Indolent-Kill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-06 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 90% -$4

Other

39% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	No		+16	$16	100¢	$16	$0	11-06 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 380 399	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-10 07:30
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 280 299	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	01-06 03:28
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	01-15 07:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-13 03:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-07 03:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-15 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	06-01 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-10 09:51
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	06-06 03:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	05-20 02:18
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-26 08:40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	06-09 07:14
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:11
bitcoin above 60k on march 16	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	03-14 11:10
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-09 10:56
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-04 08:19
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-24 10:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 2	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-02 06:24
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	02-28 02:28
bitcoin above 74k on february 12	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	02-12 03:22
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-29 02:03
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	01-19 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-30 02:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$78	78	+78	Yes	+$0	04-25 11:23
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	04-11 06:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 19	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	03-19 03:15
ethereum above 2500 on february 5	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	02-05 03:34
bitcoin above 98k on january 24	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	01-23 02:49
ethereum above 2400 on january 28	1	$77	77	+77	Yes	+$0	01-27 08:39
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$76	76	+76	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:10:04	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe3c8c3…
10-09 14:59:07	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe23e87…
10-09 14:57:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7f48f9…
09-27 10:57:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x219a9f…
09-27 10:56:09	atp overbe tabacc 2026 09 27	Fausto Tabacco	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf29a99…
08-20 15:14:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x58d2e4…
06-09 07:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xe5f99e…
06-06 03:19:06	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x3411fd…
06-01 07:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4c6295…
05-26 08:40:03	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4db035…
05-20 02:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x18b071…
05-15 08:45:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x825854…
05-13 03:48:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x1b9afb…
05-10 09:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xbc5dd4…
05-07 03:09:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x377c55…
04-30 02:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x82d7dd…
04-25 11:23:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x23d67c…
04-21 06:38:32	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x4f724d…
04-21 06:38:22	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 190 214	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefe66f…
04-21 06:38:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb58f75…
04-16 06:19:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x03e01a…
04-16 06:18:54	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x012c32…
04-16 06:17:36	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf43de9…
04-11 06:57:47	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x200a1d…
04-11 06:57:33	Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x776077…
04-11 06:57:27	Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6094cf…
04-06 09:11:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf0ea26…
04-02 06:24:35	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf05a30…
03-29 02:03:50	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x51b04e…
03-29 02:03:40	will xai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x704b36…
03-29 02:03:30	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be less than 10m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7740e1…
03-24 10:42:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xea0e71…
03-19 03:15:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 19	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x646c0c…
03-19 03:14:51	donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 200plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93ea01…
03-19 03:14:41	ethereum above 2500 on march 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59d1e6…
03-14 11:10:57	bitcoin above 60k on march 16	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8116c9…
03-09 10:56:49	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb3d6a6…
03-04 08:19:07	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc03ef8…
02-28 02:28:57	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xb3c3c6…
02-12 03:22:35	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x42b506…
02-05 03:34:23	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x2f3bde…
02-01 02:25:42	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x0b2b09…
02-01 02:25:32	will capcut photo video editor be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6da2de…
02-01 02:25:20	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52ec18…
01-27 08:39:41	ethereum above 2400 on january 28	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x526f0a…
01-27 08:39:29	will trump meet with xi jinping in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a8a88…
01-27 08:39:19	highest temperature in nyc on january 27 26forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b439b…
01-23 02:49:06	bitcoin above 98k on january 24	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x3a2127…
01-23 02:48:54	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfc3d1…
01-23 02:48:42	will mercy opening weekend box office be greater than 14m	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01b692…
01-19 06:18:58	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x106d51…
01-19 06:18:10	will 28 years later bone temple opening weekend box office be between 16m and 18pt5m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x790219…
01-19 06:17:58	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	No	BUY	1,900	0¢	$4	0x09a802…
01-15 07:50:56	will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x1818d6…
01-15 07:46:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe3a680…
01-10 07:30:22	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 380 399	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xfbf7d5…
01-06 03:28:37	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 280 299	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1cdc1c…