Plump-Turtle — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$103

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,265 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$108.7K

$1.29M lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.02K

Open exposure

$723

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-10 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% +$26,605

Sports

0% 0% -$3,453

Crypto

0% 100% +$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+749	$620	96¢	$723	+$103	11-10 02:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?	2	$18.5K	12,088	12,088	+0	No	-$3,454	06-21 23:25
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	2	$17.7K	9,946	9,946	+0	No	+$2,192	03-05 11:34
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 first half team total home 1pt5	2	$14.8K	7,565	7,565	+0	Under	+$357	06-30 17:59
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	56	$14.6K	14,838	2,500	+12,338	No	+$2,770	02-13 18:40
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	2	$13.4K	7,164	7,164	+0	No	+$871	01-31 16:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	75	$13.3K	19,414	0	+19,414	No	+$6,089	02-10 02:34
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	4	$13.2K	7,428	7,428	+0	No	+$1,609	02-06 16:45
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	2	$13.2K	6,923	6,923	+0	Over	+$616	06-23 00:51
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?	3	$12.0K	6,490	6,490	+0	No	-$89	07-05 17:54
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	49	$12.0K	7,719	7,719	+0	No	+$3,427	02-07 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	19	$11.7K	6,866	6,866	+0	No	+$1,098	02-08 16:18
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	3	$11.7K	6,011	6,011	+0	Over	+$355	06-22 17:49
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	2	$11.4K	6,292	6,292	+0	No	+$1,189	01-30 18:15
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 1pt5	1	$11.0K	11,458	0	+11,458	Under	+$458	06-21 20:39
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?	2	$11.0K	7,059	7,059	+0	Yes	-$1,006	06-19 23:13
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	2	$10.8K	5,988	5,988	+0	No	+$820	02-05 18:10
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	1	$10.8K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$1,200	07-01 22:50
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	3	$10.7K	6,677	6,677	+0	No	-$417	01-07 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	3	$10.4K	5,506	5,506	+0	No	+$609	05-29 02:09
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?	1	$10.3K	11,011	0	+11,011	No	+$711	06-21 11:01
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Morocco?	2	$10.2K	5,320	5,320	+0	No	+$385	06-20 00:12
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	63	$10.2K	11,776	0	+11,776	No	+$1,592	02-11 14:50
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	64	$10.2K	9,241	6,646	+2,595	Yes	+$1,888	01-06 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$10.1K	6,109	6,109	+0	No	+$2,080	05-14 22:49
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	2	$10.1K	6,217	6,217	+0	Under	-$1,896	06-23 21:25
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	4	$9.9K	5,561	5,561	+0	Yes	+$942	03-03 16:34
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	1	$9.9K	10,636	0	+10,636	No	+$698	03-05 11:56
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 0pt5	1	$9.7K	10,412	0	+10,412	Over	+$712	06-21 00:11
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	2	$9.5K	5,057	5,057	+0	Under	+$652	06-27 23:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$9.4K	11,639	0	+11,639	Yes	-$9,421	05-22 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 02:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	749	83¢	$620	0x6af4c2…
11-07 23:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	627	86¢	$540	0x7e090e…
11-06 20:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	420	55¢	$229	0x541b45…
11-02 10:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	86¢	$200	0x3a65d0…
11-02 10:56:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1,235	16¢	$196	0x5213fb…
10-31 23:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1,235	70¢	$870	0x9f63a1…
10-30 18:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	874	70¢	$610	0x536bb5…
10-30 18:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	701	86¢	$603	0x62c09a…
10-30 15:36:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	701	86¢	$604	0x68ec8f…
10-30 13:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	384	72¢	$275	0x3a2ad3…
10-30 13:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,212	26¢	$320	0x053446…
10-28 22:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,212	93¢	$1,125	0x63f4d5…
10-24 13:21:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3,409	84¢	$2,850	0x48864f…
10-22 20:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	320	47¢	$150	0xc91e5c…
10-22 20:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2,003	50¢	$994	0xb0ccd2…
10-22 20:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	510	60¢	$306	0x0f754d…
10-22 20:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	2,024	74¢	$1,495	0xc3e260…
10-21 11:45:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xcbc894…
10-21 11:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,967	86¢	$1,700	0x051a86…
10-16 15:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,734	87¢	$1,500	0x551f5a…
10-13 17:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,485	74¢	$1,100	0xbc6edc…
10-09 12:36:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4,220	85¢	$3,600	0x7f9c56…
10-09 11:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb9412f…
10-09 11:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2,994	84¢	$2,500	0x696fda…
10-07 11:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6,202	82¢	$5,100	0x05cb34…
10-03 10:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5,120	64¢	$3,300	0x4aa498…
09-30 06:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	3,381	63¢	$2,142	0xf5649a…
09-28 13:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2,182	66¢	$1,442	0x5d2587…
09-28 13:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	1,605	92¢	$1,475	0x73146b…
