Complicated-Clause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$748

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

998

Trades

3,040

lifetime

Volume

$161.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

55% 52% +$248

Crypto

26% 52% -$2,076

Sports

13% 53% +$1,221

Politics

5% 47% -$139

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-143	-$10	2¢	$-3	+$7	05-24 06:42
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-182	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-24 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	3	$11.1K	7,369	7,369	+0	No	-$1,638	01-26 14:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	106	$7.3K	3,769	3,769	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 15:58
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	2	$5.2K	2,724	2,724	+0	Yes	+$257	01-21 16:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	52	$4.3K	2,233	2,233	-0	No	-$9	05-24 20:51
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	2	$3.5K	6,705	0	+6,705	Yes	+$3,227	01-23 10:22
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	17	$3.3K	1,952	1,952	+0	Yes	+$449	02-18 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	36	$1.8K	1,213	1,213	+0	Yes	-$9	05-25 12:57
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	3	$1.7K	1,269	1,269	+0	Yes	+$775	01-26 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	26	$1.5K	923	923	+0	No	-$11	05-25 12:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	41	$1.4K	1,928	1,606	+322	Yes	-$8	05-28 03:13
lol ig1 tes 2026 01 21	5	$1.3K	1,943	1,109	+833	Invictus Gaming	+$313	01-21 14:59
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	5	$1.3K	3,183	1,918	+1,266	No	-$752	01-25 02:10
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	33	$1.1K	2,658	858	+1,800	Sharks	-$130	05-27 20:15
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	21	$1.1K	1,024	1,024	+0	Yes	+$115	01-27 13:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 16	2	$1.1K	694	694	+0	Yes	+$90	01-16 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?	25	$810	453	453	+0	No	+$12	05-25 06:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	13	$731	423	423	+0	Down	+$83	05-29 14:45
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	7	$730	925	925	+0	Yes	+$130	02-05 12:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	14	$701	375	375	+0	No	$0	05-24 18:09
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	42	$686	538	538	+0	Up	+$43	05-29 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$658	731	0	+731	Up	+$73	05-24 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	6	$622	323	323	+0	No	-$1	05-24 16:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	24	$622	697	392	+305	Up	+$18	05-29 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	26	$609	348	348	+0	Yes	+$10	05-25 07:15
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	27	$603	669	669	+0	Down	+$103	05-28 17:29
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	1	$600	769	0	+769	Yes	+$169	01-24 08:13
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	2	$600	690	0	+690	Yes	+$90	01-14 14:52
cbb cin arz 2026 01 21 total 153pt5	2	$600	400	400	+0	Under	+$200	01-22 04:45
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	27	$577	631	631	+0	Down	-$33	05-29 16:59
Games Total: O/U 2.5	26	$568	767	767	+0	Over	+$101	05-27 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 14:14:56	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb3b7d6…
05-30 14:13:39	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x746f31…
05-30 14:11:04	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x9ac8ce…
05-30 14:11:04	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x16c339…
05-30 14:11:00	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa2ee3d…
05-30 14:10:32	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x2a7560…
05-30 14:10:18	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa03881…
05-30 14:10:18	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9d320e…
05-30 14:10:09	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x55883b…
05-30 14:10:09	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2b5701…
05-30 14:08:23	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xfcb2db…
05-30 14:08:21	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xc42ee0…
05-30 14:07:34	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xf74f56…
05-30 14:07:34	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x55097c…
05-30 14:05:35	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0xb92281…
05-30 14:05:05	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x87c757…
05-30 14:04:05	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x8d5ef7…
05-30 14:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x08bdbf…
05-30 14:02:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x3b26d6…
05-30 14:01:49	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x61f423…
05-30 14:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x153931…
05-30 01:58:13	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xcd9c1d…
05-30 01:58:13	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x4e28f3…
05-30 01:58:13	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x217045…
05-30 01:57:54	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x5c65ab…
05-30 01:44:38	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x499f51…
05-30 01:43:52	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xdd571b…
05-30 01:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xae8b6d…
05-30 01:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x60bf82…
05-30 01:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x38dad5…
05-30 01:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xdc510a…
05-30 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x219817…
05-30 00:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x021d1d…
05-30 00:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x3ec0ae…
05-30 00:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	88	15¢	$13	0x8d7255…
05-30 00:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	88	16¢	$14	0x56c40a…
05-30 00:49:44	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x78e832…
05-30 00:48:22	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xe7ad97…
05-30 00:48:22	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xc8e4c2…
05-30 00:47:45	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x53c9fb…
05-30 00:47:36	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbf10ac…
05-29 21:42:03	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x748206…
05-29 21:41:40	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x4eda6c…
05-29 21:41:40	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x107c61…
05-29 21:41:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x9a80e5…
05-29 21:40:42	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x23d770…
05-29 21:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	107	4¢	$4	0x477534…
05-29 21:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0x3e41b2…
05-29 21:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x1d7dca…
05-29 21:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	107	13¢	$14	0xf964f2…
05-29 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	33	46¢	$15	0x6b5521…
05-29 21:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xa249fa…
05-29 20:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	86¢	$29	0xc449a8…
05-29 20:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x7f7049…
05-29 20:29:57	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x054f90…
05-29 20:29:29	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x1a6628…
05-29 20:29:29	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x0c8687…
05-29 20:29:29	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x0aaa2d…
05-29 20:29:27	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xdaa856…
05-29 20:28:38	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$19	0x010637…
05-29 19:46:57	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0x0d7949…
05-29 19:46:56	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x96607e…
05-29 19:46:26	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x920374…
05-29 19:02:29	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x9745a6…
05-29 19:02:01	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	48¢	$8	0xa2d877…
05-29 19:02:01	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7f6a2e…
05-29 19:01:08	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x00865e…
05-29 19:00:17	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x90d9e0…
05-29 19:00:12	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc3a576…
05-29 19:00:10	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x9efcf8…
05-29 18:36:43	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xcc226f…
05-29 18:36:42	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x05333c…
05-29 18:35:47	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xfb93e1…
05-29 18:35:18	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x969041…
05-29 18:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xcedb34…
05-29 18:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x2d2594…
05-29 18:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xa19b16…
05-29 18:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x491758…
05-29 18:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x68dd63…
05-29 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3f3fdf…
05-29 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x320d76…
05-29 18:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6b624d…
05-29 18:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2627d0…
05-29 18:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	34¢	$11	0x2fc7e2…
05-29 18:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	67	11¢	$7	0x18da70…
05-29 18:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x6f328c…
05-29 18:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x4eb948…
05-29 18:10:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x31b028…
05-29 18:08:22	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe23899…
05-29 18:07:02	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdae44d…
05-29 17:48:39	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x10716b…
05-29 17:47:29	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x41aef8…
05-29 17:47:10	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x73b583…
05-29 17:47:07	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x55ed55…
05-29 17:46:44	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	59¢	$13	0x10192f…
05-29 17:46:42	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xe90405…
05-29 17:46:05	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xe9a281…
05-29 17:46:05	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x0c43df…
05-29 17:46:04	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x61a26b…
05-29 17:44:24	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	79	46¢	$36	0x8b8fe0…