:57	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	167	66¢	$109	0xe6663a…
11-03 22:37:52	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0x2f0650…
11-03 22:36:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xd99a0c…
11-03 22:35:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x157704…
11-03 22:34:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xa931f6…
11-03 19:09:34	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	83	26¢	$22	0x9eb99a…
11-03 19:08:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x43ef8e…
11-03 19:05:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0xff4252…
11-03 19:05:37	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x50ddb7…
11-03 19:05:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4cf393…
11-03 19:04:06	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x956258…
11-03 19:03:39	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc3c2f1…
11-03 19:03:18	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcede5a…
11-03 19:03:04	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x3ba7a7…
11-03 19:02:37	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5ce007…
11-03 06:08:30	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0x24e192…
11-03 06:08:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xdc7d57…
11-03 06:07:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc766be…
11-03 06:07:00	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x66aebd…
11-03 06:06:34	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x560e11…
11-03 06:06:03	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x7e19a3…
11-03 06:05:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0x65145c…
11-03 06:05:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x341c59…
11-03 06:04:33	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x22806a…
11-03 06:03:57	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x5dde34…
11-03 06:03:30	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x8947c4…
11-03 00:16:25	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	137	48¢	$66	0x582774…
10-27 21:52:17	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x353f76…
10-27 21:20:57	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xe532ca…
10-27 20:20:36	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x065b0c…
10-27 17:33:05	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xab35e8…
10-26 20:22:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5aeb80…
10-26 18:09:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0x7fbe5c…
09-29 00:04:05	Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0xe6c295…
09-28 23:57:23	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0xdac81d…
09-28 03:59:44	Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5	Over	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xd73b1b…
09-28 00:09:53	Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	185	47¢	$87	0x905521…
09-28 00:09:20	Spread: Rams (-1.5)	Rams	BUY	183	47¢	$86	0xc2f777…
09-26 15:58:14	Spread: Texas (-5.5)	Texas	BUY	135	49¢	$66	0xf1719f…
09-26 15:57:51	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 53.5	Over	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x47d4a1…
09-26 02:28:08	Clemson vs. California: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0x1a79cf…
09-26 02:27:48	Spread: Clemson (-2.5)	Clemson	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0xdcbea3…
09-25 03:24:35	Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5	Over	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x77779c…
09-25 00:06:24	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	136	56¢	$76	0x742e7c…
09-25 00:05:54	Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	154	48¢	$74	0xb9018a…
09-21 23:11:48	Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Rams	BUY	155	51¢	$79	0x41d006…
09-21 23:09:04	Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	153	49¢	$75	0x9d355c…
09-21 00:10:47	Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	154	50¢	$77	0x534037…
09-21 00:10:16	Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x035536…
09-21 00:10:05	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	79	97¢	$77	0x7f8c94…
09-20 19:56:55	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x6575cd…
09-20 19:56:46	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xeb6d53…
09-20 14:27:40	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	BUY	186	85¢	$158	0xf42e74…
09-20 14:27:13	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x6a33a1…
09-20 14:25:31	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x4d1200…
09-20 14:24:36	Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x74e845…
09-20 14:19:22	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x1f65c3…
09-20 14:17:00	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	175	40¢	$70	0x637596…
09-20 03:35:28	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x4714da…
09-20 03:34:30	LSU vs. Ole Miss: O/U 58.5	Under	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x6fff02…
09-19 23:27:09	LSU vs. Ole Miss: O/U 58.5	Under	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x6666e9…
09-19 23:25:58	Spread: LSU (-3.5)	LSU	BUY	160	44¢	$70	0xe2d000…
09-15 03:35:04	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xd7c319…
09-14 00:12:15	Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	147	51¢	$75	0xc85c59…
09-14 00:11:42	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x0fcf1a…
09-14 00:11:06	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	121	87¢	$105	0xd61e00…
09-14 00:10:30	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xd9eb26…
09-14 00:10:13	Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x9b2fda…
09-13 15:31:21	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	121	68¢	$82	0xb35163…
09-13 15:30:55	Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x0ebaee…
09-13 15:30:34	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x445ae0…
09-13 15:29:48	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x68d92f…
09-13 15:29:33	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xbd06d2…
09-13 15:29:16	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xbb15e3…
09-11 00:28:09	49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	115	50¢	$57	0x82b6fb…
09-11 00:27:27	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	114	51¢	$58	0x50a8fb…
09-06 15:55:18	Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xd713b6…
09-06 15:54:51	Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0x2a953c…
09-06 15:54:22	Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x8ff13a…
09-06 15:53:55	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0xe40d9e…
09-06 01:22:33	Clemson vs. LSU: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x48aab0…
09-06 01:22:07	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	LSU	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0xd812be…
08-31 20:03:04	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xf82e6d…
08-31 20:02:13	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	46	87¢	$41	0x11152b…
08-26 13:46:09	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	46	60¢	$28	0xb011fa…
08-26 13:45:30	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x8d59fe…
08-26 00:40:15	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Colorado Rockies	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x7712ef…
08-25 20:46:57	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xca65df…
08-25 20:46:33	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x412e2c…
08-25 20:04:15	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xbb3ace…
08-22 01:28:24	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x88b462…
08-22 01:28:12	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x0c7b46…
08-21 22:35:18	mlb atl mil 2026 08 21	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x4ea0ac…
08-21 20:17:54	mlb atl mil 2026 08 21 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0x233a06…