09-26 11:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1,605	70¢	$1,127	0x41ceca…
09-22 01:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,863	78¢	$1,459	0x87d739…
09-19 20:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,478	87¢	$1,280	0x634512…
09-19 01:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,287	89¢	$1,150	0xd5994b…
09-15 20:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3,900	71¢	$2,750	0x24501e…
09-14 19:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,759	87¢	$2,400	0x7676e7…
09-13 03:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2,445	94¢	$2,300	0x5ecff1…
09-12 16:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	SELL	2,323	100¢	$2,321	0x3cec44…
09-11 14:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2,323	82¢	$1,900	0xb89f1d…
09-11 14:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,921	100¢	$1,917	0x9df3f7…
09-10 15:08:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,921	94¢	$1,800	0x521a38…
09-07 20:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,809	82¢	$1,475	0x6a086d…
09-07 03:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,492	78¢	$1,169	0xaf0097…
09-04 15:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	1,480	0¢	$5	0x0c103c…
09-02 18:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1,480	89¢	$1,320	0x0aec3e…
09-01 15:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1,341	81¢	$1,080	0x70b225…
09-01 15:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	3,906	99¢	$3,857	0xf7791a…
08-29 19:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3,906	86¢	$3,350	0x68fae6…
08-29 17:29:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	SELL	3,409	100¢	$3,406	0x74f8c6…
08-28 15:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3,409	90¢	$3,070	0x51355c…
08-28 15:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	3,081	100¢	$3,078	0xb8ecf7…
08-26 15:49:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3,081	71¢	$2,200	0x667dc0…
08-26 15:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,244	100¢	$2,241	0xd23935…
08-26 12:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,823	80¢	$1,450	0xfc9579…
08-26 12:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,465	99¢	$1,457	0x3e50b6…
08-25 22:36:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,465	93¢	$1,370	0x19ec31…
08-25 22:36:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	36¢	$150	0x1fa523…
08-24 15:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,540	89¢	$1,370	0xeaa3e6…
08-24 15:51:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	1,381	100¢	$1,380	0xeaf868…
08-22 16:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1,381	84¢	$1,160	0x592e6f…
08-21 16:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,467	80¢	$1,169	0x6f8109…
08-19 20:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,593	82¢	$1,300	0xb58c56…
08-19 20:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1,474	90¢	$1,329	0x67ffea…
08-19 16:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,474	67¢	$991	0x48f0c4…
08-19 16:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	3,328	99¢	$3,311	0x9ca4da…
08-18 23:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,194	62¢	$742	0xe48e9e…
08-18 23:55:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	885	61¢	$536	0xee5e50…
08-18 23:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x2b4089…
08-18 23:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	404	60¢	$242	0x863c6f…
08-18 23:55:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	181	59¢	$107	0x62d67a…
08-18 23:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	414	59¢	$244	0x789ab0…
08-17 16:26:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2,784	82¢	$2,280	0x43778d…
08-17 16:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2,283	100¢	$2,281	0x7e5621…
08-16 18:34:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2,283	44¢	$1,000	0xfdc874…
08-13 16:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,021	83¢	$850	0x26bf46…
08-13 16:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,254	29¢	$363	0x4ca8fa…
08-13 16:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1,247	36¢	$450	0xec24e8…
08-13 16:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,247	40¢	$500	0x840ee1…
08-11 15:43:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	822	61¢	$500	0xa40c19…
08-11 15:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,037	99¢	$2,026	0x0c6dad…
08-10 22:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,037	51¢	$1,036	0x41b1ce…
08-10 22:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,151	92¢	$1,055	0x725935…
08-10 19:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,151	93¢	$1,070	0xa8d78b…
08-08 20:20:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3,366	86¢	$2,900	0x2fc77c…
08-08 20:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x305eff…
08-05 17:26:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,983	76¢	$2,277	0xd4bbe9…
08-05 17:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	2,304	100¢	$2,302	0x790ef9…
08-04 20:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2,304	90¢	$2,080	0xb0090e…
08-03 23:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2,091	78¢	$1,624	0x0d7db1…
08-02 22:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	1,657	99¢	$1,635	0x2a8542…
08-01 17:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,657	88¢	$1,450	0x3015c5…
08-01 17:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	1,469	100¢	$1,468	0x6c4c97…
08-01 00:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xad1dca…
07-31 15:49:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1,463	92¢	$1,340	0x371bb3…
07-31 15:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,310	100¢	$1,304	0xb96ad6…
07-31 09:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,310	84¢	$1,100	0x5bce59…
07-30 20:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,242	51¢	$638	0x62ca30…
07-30 20:07:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,325	50¢	$669	0x4803c0…
07-29 16:04:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,325	60¢	$795	0x5a6d05…
07-29 15:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	SELL	1,218	0¢	$2	0x26e2c0…
07-28 23:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1,218	94¢	$1,150	0xc57911…