Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$73
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
864
lifetime
Volume
$65.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$817
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-03 19:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
75% 62% $-26
Other
15%
Politics
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,085 $340 32¢ $342 +$2 06-11 10:31
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +553 $400 59¢ $326 $-74 06-03 19:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +111 $100 90¢ $99 $-1 06-11 10:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +41 $30 74¢ $30 $-0 06-11 10:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +588 $20 $19 $-1 06-11 10:28