Adorable-Cat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

6,021

Trades

9,862

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-30 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 56% -$141

Other

21% 9% -$99

Politics

7% 20% -$7

Tech

2% 0% —

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 587 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will EH Bildu win exactly 8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	6	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	10-25 21:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	2	$75	60	60	+0	Yes	-$5	10-12 09:18
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?	4	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	10-03 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:20 UTC	43	$65	180	0	+180	Down	+$29	06-22 16:23
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	2	$59	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	10-17 12:33
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	6	$58	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 07:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	4	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	10-13 18:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	3	$55	41	41	+0	open	—	10-05 18:44
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?	4	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	10-26 18:43
Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	4	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	10-15 20:45
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	5	$47	40	40	+0	open	—	10-28 23:25
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	7	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	10-19 00:55
Will BNG win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	4	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	10-30 19:11
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	7	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	10-15 22:12
will wti dip to 90 in october 2026 from october 2	15	$44	121	121	+0	Yes	-$2	10-04 18:46
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?	6	$44	45	45	+0	open	—	10-04 15:08
Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	10-23 11:39
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	4	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 21:27
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	3	$41	46	26	+20	open	—	10-26 04:53
Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-10 20:28
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	4	$40	42	42	+0	open	—	10-07 17:27
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	5	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	10-30 12:11
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	10-15 22:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:55 UTC	17	$39	45	40	+5	Down	+$1	08-26 17:57
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	4	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	10-27 21:27
Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	4	$37	39	39	+0	open	—	10-15 13:26
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-17 22:49
Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?	4	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	10-21 00:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 04:40
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-06 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:42:54	Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x113b06…
10-30 19:11:00	Will BNG win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x522309…
10-30 18:28:01	Will BNG win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd06d4d…
10-30 18:24:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x389ca1…
10-30 17:27:46	Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa8bfe3…
10-30 16:59:30	Will Greens win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x42a18c…
10-30 16:35:19	Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x221931…
10-30 15:30:27	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc4c9b2…
10-30 14:52:37	Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x22340c…
10-30 14:30:54	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x18f2e0…
10-30 13:32:58	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe4559b…
10-30 13:04:46	Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xdd92b5…
10-30 12:37:09	Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1d09bc…
10-30 12:11:12	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xbd2646…
10-30 12:10:49	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x52d804…
10-30 11:47:13	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x49aea4…
10-30 11:39:49	Will ERC win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xeb58f8…
10-30 11:03:00	Will Drake Maye have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x7ba29e…
10-30 10:32:10	Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x39097e…
10-30 10:03:06	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x772075…
10-30 10:02:37	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x2288d4…
10-30 10:02:24	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xce47ca…
10-30 08:49:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xea2946…
10-30 08:49:03	Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x4892a1…
10-30 08:46:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3b813a…
10-30 08:45:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe68644…
10-30 07:33:45	Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x159e71…
10-30 07:08:33	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x84881d…
10-30 07:08:16	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xbeb854…
10-30 05:44:46	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc0977d…
10-30 05:25:33	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa120ea…
10-30 05:25:22	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb85627…
10-30 05:21:54	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa1f679…
10-30 04:54:01	Will Emeka Egbuka have 1,099.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x62e79a…
10-30 04:18:27	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x90fdf4…
10-30 04:18:18	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x9f7928…
10-30 01:46:58	Will J.B. Bickerstaff win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xc0359b…
10-30 01:25:55	Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x86c3e2…
10-30 01:17:58	Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8cff15…
10-30 01:05:12	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xf1fb02…
10-30 01:02:57	Will Jawgemo play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xae72a8…
10-29 21:42:04	Will J.B. Bickerstaff win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd743c0…
10-29 21:22:22	Will "NAZA" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x222bc3…
10-29 21:08:39	Will "NAZA" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa8a3ba…
10-29 19:03:15	Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x1aca0a…
10-29 17:32:07	Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xa0feb2…
10-29 17:31:59	Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3bbffa…
10-29 17:06:01	Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3176fd…
10-29 14:23:14	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xad1f17…
10-29 14:08:47	Will ERC win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5d9c9c…
10-29 12:43:01	Will Kenneth Walker III have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcb6bc9…
10-29 12:36:28	Will Junts win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf22f2a…
10-29 12:36:19	Will Junts win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x88a2ad…
10-29 12:30:04	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x9dced3…
10-29 11:28:08	Will Cheniere Energy (LNG) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xafda48…
10-29 09:54:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x8a001d…
10-29 09:42:52	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe8b1d5…
10-29 07:54:46	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xf6d7a5…
10-29 07:54:32	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6c0316…
10-29 07:30:16	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xcc839d…
10-29 07:20:02	Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x581455…
10-29 06:20:07	Will primmie play for Paper Rex in 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xef2dbd…
10-29 06:04:52	Will DeVonta Smith have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x622008…
10-29 05:47:26	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x6a8010…
10-29 05:44:50	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x4b7e29…
10-29 05:44:38	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4e3944…
10-29 05:20:07	Will Cheniere Energy (LNG) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x69279b…
10-29 04:46:22	Will DeVonta Smith have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa42edf…
10-29 03:37:05	Will primmie play for Rex Regum Qeon in 2027?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb20cb2…
10-29 02:43:05	Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0f22a0…
10-29 01:46:50	Will J.B. Bickerstaff win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xaf76b5…
10-29 01:43:23	Will Diable play for JD Gaming in 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x292bf4…
10-29 01:05:07	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x43b3e7…
10-29 01:03:23	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0xe43a0d…
10-29 01:02:50	Will Jawgemo play for G2 Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6bfb73…
10-29 00:52:59	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0xdedcf8…
10-29 00:43:55	Will Diable play for JD Gaming in 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x092915…
10-29 00:37:43	Will primmie play for Rex Regum Qeon in 2027?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x35f978…
10-29 00:17:46	Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xca17ac…
10-28 23:57:10	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x2f7fbb…
10-28 23:25:50	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xc15cc2…
10-28 23:19:41	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7e1dad…
10-28 23:00:40	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8056d8…
10-28 22:53:50	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x2dbfee…
10-28 21:51:47	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x637627…
10-28 21:02:47	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x55b37e…
10-28 20:03:14	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xfeacb3…
10-28 19:07:43	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x07a13e…
10-28 18:41:23	Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe085d7…
10-28 17:13:07	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x893303…
10-28 17:02:55	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x96e918…
10-28 17:02:46	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x960f82…
10-28 16:04:55	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x86cec3…
10-28 15:16:47	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x8622b1…
10-28 15:06:46	Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xfb2ccb…
10-28 15:04:20	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf82475…
10-28 14:30:56	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x62fd47…
10-28 13:05:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb4ac94…
10-28 12:42:53	Will Kenneth Walker III have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeba7d9…
10-28 12:32:55	Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7aaf74…