Realized P&L (30d)
+$74
Unrealized P&L
+$142
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
43
1,118 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.46K
$93.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$1.14K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 20:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 70% -$329
Other
29% 71% +$269
Politics
17% 43% -$1,836
Tech
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +2,193 $297 12¢ $269 -$29 11-05 20:35
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +319 $149 76¢ $244 +$95 10-29 13:13
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +164 $105 76¢ $124 +$19 10-29 12:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +120 $90 92¢ $111 +$21 08-05 13:10
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +211 $60 48¢ $101 +$41 11-05 20:44
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +427 $47 12¢ $53 +$6 10-29 13:35
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +72 $50 74¢ $53 +$3 10-25 15:47
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +189 $49 27¢ $51 +$3 11-05 20:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +260 $56 20¢ $51 -$5 11-05 20:49
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +192 $50 26¢ $50 $0 11-05 20:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +65 $40 56¢ $36 -$4 11-03 22:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +40 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 11-03 22:22